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Fukuoka vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 87-79
11-16 23-28 27-16 26-19
Position#2
Record17-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game74.1
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#5
Record15-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game76.0
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukuoka v Shinshu
19 May 2025
FUKU94
SHIN101
18 May 2025
FUKU68
SHIN65
17 May 2025
FUKU68
SHIN72
18 Dec 2024
FUKU87
SHIN79
13 Apr 2014
FUKU92
SHIN89
12 Apr 2014
FUKU67
SHIN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
83avg 75
A16/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
102-83
102
83
+19
98avg 75
A17/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
90avg 75
A23/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
84-71
84
71
+13
90avg 75
A24/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
77-56
77
56
+21
74avg 75
H29/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
94-80
94
80
+14
98avg 75
H30/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 75
A07/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
89-78
89
78
+11
87avg 75
A08/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
78-58
78
58
+20
70avg 75
A14/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
84-81
84
81
+3
79avg 75
A15/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
24-12
23-16
19-26
30-14
23-23
27-19
22-27
20-14
19-20
17-20
30-23
19-26
27-17
17-15
21-13
15-20
21-11
26-13
15-12
21-25
32-21
18-15
23-19
13-15
31-13
24-13
21-21
23-17
23-15
22-24
21-22
24-22
20-10
19-16
15-10
11-26
27-15
28-18
18-22
158.1Avg total
86.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.274.1158.3+10.074%
Season at home (10)87.673.1160.7+14.580%
Season away (13)81.574.9156.5+6.669%
Last 10 (10)86.271.9158.1+14.3100%
Last 5 (5)86.871.8158.6+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.588.5164.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.181.4161.6-1.343%
vs Weaker (21)84.372.8157.1+11.676%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
70avg 72
A16/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
112-80
112
80
+32
108avg 72
A17/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
66-68
66
68
-2
59avg 72
H25/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
82-63
82
63
+19
84avg 72
H26/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
105-72
105
72
+33
110avg 72
H30/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
109avg 72
H01/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
104-80
104
80
+24
103avg 72
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
108-58
108
58
+50
107avg 72
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
61avg 72
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 72
A15/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
15-14
18-24
21-12
27-6
37-22
27-31
21-21
11-25
23-16
18-13
14-14
21-18
18-18
22-10
21-17
15-12
36-21
27-15
27-24
28-16
27-27
25-23
21-7
26-10
25-23
30-23
23-24
24-10
30-11
31-19
23-18
10-27
23-18
23-26
17-19
18-22
19-28
26-22
14-17
165.7Avg total
90.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.676.0163.6+11.765%
Season at home (11)89.770.9160.6+18.882%
Season away (12)85.780.6166.2+5.150%
Last 10 (10)90.375.4165.7+14.960%
Last 5 (5)92.678.0170.6+14.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.683.6157.1-10.014%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.871.6149.4+6.280%
vs Weaker (18)90.174.7164.8+15.372%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +9.0+9.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +9.0+9.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
FukuokaShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A17/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A23/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H30/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A07/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A08/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/12
B2.League
79.1Avg total
43.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.182.9+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.738.784.4+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)41.939.581.5+2.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.635.579.1+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.880.8+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.047.092.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.143.483.6-3.329%-
vs Weaker (21)45.036.981.9+8.086%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A16/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
64-28
64
28
+36
A17/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H30/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H01/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A15/12
B2.League
80.9Avg total
44.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.878.8+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.935.581.4+10.577%-
Last 30 away (17)39.137.876.8+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.736.280.9+8.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.484.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.145.081.1-8.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.833.674.4+7.280%-
vs Weaker (18)44.734.479.1+10.272%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.722.1
60.2%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.38.1
38.0%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.916.6
66.7%
70.7%16.6
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.324.3
56.1%
51.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.5
32.1%
32.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
70.7%15.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWWWWWWWWW
Shinshu
LLWWWWWLWL
#2
League position
#5
+17.7
Net rating
+19.2
117.0
Offensive rating
112.6
99.3
Defensive rating
93.3
59.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
13.0%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.0%
3-point %
32.1%
64.6%
Assist %
69.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 112.6Defence99.3 · 93.3Shooting59.1% · 53.1%3-point %38.0% · 32.1%Ball care17.8% · 13.0%Off. rebounds30.4% · 24.2%Free throws0.43 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fukuoka wins
2
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
23/10/24Shinshu v Fukuoka92-77
13/04/14Fukuoka v Shinshu92-89
12/04/14Fukuoka v Shinshu67-89
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AToyama84-81
14/12/24AToyama78-58
08/12/24AYamagata Wyverns89-78
07/12/24AYamagata Wyverns89-62
30/11/24HAomori94-80
29/11/24HAomori77-56
24/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise84-71
23/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise86-77
17/11/24AShizuoka102-83
16/11/24AShizuoka79-73
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AAltiri Chiba77-89
14/12/24AAltiri Chiba73-90
08/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings108-58
07/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings104-80
01/12/24HKobe101-73
30/11/24HKobe105-72
26/11/24HNara82-63
25/11/24HNara66-68
17/11/24AAomori112-80
16/11/24AAomori75-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %74%80%69%
Points / game84.287.681.5
Allowed / game74.173.174.9
Point differential+10.0+14.5+6.6
Avg total158.3160.7156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%70%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%82%50%
Points / game87.689.785.7
Allowed / game76.070.980.6
Point differential+11.7+18.8+5.1
Avg total163.6160.6166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%73%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %13%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2423196%92.976.4+16.5
2 Fukuoka2317674%84.274.1+10.0
3 Fukui2417771%82.877.6+5.1
4 Toyama2316770%86.078.4+7.6
5 Kagoshima Rebnise2416867%83.078.7+4.3
6 Shinshu2315865%87.676.0+11.7
7 Shizuoka24141058%76.474.7+1.7
8 Aomori24101442%78.586.3-7.8
9 Nara2491538%76.178.8-2.6
10 Kobe2491538%82.085.8-3.8
11 Yamagata Wyverns2491538%80.584.3-3.8
12 Fukushima2351822%73.382.2-8.9
13 Kumamoto2451921%76.586.4-10.0
14 Ehime Orange Vikings241234%75.094.1-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka1123272687
Shinshu1628161979
← all games of the day
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