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Fribourg W vs Baden W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game68.4
Fribourg W
Switzerland
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Baden W
Switzerland
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game65.8
SwitzerlandSB League WRound 16· Salle Saint-Lèonard
Women2026-27
Meetings · Fribourg W v Baden W
17 Jan 2027
FRIB v BADE
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
FRIB88
BADE82
08 Nov 2025
FRIB86
BADE66
12 Mar 2025
FRIB123
BADE65
12 Jan 2025
FRIB86
BADE73
21 Oct 2023
FRIB87
BADE29
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fribourg W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baden W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fribourg WSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
BBC Troistorrents W
#8
W
88-51
88
51
+37
83avg 75
H07/10
SB League W
Helios VS W
#7
W
106-85
106
85
+21
108avg 75
A11/10
SB League W
Derthona Basket W
#7
L
60-71
60
71
-11
45avg 75
H15/10
EuroCup Women
Geneve W
#4
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
80avg 75
A18/10
SB League W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#31
L
63-88
63
88
-25
50avg 75
A22/10
EuroCup Women
Nyon W
#3
W
71-64
71
64
+7
58avg 75
H25/10
SB League W
AZS Poznan W
#19
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 75
H29/10
EuroCup Women
Alte Kanti Aarau W
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
91avg 75
H01/11
SB League W
Derthona Basket W
#7
L
61-82
61
82
-21
no box
A04/11
EuroCup Women
Pully W
#9
W
108-52
108
52
+56
no box
A07/11
SB League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
26-10
22-13
18-15
32-29
28-15
22-18
24-23
11-25
6-13
16-12
27-21
21-22
23-20
22-19
14-19
17-21
12-22
21-22
13-23
24-16
14-16
22-14
11-18
26-26
16-20
17-15
21-26
25-22
27-26
20-11
23-13
7-26
17-18
19-15
18-23
34-14
13-14
30-13
31-11
156.5Avg total
82.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.868.4158.1+21.488%
Season at home (4)85.061.8146.8+23.2100%
Season away (4)94.575.0169.5+19.575%
Last 10 (10)82.673.9156.5+8.760%
Last 5 (5)83.071.4154.4+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.082.0148.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.476.3150.7-1.943%
vs Weaker (19)91.668.2159.8+23.4100%
This opponent (Baden W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Baden WSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Nyon W
#1
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 79
A01/04
SB League W
Nyon W
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
65avg 79
H03/04
SB League W
Alte Kanti Aarau W
#6
W
75-56
75
56
+19
73avg 79
A29/09
SB League W
Fribourg W
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 79
H02/10
SB League W
GC Zurich W
#5
W
98-56
98
56
+42
92avg 79
A06/10
SB League W
Nyon W
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
76avg 79
H11/10
SB League W
Pully W
#9
W
107-50
107
50
+57
109avg 79
H17/10
SB League W
BBC Troistorrents W
#8
W
98-73
98
73
+25
92avg 79
A24/10
SB League W
Helios VS W
#7
W
93-66
93
66
+27
86avg 79
H31/10
SB League W
Geneve W
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A07/11
SB League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
27-26
25-16
14-28
26-21
14-23
16-26
20-19
26-15
17-15
21-16
11-10
14-20
22-19
19-17
21-14
26-23
24-14
25-17
23-2
17-13
14-14
18-25
28-30
10-12
27-16
37-10
33-12
21-18
25-19
27-13
25-23
21-16
28-20
22-10
22-20
15-16
26-15
21-18
18-24
156.9Avg total
86.4Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.065.8153.8+22.288%
Season at home (4)88.267.0155.2+21.275%
Season away (4)87.864.5152.2+23.2100%
Last 10 (10)86.470.5156.9+15.970%
Last 5 (5)91.068.8159.8+22.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.683.8155.4-12.112%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.474.4153.9+5.057%
vs Weaker (15)85.563.0148.5+22.593%
This opponent (Fribourg W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
Fribourg WBaden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fribourg WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BBC Troistorrents W
#8
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H07/10
SB League W
Helios VS W
#7
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A11/10
SB League W
Derthona Basket W
#7
L
17-38
17
38
-21
H15/10
EuroCup Women
Geneve W
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
SB League W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#31
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A22/10
EuroCup Women
Nyon W
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/10
SB League W
AZS Poznan W
#19
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/10
EuroCup Women
Alte Kanti Aarau W
#6
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H01/11
SB League W
Derthona Basket W
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A04/11
EuroCup Women
Pully W
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A07/11
SB League W
78.9Avg total
40.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.880.0+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.236.980.1+6.262%-
