Fryshuset Basket faces Ockelbo in the Superettan on 14 November 2026, with the model ranking Fryshuset as the clear favourite at 91% to win, a reflection of their 8-2 season record, 89.6 points per game and 79.2 allowed, and their perfect 3-0 home record with 86.0 points scored and 70.7 allowed; Ockelbo, meanwhile, sits 12th with a 3-6 record, 71.6 points per game and 81.8 allowed, and a 2-2 road record of 74.2 points scored and 90.8 allowed. Fryshuset's recent form is strong, winning four of their last five games, including a 109-78 victory over Cross Over, while Ockelbo has struggled, winning only one of five, with a 80-69 win over Malbas the only bright spot. Their head-to-head history is even, each winning once, the last meeting ending 97-92 in Ockelbo's favour on 7 February 2026. Pythia projects a 89-74 score for Fryshuset, a total of 163.4 points, and a 33% chance that Fryshuset will cover the home line of -20.0; the over on the 163.5 total carries a 49% probability, and there is a 2% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 89.6 | 79.2 | 168.8 | +10.4 | 80% |
| Season at home (3) | 86.0 | 70.7 | 156.7 | +15.3 | 100% |
| Season away (7) | 91.1 | 82.9 | 174.0 | +8.3 | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.6 | 79.2 | 168.8 | +10.4 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.6 | 79.8 | 172.4 | +12.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 93.0 | 77.0 | 170.0 | +16.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar (10) | 90.3 | 87.7 | 178.0 | +2.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 90.3 | 84.3 | 174.6 | +6.0 | 74% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 71.6 | 81.8 | 153.3 | -10.2 | 33% |
| Season at home (5) | 69.4 | 74.6 | 144.0 | -5.2 | 20% |
| Season away (4) | 74.2 | 90.8 | 165.0 | -16.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.0 | 81.8 | 153.8 | -9.8 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.4 | 74.6 | 144.0 | -5.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 73.1 | 84.9 | 157.9 | -11.8 | 17% |
| vs Similar (9) | 76.1 | 78.8 | 154.9 | -2.7 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 73.7 | 63.0 | 136.7 | +10.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.9 | 41.9 | 87.8 | +4.0 | 73% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 46.0 | 37.9 | 83.9 | +8.1 | 92% | 46% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 45.8 | 44.9 | 90.7 | +0.8 | 59% | 88% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.9 | 41.2 | 87.1 | +4.7 | 80% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.2 | 43.8 | 92.0 | +4.4 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 47.0 | 35.0 | 82.0 | +12.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Similar (10) | 44.2 | 42.0 | 86.2 | +2.2 | 70% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 46.7 | 42.2 | 88.9 | +4.5 | 74% | 74% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.0 | 40.3 | 78.2 | -2.3 | 37% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.2 | 38.3 | 76.5 | -0.1 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 37.7 | 42.3 | 80.0 | -4.5 | 33% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.6 | 43.1 | 80.7 | -5.5 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.2 | 38.6 | 74.8 | -2.4 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 38.0 | 42.6 | 80.6 | -4.6 | 28% | 56% |
| vs Similar (9) | 39.4 | 38.9 | 78.3 | +0.6 | 56% | 22% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 33.3 | 30.3 | 63.7 | +3.0 | 33% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ockelbo +23 | 76.1% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +14.9pp | Lost |
| Ockelbo +22.5 | 74.0% | 1.48 | 1.51 | 1.46 | - | - | - | +13.9pp | Lost |
| Ockelbo +21 | 70.2% | 1.70 | 1.76 | 1.64 | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Lost |
| Ockelbo +22 | 73.2% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Lost |
| Ockelbo +23.5 | 76.7% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Lost |
| Ockelbo +21.5 | 71.1% | 1.57 | 1.59 | 1.55 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Lost |
| Ockelbo +24.5 | 79.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Lost |
| Fryshuset Basket under 96.5 | 76.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Lost |
| Fryshuset Basket under 97.5 | 79.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Fryshuset Basket under 95.5 | 73.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Lost |
| Ockelbo over 67.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Lost |
| Ockelbo over 68.5 | 70.5% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Lost |
| Ockelbo over 66.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Lost |
| Fryshuset Basket (regulation) | 89.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Fryshuset Basket win | 90.8% | 1.03 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.02 | +0.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 49.4 | 26.0 | 50.0% | 52.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.3 | 7.8 | 29.5% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.4 | 14.7 | 65.7% | 14.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.0 | 21.6 | 50.0% | 43.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.7 | 5.1 | 29.5% | 15.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.3 | 14.5 | 65.7% | 14.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 | Ockelbo v Fryshuset Basket | 97-92 |
| 02/11/25 | Fryshuset Basket v Ockelbo | 85-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Eskilstuna | 84-72 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Wetterbygden Stars | 87-68 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Cross Over | 109-78 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Djurgarden | 86-90 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Eskilstuna | 97-91 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Malbas | 84-73 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Sollentuna | 87-85 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Alvik | 93-77 |
| 03/10/26 | H | AIK Basket | 90-67 |
| 19/09/26 | A | Huddinge | 79-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Trelleborg | 58-70 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Alvik | 65-78 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Malbas | 80-69 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Huddinge | 75-76 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Norrort | 69-80 |
| 04/10/26 | A | IK Eos | 71-90 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Malbas | 73-71 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Cross Over | 94-75 |
| 19/09/26 | A | Alvik | 59-127 |
| 12/04/26 | A | Djurgarden | 76-82 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 80% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WWLWW | 71% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Points / game | 89.6 | 86.0 | 91.1 |
| Allowed / game | 79.2 | 70.7 | 82.9 |
| Point differential | +10.4 | +15.3 | +8.3 |
| Avg total | 168.8 | 156.7 | 174.0 |
| Over 163.5 | 60% | 0% | 86% |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 100% | 43% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 33% |
| Home | LLWLL | 20% |
| Away | LWWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Points / game | 71.6 | 69.4 | 74.2 |
| Allowed / game | 81.8 | 74.6 | 90.8 |
| Point differential | -10.2 | -5.2 | -16.5 |
| Avg total | 153.3 | 144.0 | 165.0 |
| Over 163.5 | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AIK Basket | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 83.3 | 71.0 | +12.3 |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 89.6 | 79.2 | +10.4 | |
| 3 | Alvik | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 93.3 | 75.1 | +18.2 |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 91.1 | 74.6 | +16.6 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 84.6 | 80.8 | +3.8 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.0 | 80.3 | +6.7 | |
| 7 | Trelleborg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.1 | 79.3 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Huddinge | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 77.2 | 80.9 | -3.7 |
| 9 | Eskilstuna | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 83.4 | 84.2 | -0.8 |
| 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 85.7 | 81.6 | +4.1 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 79.1 | 88.1 | -9.0 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 71.6 | 81.8 | -10.2 | |
| 13 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0% | 70.0 | 85.9 | -15.9 | |
| 14 | Cross Over | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.2 | 93.8 | -23.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 24 | 20 | 25 | 97 | |
| 18 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 |
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