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Mineros vs Santos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:05
Final 109-86
28-20 36-21 22-21 23-24
Position#5
Record18-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game81.9
Mineros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#12
Record7-22
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game88.1
MexicoLNBP· Auditorio Miguel Barragán
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mineros v Santos
07 Oct 2026
MINE82
SANT93
06 Oct 2026
MINE96
SANT75
03 Oct 2025
MINE109
SANT86
02 Oct 2025
MINE91
SANT77
03 Aug 2025
MINE84
SANT66
02 Aug 2025
MINE89
SANT79
09 Oct 2023
MINE81
SANT78
08 Oct 2023
MINE83
SANT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mineros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinerosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMineros
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
no box
A05/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
91-63
91
63
+28
no box
H09/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
H10/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
H19/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
83-97
83
97
-14
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
63-88
63
88
-25
no box
H28/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
91-77
91
77
+14
99avg 99
H03/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
15-18
21-17
16-14
23-15
17-22
30-15
21-11
17-19
22-16
15-17
15-12
22-16
22-27
12-30
19-20
16-24
11-27
19-23
14-18
19-20
19-17
13-20
15-21
18-17
13-29
28-28
24-23
22-15
22-19
24-18
19-21
12-26
15-30
17-9
19-23
17-23
29-16
25-23
20-15
155.5Avg total
75.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.381.9166.1+2.462%
Season at home (15)84.078.3162.3+5.760%
Season away (14)84.685.6170.2-1.164%
Last 10 (10)75.979.6155.5-3.750%
Last 5 (5)78.082.6160.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.285.1158.3-11.922%
vs Similar (8)85.684.5170.1+1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.278.4167.6+10.885%
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSantos
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
L
65-96
65
96
-31
no box
A05/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
H09/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
H10/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
60-90
60
90
-30
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H19/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
H27/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
57-89
57
89
-32
no box
H28/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
62avg 62
A03/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
13-16
16-26
21-25
23-19
27-27
18-25
17-16
23-20
24-27
22-14
17-22
26-19
21-19
23-11
17-25
18-20
11-19
21-30
10-21
21-10
19-22
22-19
25-18
16-18
18-15
20-24
24-14
34-23
24-21
16-22
19-17
12-28
14-27
18-18
13-16
23-17
16-29
23-25
15-20
160.8Avg total
77.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.188.1167.2-9.024%
Season at home (14)83.486.9170.3-3.643%
Season away (15)75.289.2164.4-14.07%
Last 10 (10)77.583.3160.8-5.850%
Last 5 (5)78.480.6159.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.290.6166.9-14.49%
vs Similar (6)89.786.3176.0+3.350%
vs Weaker (2)82.570.0152.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Mineros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
MinerosSantos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A05/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H09/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A14/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A14/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H20/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
27-56
27
56
-29
H28/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/10
LNBP
79.1Avg total
37.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.781.2-2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.680.1+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.443.982.3-5.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.879.1-4.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.479.6-5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.344.077.3-10.722%-
vs Similar (8)42.043.085.0-1.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.139.481.5+2.769%-
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A05/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H09/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H19/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H27/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
26-55
26
55
-29
H28/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A03/10
LNBP
82.3Avg total
39.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.946.886.7-6.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.347.189.4-4.740%-
Last 30 away (15)37.546.584.1-9.013%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.582.3-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.081.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.947.785.5-9.814%-
vs Similar (6)48.548.396.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)37.032.569.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Mineros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mineros: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.019.0
63.3%
50.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.014.0
48.3%
36.9%42.0
🏀 Free throws12.011.0
91.7%
74.6%11.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santos: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.0
58.3%
50.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.0
25.8%
36.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.09.0
64.3%
74.6%9.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mineros
WLWLLLLWWW
Santos
LLWWWLWWLL
#5
League position
#12
+21.6
Net rating
-21.6
122.6
Offensive rating
101.1
101.1
Defensive rating
122.6
67.8%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
67.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
10.9%
16.0%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.21
48.3%
3-point %
25.8%
87.9%
Assist %
37.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.6 · 101.1Defence101.1 · 122.6Shooting67.8% · 49.3%3-point %48.3% · 25.8%Ball care19.9% · 10.9%Off. rebounds16.0% · 21.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mineros   ■ Santos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mineros wins
2
Santos wins
DateGameScore
03/10/25Mineros v Santos91-77
04/08/25Mineros v Santos84-66
03/08/25Mineros v Santos89-79
19/09/24Santos v Mineros87-82
18/09/24Santos v Mineros107-62
10/10/23Mineros v Santos81-78
09/10/23Mineros v Santos83-78
Mineroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25HSantos91-77
28/09/25HPanteras63-88
27/09/25HPanteras87-73
20/09/25HAstros83-97
19/09/25HAstros66-78
14/09/25ASoles60-92
14/09/25ASoles75-93
10/09/25HAbejas69-64
09/09/25HAbejas91-63
05/09/25AHalcones de Xalapa74-71
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25AMineros77-91
28/09/25HDorados57-89
27/09/25HDorados93-83
20/09/25HFreseros78-71
19/09/25HFreseros87-69
14/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun60-90
14/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun87-74
10/09/25HCorrecaminos86-83
09/09/25HCorrecaminos85-87
05/09/25APanteras65-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mineros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeLLWLW60%
AwayLLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game84.384.084.6
Allowed / game81.978.385.6
Point differential+2.4+5.7-1.1
Avg total166.1162.3170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Santos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL24%
HomeWWWWL43%
AwayLLWLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %24%43%7%
Points / game79.183.475.2
Allowed / game88.186.989.2
Point differential-9.0-3.6-14.0
Avg total167.2170.3164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2825389%90.477.6+12.8
2 Soles2825389%88.977.1+11.8
3 Fuerza Regia2820871%93.682.2+11.4
4 Diablos Rojos2820871%92.481.1+11.3
5 Mineros29181162%84.381.9+2.4
6 Dorados30181260%86.280.9+5.3
7 Halcones de Xalapa30141647%81.180.3+0.9
8 Panteras29131645%87.387.2+0.2
9 El Calor de Cancun30121840%80.283.1-2.8
10 Correcaminos29111838%84.192.2-8.1
11 Gambusinos30102033%84.289.9-5.7
12 Santos2972224%79.188.1-9.0
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mineros28362223109
Santos2021212486
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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