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Fuerza Regia vs Mineros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 86-81
24-19 22-26 19-22 21-14
Position#3
Record21-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#5
Record19-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game82.1
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Quarter-finals· Gimnasio Nuevo Leon Independiente
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fuerza Regia v Mineros
16 Sep 2026
FUER87
MINE84
15 Sep 2026
FUER100
MINE101
10 Oct 2025
FUER86
MINE81
09 Oct 2025
FUER84
MINE83
24 Aug 2025
FUER87
MINE63
23 Aug 2025
FUER76
MINE85
06 Oct 2022
FUER93
MINE102
05 Oct 2022
FUER93
MINE88
26 Sep 2022
FUER106
MINE99
25 Sep 2022
FUER90
MINE78
09 Nov 2020
FUER89
MINE81
03 Oct 2020
FUER79
MINE74
02 Oct 2020
FUER91
MINE81
29 Jan 2020
FUER82
MINE72
27 Jan 2020
FUER91
MINE78
26 Jan 2020
FUER88
MINE77
03 Nov 2019
FUER96
MINE94
02 Nov 2019
FUER82
MINE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuerza Regia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mineros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fuerza RegiaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRegia
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
W
94-81
94
81
+13
no box
A05/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
no box
H09/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
102-81
102
81
+21
no box
H10/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
107-98
107
98
+9
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
88-100
88
100
-12
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
104-91
104
91
+13
no box
H21/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
113-86
113
86
+27
no box
H27/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
101-82
101
82
+19
no box
H27/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
78avg 78
H10/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
27-27
25-15
19-23
21-22
27-25
17-30
26-20
26-27
22-21
29-10
25-23
25-23
32-30
26-25
24-20
18-27
21-31
20-15
29-27
23-21
19-22
25-14
13-6
22-20
28-24
29-27
25-20
33-23
28-22
30-17
22-24
24-18
27-22
20-18
30-24
20-22
18-18
25-17
21-26
182.6Avg total
96.4Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)93.282.2175.5+11.072%
Season at home (15)91.180.3171.3+10.873%
Season away (14)95.684.4179.9+11.271%
Last 10 (10)96.486.2182.6+10.280%
Last 5 (5)96.481.0177.4+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)90.692.7183.3-2.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)93.179.0172.1+14.283%
This opponent (Mineros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinerosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMineros
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
H10/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
H19/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
83-97
83
97
-14
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
63-88
63
88
-25
no box
H28/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
91-77
91
77
+14
99avg 95
H03/10
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
109-86
109
86
+23
106avg 95
H04/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
80avg 95
A10/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
22-16
15-17
15-12
22-16
22-27
12-30
19-20
16-24
11-27
19-23
14-18
19-20
19-17
13-20
15-21
18-17
13-29
28-28
24-23
22-15
22-19
24-18
19-21
12-26
15-30
17-9
19-23
17-23
29-16
25-23
20-15
28-20
36-21
22-21
23-24
22-20
18-18
17-25
26-21
161.8Avg total
78.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.082.1167.1+3.061%
Season at home (16)85.678.8164.4+6.862%
Season away (15)84.585.5170.0-1.160%
Last 10 (10)78.683.2161.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)86.681.6168.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.884.8160.6-9.022%
vs Similar (7)82.981.9164.7+1.057%
vs Weaker (14)90.678.9169.6+11.786%
This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Fuerza RegiaMineros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fuerza RegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A05/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H09/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H10/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A14/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A14/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H21/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H27/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H27/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/10
LNBP
94.5Avg total
48.4Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.842.090.8+6.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.140.487.5+6.862%-
Last 30 away (14)50.843.994.6+6.964%-
Last 10 (10)48.446.194.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.490.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)45.648.494.0-2.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)49.840.089.9+9.874%-
This opponent (Mineros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A14/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A14/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H20/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
27-56
27
56
-29
H28/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/10
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H04/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/10
LNBP
82.0Avg total
40.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.181.5-0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.939.781.6+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.781.4-4.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.082.0-2.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.743.278.9-7.633%-
vs Similar (7)40.041.681.6-1.657%-
vs Weaker (14)43.639.583.1+4.171%-
This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fuerza Regiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuerza Regia: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.026.0
52.0%
50.3%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.08.0
44.4%
36.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.08.0
57.1%
74.6%8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mineros: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.0
53.2%
50.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.011.7
46.7%
36.9%35.0
🏀 Free throws17.715.3
86.8%
74.6%15.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/3 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fuerza Regia
WWWWWLWWLW
Mineros
LWWLWLLLLW
#3
League position
#5
+3.8
Net rating
+17.1
106.7
Offensive rating
120.8
102.9
Defensive rating
103.7
55.9%
Effective FG%
59.5%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
44.4%
3-point %
46.7%
50.0%
Assist %
76.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 120.8Defence102.9 · 103.7Shooting55.9% · 59.5%3-point %44.4% · 46.7%Ball care15.4% · 15.1%Off. rebounds22.2% · 20.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Fuerza Regia   ■ Mineros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fuerza Regia wins
5
Mineros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HMineros84-83
27/09/25HCorrecaminos101-82
27/09/25HCorrecaminos113-86
21/09/25HPanteras104-91
20/09/25HPanteras80-63
14/09/25AAstros88-100
14/09/25AAstros107-98
10/09/25HSoles102-81
09/09/25HSoles91-97
05/09/25AAbejas94-81
Mineroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25AFuerza Regia83-84
04/10/25HSantos109-86
03/10/25HSantos91-77
28/09/25HPanteras63-88
27/09/25HPanteras87-73
20/09/25HAstros83-97
19/09/25HAstros66-78
14/09/25ASoles60-92
14/09/25ASoles75-93
10/09/25HAbejas69-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuerza Regia
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %72%73%71%
Points / game93.291.195.6
Allowed / game82.280.384.4
Point differential+11.0+10.8+11.2
Avg total175.5171.3179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%60%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Mineros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL61%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %61%62%60%
Points / game85.085.684.5
Allowed / game82.178.885.5
Point differential+3.0+6.8-1.1
Avg total167.1164.4170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %6%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2926390%90.077.5+12.5
2 Soles2925486%88.377.2+11.1
3 Diablos Rojos2921872%92.481.2+11.2
4 Fuerza Regia2921872%93.282.2+11.0
5 Mineros31191261%85.082.1+3.0
6 Dorados31181358%86.281.3+4.9
7 Panteras31151648%87.886.7+1.1
8 Halcones de Xalapa32151747%80.679.8+0.8
9 El Calor de Cancun31121939%79.782.7-2.9
10 Correcaminos30111937%84.392.8-8.5
11 Gambusinos30102033%84.289.9-5.7
12 Santos3072323%79.488.8-9.4
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fuerza Regia2422192186
Mineros1926221481
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