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Fukuoka vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 94-101
22-25 15-15 26-26 31-35
Position#2
Record45-21
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record40-27
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game77.7
JapanB2.LeagueB2.League - 3rd place· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukuoka v Shinshu
19 May 2025
FUKU94
SHIN101
18 May 2025
FUKU68
SHIN65
17 May 2025
FUKU68
SHIN72
18 Dec 2024
FUKU87
SHIN79
13 Apr 2014
FUKU92
SHIN89
12 Apr 2014
FUKU67
SHIN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 79
H11/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
75-61
75
61
+14
67avg 79
H12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
77-81
77
81
-4
67avg 79
H19/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
84-64
84
64
+20
85avg 79
H20/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
74-46
74
46
+28
75avg 79
H04/05
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
85avg 79
H05/05
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 79
H10/05
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
95-104
95
104
-9
88avg 79
H11/05
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
68-72
68
72
-4
58avg 79
H17/05
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
68-65
68
65
+3
61avg 79
H18/05
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
23-19
23-16
18-12
23-15
19-23
13-16
20-7
21-19
19-24
13-23
24-15
19-15
24-16
26-15
15-18
16-14
21-8
22-13
15-11
19-23
28-13
19-21
22-16
31-33
19-22
12-14
15-15
20-27
19-21
29-24
27-32
10-19
14-11
18-32
26-10
14-16
25-15
11-18
18-16
149.9Avg total
78.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)82.574.0156.5+8.468%
Season at home (36)83.873.6157.4+10.272%
Season away (30)80.874.6155.4+6.263%
Last 10 (10)78.271.7149.9+6.560%
Last 5 (5)79.279.6158.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.079.5140.5-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.783.3167.0+0.443%
vs Weaker (21)81.870.7152.5+11.171%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
96-72
96
72
+24
99avg 79
H13/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 79
A19/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 79
A20/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
74-96
74
96
-22
61avg 79
A04/05
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
A05/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
59-83
59
83
-24
44avg 79
A10/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
57avg 79
A11/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
72-68
72
68
+4
73avg 79
A17/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
65-68
65
68
-3
61avg 79
A18/05
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
27-25
17-16
31-16
23-23
22-18
20-24
20-26
18-19
16-22
17-17
22-24
17-17
23-20
13-16
25-22
23-25
20-24
11-22
20-25
22-22
23-14
25-24
21-13
18-31
13-21
14-19
14-12
25-22
13-19
15-15
13-19
19-10
11-14
32-18
10-26
16-14
15-25
18-11
16-18
154.2Avg total
75.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)82.877.7160.5+5.060%
Season at home (30)86.076.4162.4+9.670%
Season away (37)80.178.9159.0+1.351%
Last 10 (10)75.978.3154.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)70.673.4144.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.786.7159.3-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.878.4157.2+0.555%
vs Weaker (13)79.274.9154.2+4.369%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
FukuokaShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H19/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H20/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/05
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H05/05
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H10/05
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H11/05
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H17/05
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H18/05
B2.League
76.9Avg total
39.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.979.3+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.538.079.5+3.558%-
Last 30 away (11)41.237.678.8+3.573%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.376.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.079.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.044.075.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.040.981.9+0.143%-
vs Weaker (21)42.536.378.8+6.276%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H13/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A03/05
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A04/05
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A10/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A17/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A18/05
B2.League
78.5Avg total
38.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.478.9-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.041.581.5-1.545%-
Last 30 away (19)37.539.877.4-2.337%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.078.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.473.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.045.780.7-10.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.638.976.5-1.336%-
vs Weaker (13)40.739.380.0+1.454%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.9
52.5%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.6
31.7%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.617.6
71.5%
70.7%17.6
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.7
45.8%
51.0%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.4
32.2%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws14.110.1
71.6%
70.7%10.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WLLLWWWLWW
Shinshu
LWLLWLWLLW
#2
League position
#5
+11.5
Net rating
-5.7
108.4
Offensive rating
97.8
96.9
Defensive rating
103.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
46.8%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.7%
3-point %
32.2%
62.3%
Assist %
62.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 97.8Defence96.9 · 103.5Shooting50.5% · 46.8%3-point %31.7% · 32.2%Ball care15.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fukuoka wins
4
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
18/05/25Fukuoka v Shinshu68-65
17/05/25Fukuoka v Shinshu68-72
02/02/25Shinshu v Fukuoka86-81
01/02/25Shinshu v Fukuoka82-94
18/12/24Fukuoka v Shinshu87-79
23/10/24Shinshu v Fukuoka92-77
13/04/14Fukuoka v Shinshu92-89
12/04/14Fukuoka v Shinshu67-89
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25HShinshu68-65
17/05/25HShinshu68-72
11/05/25HToyama95-104
10/05/25HToyama77-84
05/05/25HFukui88-73
04/05/25HFukui74-46
20/04/25HKumamoto84-64
19/04/25HKumamoto77-81
12/04/25HShizuoka75-61
11/04/25HShizuoka76-67
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AFukuoka65-68
17/05/25AFukuoka72-68
11/05/25AAltiri Chiba66-75
10/05/25AAltiri Chiba59-83
05/05/25AKagoshima Rebnise91-73
04/05/25AKagoshima Rebnise74-96
03/05/25AKagoshima Rebnise78-75
20/04/25AAltiri Chiba73-82
19/04/25AAltiri Chiba85-91
13/04/25HAomori96-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW68%
HomeWLLLW72%
AwayLWWWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663630
Win %68%72%63%
Points / game82.583.880.8
Allowed / game74.073.674.6
Point differential+8.4+10.2+6.2
Avg total156.5157.4155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%53%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)60% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayWLLWL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673037
Win %60%70%51%
Points / game82.886.080.1
Allowed / game77.776.478.9
Point differential+5.0+9.6+1.3
Avg total160.5162.4159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %7%3%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba6662494%91.174.6+16.5
2 Fukuoka66452168%82.574.0+8.4
3 Toyama67432464%88.282.3+5.9
4 Kagoshima Rebnise63382560%82.278.7+3.5
5 Shinshu67402760%82.877.7+5.0
6 Shizuoka63352856%77.575.8+1.6
7 Fukui62323052%81.380.8+0.5
8 Kumamoto62273544%79.180.3-1.1
9 Nara60263443%76.180.2-4.1
10 Kobe60253542%80.082.3-2.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns60243640%78.881.2-2.4
12 Aomori60213935%77.886.0-8.2
13 Fukushima60154525%73.382.0-8.7
14 Ehime Orange Vikings605558%71.490.2-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2215263194
Shinshu25152635101
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