Fuerza Regia vs Guerreros Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 02:00

Final 107-99 (OT)

19-28 26-22 23-24 22-16 17-9

Position#6

Record15-11

FormWLLWW

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game80.2

Fuerza Regia 🏆

Guerreros

Position#9

Record12-10

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game85.7

LNBPRound 3

Other2013-14

Meetings · Fuerza Regia v Guerreros

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuerza Regia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Guerreros winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fuerza Regia Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toros de Nuevo

79-74

H08/12

LNBP

Pioneros

78-95

-17

A11/12

LNBP

Soles

91-100

100

-9

A13/12

LNBP

Huracanes

74-76

-2

H21/12

LNBP

Correcaminos

#13

89-65

+24

H22/12

LNBP

Gigantes

#11

85-78

A28/12

LNBP

Abejas

76-83

-7

A29/12

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

74-96

-22

A04/01

LNBP

Xalapa

98-95 OT

A06/01

LNBP

Xalapa

86-80

A07/01

LNBP

16-19

10-21

33-16

20-18

22-28

17-22

15-25

24-20

28-20

24-34

21-23

18-23

21-16

12-21

20-16

21-23

22-13

15-15

27-20

25-17

15-22

30-12

27-27

13-17

18-17

24-18

15-23

19-25

8-29

19-26

20-18

27-23

20-18

29-19

18-24

15-21

23-26

17-18

24-17

22-19

167.2Avg total

83.0Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	83.6	80.2	163.7	+3.4	58%
Season at home (13)	82.3	76.1	158.4	+6.2	62%
Season away (13)	84.8	84.2	169.1	+0.6	54%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	84.2	167.2	-1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	86.4	170.2	-2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.2	83.0	160.2	-5.8	38%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	81.2	80.0	161.2	+1.2	46%
vs Weaker (9)	88.7	76.0	164.7	+12.7	89%

This opponent (Guerreros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Guerreros

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gigantes

#11

96-86

+10

A11/12

LNBP

Abejas

100-108

100

108

-8

A12/12

LNBP

Xalapa

93-87

H20/12

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

86-94

-8

H22/12

LNBP

Gansos

#14

110-69

110

+41

H30/12

LNBP

Gansos

#14

84-83

H31/12

LNBP

Lechugueros

#12

92-84

H04/01

LNBP

Lechugueros

#12

92-74

+18

H05/01

LNBP

Panteras

#10

104-87

104

+17

H06/01

LNBP

Panteras

#10

101-78

101

+23

H07/01

LNBP

21-23

36-16

17-21

22-26

20-29

22-31

33-30

25-18

–

34-20

18-29

20-17

20-18

–

22-24

26-14

31-26

25-23

31-12

19-24

24-22

27-20

180.8Avg total

95.8Scored

85.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	87.5	85.7	173.2	+1.8	55%
Season at home (10)	91.0	82.7	173.7	+8.3	70%
Season away (12)	84.6	88.2	172.8	-3.7	42%
Last 10 (10)	95.8	85.0	180.8	+10.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	94.6	81.2	175.8	+13.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	79.9	104.0	183.9	-24.1	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	85.1	84.9	170.0	+0.2	50%
vs Weaker (9)	90.9	81.8	172.7	+9.1	89%

This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Fuerza RegiaGuerreros

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.1	37.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.4	39.2	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	23.1	42.5	-3.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.9	25.3	45.2	-5.4	25%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	23.6	20.7	44.3	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	27.2	45.6	-8.8	12%	-
Last 10 (5)	25.6	21.6	47.2	+4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	21.6	47.2	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.3	28.8	47.1	-10.4	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	22.2	42.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	21.5	44.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.7	19.2	34.9	-3.5	13%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.6	42.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.8	19.8	36.7	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	19.6	26.3	45.9	-6.7	14%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (5)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.4	28.2	46.7	-9.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	33%	-

Fuerza RegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toros de Nuevo

26-40

-14

H08/12

LNBP

Pioneros

39-50

-11

A11/12

LNBP

Soles

52-54

-2

A13/12

LNBP

Huracanes

33-37

-4

H21/12

LNBP

Correcaminos

#13

37-28

H22/12

LNBP

Gigantes

#11

45-34

+11

A28/12

LNBP

Abejas

42-35

A29/12

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

27-55

-28

A04/01

LNBP

Xalapa

49-37

+12

A06/01

LNBP

Xalapa

40-44

-4

A07/01

LNBP

80.4Avg total

39.0Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	39.5	77.9	-1.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.7	37.3	72.0	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.2	41.9	84.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.4	80.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.0	81.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.8	43.4	81.1	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	35.2	38.8	74.1	-3.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.0	37.0	80.0	+6.0	78%	-

This opponent (Guerreros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GuerrerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gigantes

