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Fukuoka vs Shiga Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 80-78
25-17 17-21 23-23 15-17
Position#4
Record31-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.2
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Shiga
Japan
Position#2
Record33-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game80.8
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Shiga
06 Apr 2024
FUKU78
SHIG90
05 Apr 2024
FUKU67
SHIG97
12 Mar 2024
FUKU66
SHIG77
11 Mar 2024
FUKU80
SHIG78
27 Mar 2019
FUKU71
SHIG73
16 Dec 2018
FUKU65
SHIG56
15 Dec 2018
FUKU70
SHIG78
06 Mar 2015
FUKU85
SHIG95
05 Mar 2015
FUKU93
SHIG95
29 Nov 2013
FUKU78
SHIG87
28 Nov 2013
FUKU96
SHIG75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
78avg 72
A03/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
84-74 OT
84
74
+10
no box
A04/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 72
H09/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
85-78
85
78
+7
87avg 72
H10/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
59-74
59
74
-15
54avg 72
A16/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
81-66
81
66
+15
68avg 72
A17/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
72-83
72
83
-11
73avg 72
H23/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
71avg 72
H24/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 72
A02/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
78avg 72
A03/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
18-23
19-21
24-19
12-17
24-19
16-16
15-15
18-20
20-12
21-13
16-9
27-19
15-20
22-19
21-20
19-16
18-25
10-19
12-14
17-23
26-15
19-17
19-11
14-18
19-22
22-24
17-19
10-18
28-11
21-20
12-20
14-22
24-16
14-20
25-15
22-20
25-28
12-9
23-17
149.9Avg total
77.4Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)78.074.2152.2+3.769%
Season at home (21)79.976.1156.0+3.867%
Season away (24)76.372.6148.9+3.771%
Last 10 (10)77.472.5149.9+4.980%
Last 5 (5)76.673.0149.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.274.3144.5-4.233%
vs Similar (13)78.272.2150.3+6.085%
vs Weaker (11)78.175.5153.6+2.555%
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
68-105
68
105
-37
57avg 84
A03/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-116
80
116
-36
70avg 84
A04/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
100avg 84
H10/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
76avg 84
H11/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
92-76
92
76
+16
102avg 84
A17/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
107-92
107
92
+15
110avg 84
A18/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-64
84
64
+20
79avg 84
H23/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
85-72
85
72
+13
77avg 84
H24/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
88-58
88
58
+30
87avg 84
H02/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
81-74
81
74
+7
69avg 84
H03/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-35
13-21
19-30
13-19
16-37
23-31
26-25
15-23
26-22
21-16
21-19
32-25
24-12
18-26
19-15
17-22
24-25
21-12
24-19
23-20
22-20
34-21
26-31
25-20
12-26
21-13
26-12
25-13
27-17
18-24
16-19
24-12
26-24
19-13
21-10
22-11
19-19
25-18
17-16
20-21
167.7Avg total
86.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)88.180.8168.9+7.473%
Season at home (24)88.177.6165.7+10.575%
Season away (21)88.184.3172.5+3.871%
Last 10 (10)86.381.4167.7+4.980%
Last 5 (5)89.072.0161.0+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.0110.5184.5-36.50%
vs Similar (2)84.568.0152.5+16.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)92.282.1174.2+10.185%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
FukuokaShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A03/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A04/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H09/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H10/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H24/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A02/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A03/03
B2.League
77.8Avg total
39.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.275.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.637.576.2+1.162%-
Last 30 away (17)38.336.975.2+1.441%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.177.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.678.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.339.576.8-2.233%-
vs Similar (13)38.837.376.2+1.546%-
vs Weaker (11)38.535.774.3+2.864%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A03/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-68
39
68
-29
A04/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H10/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H11/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A17/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A18/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H23/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H24/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H03/03
B2.League
86.4Avg total
43.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.884.4+2.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.138.581.6+4.682%-
Last 30 away (13)44.443.888.2+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.286.4+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.083.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.562.099.5-24.50%-
vs Similar (2)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.539.283.7+5.381%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.7
55.9%
52.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.9
29.5%
33.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.212.0
74.1%
71.0%12.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.423.5
61.2%
52.4%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.813.9
66.8%
71.0%13.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWWLWLWWWW
Shiga
WWWWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#2
+6.3
Net rating
+6.7
109.7
Offensive rating
112.1
103.4
Defensive rating
105.5
51.5%
Effective FG%
56.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.5%
3-point %
32.9%
74.1%
Assist %
68.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 112.1Defence103.4 · 105.5Shooting51.5% · 56.6%3-point %29.5% · 32.9%Ball care17.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fukuoka wins
6
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Shiga v Fukuoka81-84
14/10/23Shiga v Fukuoka61-75
07/04/19Shiga v Fukuoka92-77
06/04/19Shiga v Fukuoka91-80
27/03/19Fukuoka v Shiga71-73
30/01/19Shiga v Fukuoka83-72
16/12/18Fukuoka v Shiga65-56
15/12/18Fukuoka v Shiga70-78
22/03/15Shiga v Fukuoka74-76
21/03/15Shiga v Fukuoka102-87
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AKobe82-74
02/03/24AKobe77-73
24/02/24HIwate71-69
23/02/24HIwate72-83
17/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas81-66
16/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas59-74
10/02/24HKumamoto85-78
09/02/24HKumamoto75-54
04/02/24AAomori84-74 OT
03/02/24AAomori88-80
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings81-74
02/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings88-58
24/02/24HKoshigaya Alphas85-72
23/02/24HKoshigaya Alphas84-64
18/02/24AYamagata Wyverns107-92
17/02/24AYamagata Wyverns92-76
11/02/24HShizuoka78-75
10/02/24HShizuoka100-82
04/02/24AAltiri Chiba80-116
03/02/24AAltiri Chiba68-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game78.079.976.3
Allowed / game74.276.172.6
Point differential+3.7+3.8+3.7
Avg total152.2156.0148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%24%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (12)75% (8)100% (4)
Overtime %9%14%4%
Shiga
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game88.188.188.1
Allowed / game80.877.684.3
Point differential+7.4+10.5+3.8
Avg total168.9165.7172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%54%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4743491%91.376.6+14.7
2 Shiga45331273%88.180.8+7.4
3 Fukuoka45311469%78.074.2+3.7
4 Kumamoto47311666%85.583.3+2.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas47272057%83.574.7+8.8
6 Aomori47262155%85.686.8-1.2
7 Yamagata Wyverns47222547%81.685.9-4.3
8 Kobe47202743%79.078.6+0.3
9 Shizuoka47202743%80.681.4-0.9
10 Fukushima47192840%81.384.7-3.4
11 Nara47182938%73.577.4-3.9
12 Ehime Orange Vikings47163134%78.985.0-6.1
13 Iwate47153232%71.575.1-3.6
14 Niigata4764113%73.687.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2517231580
Shiga1721231778
← all games of the day
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