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Fukuoka vs Iwate Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 72-83
14-18 19-22 22-24 17-19
Position#4
Record28-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Iwate 🏆
Japan
Position#13
Record12-29
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game74.5
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Iwate
24 Feb 2024
FUKU71
IWAT69
23 Feb 2024
FUKU72
IWAT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iwate winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
48avg 72
A21/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
62avg 72
H26/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
90-64
90
64
+26
92avg 72
H27/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 72
A31/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
78avg 72
A03/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
84-74 OT
84
74
+10
no box
A04/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 72
H09/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
85-78
85
78
+7
87avg 72
H10/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
59-74
59
74
-15
54avg 72
A16/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
81-66
81
66
+15
68avg 72
A17/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
17-19
8-17
19-27
16-14
20-23
17-16
16-22
29-16
12-20
21-13
28-15
18-19
22-19
24-18
19-18
27-17
18-23
19-21
24-19
12-17
24-19
16-16
15-15
18-20
20-12
21-13
16-9
27-19
15-20
22-19
21-20
19-16
18-25
10-19
12-14
17-23
26-15
19-17
19-11
150.0Avg total
77.3Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)78.274.2152.4+4.068%
Season at home (19)80.876.2156.9+4.668%
Season away (22)76.072.5148.5+3.568%
Last 10 (10)77.372.7150.0+4.670%
Last 5 (5)76.869.2146.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.274.3144.5-4.233%
vs Similar (15)80.176.7156.7+3.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.675.4155.0+4.156%
This opponent (Iwate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
64avg 59
A21/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
62-51
62
51
+11
50avg 59
A27/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 59
A28/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-62
78
62
+16
74avg 59
H31/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
54avg 59
A03/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
69-67
69
67
+2
58avg 59
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 59
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
77-58
77
58
+19
73avg 59
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
60-65
60
65
-5
46avg 59
A17/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
13-23
31-12
12-19
20-21
15-13
9-10
18-7
11-20
25-19
18-24
16-22
19-14
22-17
17-16
20-15
21-18
12-28
16-24
19-19
18-15
22-20
18-19
11-13
12-28
28-13
20-12
18-27
16-12
20-18
26-16
15-12
14-21
22-19
18-15
21-20
14-19
21-13
14-25
11-8
144.2Avg total
72.5Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)70.274.5144.7-4.329%
Season at home (20)69.872.5142.3-2.730%
Season away (21)70.676.4147.0-5.829%
Last 10 (10)72.571.7144.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)73.869.8143.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.672.6139.3-6.027%
vs Similar (15)74.774.1148.7+0.640%
vs Weaker (4)71.069.2140.2+1.850%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
FukuokaIwate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A21/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A03/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A04/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H09/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H10/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
B2.League
77.1Avg total
39.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.776.5+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.739.479.1+0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.736.173.8+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.177.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.276.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.339.576.8-2.233%-
vs Similar (15)39.038.177.1+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.236.075.2+3.267%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A21/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A27/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H31/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A03/02
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H11/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/02
B2.League
74.5Avg total
36.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.175.6-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.435.873.2+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.177.8-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.874.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.673.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.838.073.8-2.236%-
vs Similar (15)38.738.276.9+0.547%-
vs Weaker (4)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.5
52.0%
52.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
33.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws14.910.2
68.5%
71.0%10.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.4
47.3%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.0
27.2%
33.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.111.0
64.3%
71.0%11.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WLWWWWWWLL
Iwate
LWWLWLWLWL
#4
League position
#13
+2.0
Net rating
-2.4
106.9
Offensive rating
97.2
104.8
Defensive rating
99.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
44.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
27.2%
69.8%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 97.2Defence104.8 · 99.6Shooting50.5% · 44.4%3-point %31.9% · 27.2%Ball care16.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.3% · 31.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Iwate
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fukuoka wins
2
Iwate wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Iwate v Fukuoka70-79
04/11/23Iwate v Fukuoka56-81
22/12/13Iwate v Fukuoka78-68
21/12/13Iwate v Fukuoka85-77
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas81-66
16/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas59-74
10/02/24HKumamoto85-78
09/02/24HKumamoto75-54
04/02/24AAomori84-74 OT
03/02/24AAomori88-80
31/01/24ANara83-74
27/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas90-64
26/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas69-75
21/01/24AAltiri Chiba59-88
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings60-65
16/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings85-79 OT
11/02/24HFukushima77-58
10/02/24HFukushima78-80
04/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas69-67
03/02/24AKoshigaya Alphas68-89
31/01/24HYamagata Wyverns78-62
28/01/24AKobe70-85
27/01/24AKobe62-51
21/01/24AFukushima78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWLWWW68%
AwayWWWLW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %68%68%68%
Points / game78.280.876.0
Allowed / game74.276.272.5
Point differential+4.0+4.6+3.5
Avg total152.4156.9148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%26%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)71% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %10%16%5%
Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL29%
HomeLLWLW30%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %29%30%29%
Points / game70.269.870.6
Allowed / game74.572.576.4
Point differential-4.3-2.6-5.8
Avg total144.7142.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)20% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4138393%90.475.4+15.0
2 Shiga42301271%88.481.7+6.7
3 Fukuoka41281368%78.274.2+4.0
4 Kumamoto41281368%85.181.8+3.3
5 Koshigaya Alphas42251760%84.074.4+9.6
6 Aomori41212051%85.187.4-2.3
7 Yamagata Wyverns41202149%82.186.1-4.0
8 Kobe42182443%79.078.3+0.7
9 Shizuoka41172441%79.981.7-1.8
10 Fukushima41162539%80.884.9-4.0
11 Nara42162638%73.877.8-4.0
12 Ehime Orange Vikings41142734%78.984.9-6.0
13 Iwate41122929%70.274.5-4.3
14 Niigata4163515%72.585.7-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka1419221772
Iwate1822241983
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