Last 30 away (14)43.136.779.9+6.486%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.878.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.042.870.8-14.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.439.679.0-0.157%-
vs Weaker (19)47.734.682.3+13.295%-
This opponent (Baden W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Baden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nyon W
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A01/04
SB League W
Nyon W
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/04
SB League W
Alte Kanti Aarau W
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A29/09
SB League W
Fribourg W
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/10
SB League W
GC Zurich W
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/10
SB League W
Nyon W
#3
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H11/10
SB League W
Pully W
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
SB League W
BBC Troistorrents W
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A24/10
SB League W
Helios VS W
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H31/10
SB League W
Geneve W
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A07/11
SB League W
77.3Avg total
41.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.379.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.577.9+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)42.238.180.3+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.577.3+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.831.872.6+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.644.082.6-5.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.636.676.1+3.071%-
vs Weaker (15)44.534.178.5+10.487%-
This opponent (Fribourg W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fribourg Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fribourg W: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
58%
26%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.8
51.2%
48.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.6
35.5%
30.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.811.5
64.6%
68.7%11.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baden W: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
58%
26%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.328.0
55.7%
48.9%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.95.3
31.4%
30.3%15.9
🏀 Free throws22.514.2
63.1%
68.7%14.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fribourg W
WLWLWLWLWW
Baden W
WWWWLWWWLL
#2
League position
#1
+4.6
Net rating
+17.1
91.6
Offensive rating
90.4
87.0
Defensive rating
73.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
20.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.5%
3-point %
31.4%
54.3%
Assist %
52.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 90.4Defence87.0 · 73.3Shooting51.9% · 53.5%3-point %35.5% · 31.4%Ball care15.4% · 20.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Fribourg W   ■ Baden W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Fribourg W wins
1
Baden W wins
DateGameScore
02/10/26Baden W v Fribourg W76-70
08/02/26Fribourg W v Baden W88-82
06/12/25Baden W v Fribourg W77-82
08/11/25Fribourg W v Baden W86-66
12/03/25Fribourg W v Baden W123-65
12/01/25Fribourg W v Baden W86-73
27/10/24Baden W v Fribourg W61-76
15/03/24Baden W v Fribourg W34-86
03/12/23Baden W v Fribourg W57-95
21/10/23Fribourg W v Baden W87-29
Fribourg Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26APully W108-52
04/11/26ADerthona Basket W61-82
01/11/26HAlte Kanti Aarau W95-72
29/10/26HAZS Poznan W80-87
25/10/26HNyon W71-64
22/10/26ALanderneau Bretagne W63-88
18/10/26AGeneve W94-87 OT
15/10/26HDerthona Basket W60-71
11/10/26AHelios VS W106-85
07/10/26HBBC Troistorrents W88-51
Baden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AGeneve W80-73
31/10/26HHelios VS W93-66
24/10/26ABBC Troistorrents W98-73
17/10/26HPully W107-50
11/10/26HNyon W77-82
06/10/26AGC Zurich W98-56
02/10/26HFribourg W76-70
29/09/26AAlte Kanti Aarau W75-56
03/04/26HNyon W76-89
01/04/26ANyon W84-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fribourg W
SB League W 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game89.885.094.5
Allowed / game68.461.875.0
Point differential+21.4+23.2+19.5
Avg total158.1146.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%0%25%
Baden W
SB League W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game88.088.287.8
Allowed / game65.867.064.5
Point differential+22.2+21.2+23.2
Avg total153.8155.2152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baden W87188%88.065.8+22.2
2 Fribourg W87188%89.868.4+21.4
3 Nyon W87188%88.268.0+20.2
4 Geneve W85362%86.069.9+16.1
5 GC Zurich W84450%71.978.8-6.9
6 Alte Kanti Aarau W82625%64.272.5-8.2
7 Helios VS W82625%77.986.1-8.2
8 BBC Troistorrents W82625%66.880.8-14.0
9 Pully W8080%54.697.2-42.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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