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Fukuoka vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 77-81
21-19 19-24 13-23 24-15
Position#2
Record41-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game74.1
Fukuoka
Japan
vs
Kumamoto 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record26-32
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.9
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukuoka v Kumamoto
20 Apr 2025
FUKU84
KUMA64
19 Apr 2025
FUKU77
KUMA81
13 Oct 2024
FUKU88
KUMA60
12 Oct 2024
FUKU90
KUMA65
10 Feb 2024
FUKU85
KUMA78
09 Feb 2024
FUKU75
KUMA54
18 Nov 2023
FUKU91
KUMA83
17 Nov 2023
FUKU75
KUMA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
62-79
62
79
-17
49avg 79
A16/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
84avg 79
H22/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
67-82
67
82
-15
57avg 79
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
85-95
85
95
-10
77avg 79
H26/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
84-62
84
62
+22
79avg 79
A28/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
100-71
100
71
+29
87avg 79
A29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
93avg 79
A05/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
90-76
90
76
+14
95avg 79
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 79
H11/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
75-61
75
61
+14
67avg 79
H12/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-32
21-15
11-14
17-18
20-19
19-19
23-23
27-19
18-27
18-25
20-14
11-16
18-21
18-30
22-18
27-26
25-11
23-9
23-12
13-30
23-15
29-25
21-16
27-15
24-19
27-20
16-17
22-16
26-22
26-23
18-18
20-13
12-20
23-19
23-16
18-12
23-15
19-23
13-16
20-7
156.2Avg total
81.7Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)82.974.1157.0+8.971%
Season at home (28)85.273.5158.8+11.779%
Season away (30)80.874.6155.4+6.263%
Last 10 (10)81.774.5156.2+7.270%
Last 5 (5)86.069.4155.4+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.079.5140.5-18.50%
vs Similar (4)93.085.0178.0+8.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.872.4155.1+10.471%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 74
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
105-50
105
50
+55
113avg 74
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
88-70
88
70
+18
78avg 74
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 74
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
51avg 74
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
112-57
112
57
+55
118avg 74
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 74
A05/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
90avg 74
A06/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
103-96
103
96
+7
101avg 74
H12/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
82avg 74
H13/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
16-28
15-11
29-21
32-13
30-10
23-11
20-16
23-11
26-16
25-19
14-24
19-13
19-18
16-25
24-30
19-25
14-13
16-16
15-13
22-7
31-15
30-21
29-14
15-25
28-17
22-17
20-21
17-21
19-20
26-12
10-19
22-25
29-23
26-23
26-25
18-29
27-27
19-19
25-22
167.5Avg total
89.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)79.579.9159.4-0.445%
Season at home (30)79.677.5157.0+2.147%
Season away (28)79.482.4161.9-3.043%
Last 10 (10)89.977.6167.5+12.360%
Last 5 (5)95.684.6180.2+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.880.6159.3-1.850%
vs Similar (8)80.873.1153.9+7.650%
vs Weaker (10)86.267.6153.8+18.690%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
FukuokaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A16/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H26/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
48-20
48
20
+28
A28/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A05/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/04
B2.League
83.4Avg total
42.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.980.4+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.581.3+4.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.337.379.6+4.980%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.983.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.286.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.044.075.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (4)45.241.887.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.036.879.8+6.275%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H12/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H13/04
B2.League
82.8Avg total
45.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.278.7+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.434.977.3+7.560%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.580.2+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.682.8+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.887.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.141.780.8-2.642%-
vs Similar (8)40.635.676.2+5.062%-
vs Weaker (10)45.333.078.3+12.380%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.3
53.6%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.617.7
72.0%
70.7%17.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.3
52.6%
51.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.6
39.3%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.915.9
66.5%
70.7%15.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWWWWWLLWL
Kumamoto
LWLWWLLWWW
#2
League position
#8
+10.5
Net rating
+16.4
114.5
Offensive rating
115.1
104.0
Defensive rating
98.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
37.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.9%
3-point %
39.3%
73.1%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 115.1Defence104.0 · 98.7Shooting52.5% · 54.9%3-point %33.9% · 39.3%Ball care13.4% · 18.8%Off. rebounds28.3% · 37.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fukuoka wins
4
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Kumamoto v Fukuoka57-55
15/02/25Kumamoto v Fukuoka84-80
13/10/24Fukuoka v Kumamoto88-60
12/10/24Fukuoka v Kumamoto90-65
14/04/24Kumamoto v Fukuoka91-85
13/04/24Kumamoto v Fukuoka92-106
10/02/24Fukuoka v Kumamoto85-78
09/02/24Fukuoka v Kumamoto75-54
18/11/23Fukuoka v Kumamoto91-83
17/11/23Fukuoka v Kumamoto75-99
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HShizuoka75-61
11/04/25HShizuoka76-67
06/04/25ANara90-76
05/04/25ANara89-72
29/03/25AEhime Orange Vikings100-71
28/03/25AEhime Orange Vikings84-62
26/03/25HKobe85-95
23/03/25HFukui67-82
22/03/25HFukui89-80
16/03/25AAltiri Chiba62-79
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HToyama89-97
12/04/25HToyama103-96
06/04/25AKagoshima Rebnise89-93 OT
05/04/25AKagoshima Rebnise85-80
30/03/25HNara112-57
29/03/25HNara64-67
26/03/25AShizuoka78-86
23/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings88-70
22/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings105-50
16/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise86-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWLLWW79%
AwayLWWWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %71%79%63%
Points / game82.985.280.8
Allowed / game74.173.574.6
Point differential+8.9+11.7+6.2
Avg total157.0158.8155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%57%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL45%
HomeWLWWL47%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %45%47%43%
Points / game79.579.679.4
Allowed / game79.977.582.4
Point differential-0.4+2.1-3.0
Avg total159.4157.0161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)50% (10)67% (6)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5956395%91.674.7+17.0
2 Fukuoka58411771%82.974.1+8.9
3 Toyama58372164%88.081.8+6.2
4 Shinshu59372263%84.277.8+6.4
5 Kagoshima Rebnise58362262%82.378.2+4.1
6 Shizuoka58332557%77.875.6+2.2
7 Fukui58312753%81.580.1+1.4
8 Kumamoto58263245%79.579.9-0.4
9 Nara58253343%76.180.3-4.2
10 Kobe58243441%79.882.3-2.6
11 Yamagata Wyverns58223638%78.581.5-3.0
12 Aomori58203834%77.785.9-8.2
13 Fukushima58144424%72.882.0-9.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings585539%71.490.3-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2119132477
Kumamoto1924231581
← all games of the day
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