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Fuerza Regia vs Guerreros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2014
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 82-85
15-24 16-29 22-11 29-21
Position#6
Record16-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#9
Record12-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game86.7
MexicoLNBPRound 31
Other2013-14
Meetings · Fuerza Regia v Guerreros
10 Jan 2014
FUER82
GUER85
08 Jan 2014
FUER107
GUER99
08 Jan 2013
FUER102
GUER63
02 Nov 2012
FUER87
GUER71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuerza Regia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guerreros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fuerza RegiaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros
#3
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A11/12
LNBP
Soles
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A13/12
LNBP
Huracanes
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H21/12
LNBP
Correcaminos
#13
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H22/12
LNBP
Gigantes
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A28/12
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A29/12
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A04/01
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
A06/01
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A07/01
LNBP
Guerreros
#9
W
107-99 OT
107
99
+8
H09/01
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
17-22
15-25
24-20
28-20
24-34
21-23
18-23
21-16
12-21
20-16
21-23
22-13
15-15
27-20
25-17
15-22
30-12
27-27
13-17
18-17
24-18
15-23
19-25
8-29
19-26
20-18
27-23
20-18
29-19
18-24
15-21
23-26
17-18
24-17
22-19
19-28
26-22
23-24
22-16
172.5Avg total
85.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.480.9165.3+3.659%
Season at home (14)84.177.7161.8+6.464%
Season away (13)84.884.2169.1+0.654%
Last 10 (10)85.886.7172.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)88.290.6178.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.684.4163.0-5.943%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.181.4164.4+1.750%
vs Weaker (9)88.776.0164.7+12.789%
This opponent (Guerreros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuerrerosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#4
L
100-108
100
108
-8
A12/12
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H20/12
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H22/12
LNBP
Gansos
#14
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H30/12
LNBP
Gansos
#14
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H31/12
LNBP
Lechugueros
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H04/01
LNBP
Lechugueros
#12
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H05/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
W
104-87
104
87
+17
H06/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
W
101-78
101
78
+23
H07/01
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#6
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
A09/01
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
22-31
33-30
25-18
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
34-20
18-29
20-17
20-18
–
–
–
–
22-24
26-14
31-26
25-23
31-12
19-24
24-22
27-20
28-19
22-26
24-23
16-22
183.2Avg total
96.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.086.7174.7+1.352%
Season at home (10)91.082.7173.7+8.370%
Season away (13)85.789.7175.4-4.038%
Last 10 (10)96.187.1183.2+9.070%
Last 5 (5)97.686.0183.6+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.8103.5182.3-24.70%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.787.3174.0-0.744%
vs Weaker (9)90.981.8172.7+9.189%
This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
Fuerza RegiaGuerreros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fuerza RegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A11/12
LNBP
Soles
#2
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A13/12
LNBP
Huracanes
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/12
LNBP
Correcaminos
#13
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/12
LNBP
Gigantes
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A28/12
LNBP
Abejas
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A29/12
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#1
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A04/01
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A06/01
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A07/01
LNBP
Guerreros
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H09/01
LNBP
83.3Avg total
40.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.639.878.4-1.245%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.337.873.1-2.540%-
Last 30 away (14)42.241.984.1+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.483.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.284.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.943.681.4-5.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.039.775.7-3.731%-
vs Weaker (9)43.037.080.0+6.078%-
This opponent (Guerreros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuerrerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#4
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A12/12
LNBP
Lechugueros
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H04/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H07/01
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A09/01
LNBP
94.0Avg total
48.4Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)40.048.888.8-8.829%-
Last 30 at home (7)43.147.090.1-3.943%-
Last 30 away (17)38.749.588.2-10.824%-
Last 10 (5)48.445.694.0+2.880%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.694.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.356.592.7-20.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.342.985.1-0.657%-
vs Weaker (6)44.241.585.7+2.750%-
This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fuerza Regia wins
1
Guerreros wins
DateGameScore
09/01/14Fuerza Regia v Guerreros107-99 OT
09/01/13Fuerza Regia v Guerreros102-63
03/11/12Fuerza Regia v Guerreros87-71
14/10/12Guerreros v Fuerza Regia107-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/14HGuerreros107-99 OT
07/01/14AXalapa86-80
06/01/14AXalapa98-95 OT
04/01/14AHalcones Rojos74-96
29/12/13AAbejas76-83
28/12/13AGigantes85-78
22/12/13HCorrecaminos89-65
21/12/13HHuracanes74-76
13/12/13ASoles91-100
11/12/13APioneros78-95
Guerreroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/14AFuerza Regia99-107 OT
07/01/14HPanteras101-78
06/01/14HPanteras104-87
05/01/14HLechugueros92-74
04/01/14HLechugueros92-84
31/12/13HGansos84-83
30/12/13HGansos110-69
22/12/13HHalcones Rojos86-94
20/12/13HXalapa93-87
12/12/13AAbejas100-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuerza Regia
LNBP 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game84.484.184.8
Allowed / game80.977.784.2
Point differential+3.6+6.4+0.6
Avg total165.3161.8169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Guerreros
LNBP 2013-14
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %52%70%38%
Points / game88.091.085.7
Allowed / game86.782.789.7
Point differential+1.3+8.3-4.0
Avg total174.7173.7175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %9%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Halcones Rojos3024680%84.776.7+8.0
2 Pioneros2922776%85.778.0+7.7
3 Abejas2921872%87.682.8+4.8
4 Soles2719870%85.678.8+6.8
5 Toros de Nuevo2315865%76.473.0+3.4
6 Fuerza Regia27161159%84.480.9+3.6
7 Huracanes27151256%80.677.5+3.1
8 Guerreros23121152%88.086.7+1.3
9 Xalapa26121446%81.779.6+2.1
10 Panteras29121741%90.291.0-0.8
11 Lechugueros3082227%78.084.0-6.0
12 Gigantes2772026%80.288.4-8.3
13 Correcaminos2872125%74.581.4-6.9
14 Gansos292277%78.395.9-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fuerza Regia1516222982
Guerreros2429112185
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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