#11

57-39

+18

A11/12

LNBP

Abejas

42-60

-18

A12/12

LNBP

Lechugueros

#12

52-49

H04/01

LNBP

Panteras

#10

48-38

+10

H06/01

LNBP

Panteras

#10

50-36

+14

H07/01

LNBP

94.2Avg total

49.8Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	39.7	49.5	89.2	-9.8	25%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	43.1	47.0	90.1	-3.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.2	50.5	88.8	-12.3	18%	-
Last 10 (5)	49.8	44.4	94.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	44.4	94.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.8	57.0	93.8	-20.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.0	42.5	83.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.2	41.5	85.7	+2.7	50%	-

This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	18.3	42.0	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.4	19.8	37.1	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.9	20.3	45.2	+4.6	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	18.9	28.0	46.9	-9.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	22.6	42.9	-2.4	35%	-
Last 10 (5)	25.0	23.2	48.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	23.2	48.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.7	25.6	45.2	-5.9	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.7	22.2	43.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.3	23.5	41.8	-5.2	17%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.7	40.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.7	21.7	44.3	+1.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.8	18.7	39.4	+2.1	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	23.2	21.2	44.5	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	24.0	23.7	47.7	+0.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.6	65%	-
Last 10 (5)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	58%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.4	39.4	82.9	+4.0	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.7	37.6	84.3	+9.1	93%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	41.4	81.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	41.5	83.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.4	38.6	77.0	-0.2	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	45.2	40.3	85.5	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.7	39.0	84.7	+6.7	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	43.0	45.5	88.5	-2.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	42.9	51.7	94.6	-8.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.1	42.9	86.0	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (5)	48.8	44.2	93.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	44.2	93.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	42.7	47.8	90.5	-5.2	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	44.5	42.7	87.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.3	43.5	85.8	-1.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fuerza Regia wins

Guerreros wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/13	Fuerza Regia v Guerreros	102-63
03/11/12	Fuerza Regia v Guerreros	87-71
14/10/12	Guerreros v Fuerza Regia	107-101

Fuerza Regialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/14	A	Xalapa	86-80
06/01/14	A	Xalapa	98-95 OT
04/01/14	A	Halcones Rojos	74-96
29/12/13	A	Abejas	76-83
28/12/13	A	Gigantes	85-78
22/12/13	H	Correcaminos	89-65
21/12/13	H	Huracanes	74-76
13/12/13	A	Soles	91-100
11/12/13	A	Pioneros	78-95
08/12/13	H	Toros de Nuevo	79-74

Guerreroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/14	H	Panteras	101-78
06/01/14	H	Panteras	104-87
05/01/14	H	Lechugueros	92-74
04/01/14	H	Lechugueros	92-84
31/12/13	H	Gansos	84-83
30/12/13	H	Gansos	110-69
22/12/13	H	Halcones Rojos	86-94
20/12/13	H	Xalapa	93-87
12/12/13	A	Abejas	100-108
11/12/13	A	Gigantes	96-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuerza Regia

LNBP 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	58%
Home	WWWLW	62%
Away	WLLWW	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	58%	62%	54%
Points / game	83.6	82.3	84.8
Allowed / game	80.2	76.1	84.2
Point differential	+3.4	+6.2	+0.6
Avg total	163.7	158.4	169.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	38%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	40% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Guerreros

LNBP 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	55%
Home	WWWWW	70%
Away	WLLWL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	55%	70%	42%
Points / game	87.5	91.0	84.6
Allowed / game	85.7	82.7	88.2
Point differential	+1.8	+8.3	-3.7
Avg total	173.2	173.7	172.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	40%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Halcones Rojos	29	24	5	83%	85.2	76.3	+8.9
2	Pioneros	28	21	7	75%	85.6	78.3	+7.4
3	Abejas	28	20	8	71%	87.1	83.2	+3.9
4	Soles	26	18	8	69%	85.0	78.6	+6.5
5	Toros de Nuevo	23	15	8	65%	76.4	73.0	+3.4
6	Fuerza Regia	26	15	11	58%	83.6	80.2	+3.4
7	Guerreros	22	12	10	55%	87.5	85.7	+1.8
8	Huracanes	26	14	12	54%	79.8	77.7	+2.2
9	Xalapa	25	12	13	48%	81.6	78.8	+2.8
10	Panteras	29	12	17	41%	90.2	91.0	-0.8
11	Gigantes	26	7	19	27%	80.4	88.0	-7.6
12	Lechugueros	30	8	22	27%	78.0	84.0	-6.0
13	Correcaminos	27	7	20	26%	74.6	80.6	-6.0
14	Gansos	29	2	27	7%	78.3	95.9	-17.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Fuerza Regia	19	26	23	22	17	107
Guerreros	28	22	24	16	9	99

← all games of the day

Fuerza Regia vs Guerreros Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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