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Fukushima vs Kagoshima Rebnise Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 04:35
Final 73-82
22-18 16-19 22-27 13-18
Position#13
Record12-34
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#4
Record28-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game78.7
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukushima v Kagoshima Rebnise
09 Mar 2025
FUKU73
KAGO82
08 Mar 2025
FUKU67
KAGO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kagoshima Rebnise winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
97avg 69
H02/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
65-93
65
93
-28
56avg 69
H08/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
81-97
81
97
-16
79avg 69
H09/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
64-68
64
68
-4
56avg 69
A15/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
88avg 69
A16/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
67-63
67
63
+4
60avg 69
A22/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
60-92
60
92
-32
46avg 69
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
62avg 69
H01/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
71-64
71
64
+7
69avg 69
H02/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
66avg 69
H08/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
11-30
27-9
25-19
21-17
12-29
14-27
18-20
28-29
19-26
16-22
18-20
15-13
16-16
20-18
13-21
15-24
16-13
18-14
35-23
20-17
11-22
19-8
17-16
12-23
11-32
18-22
19-15
20-17
15-26
23-22
19-23
21-17
16-21
14-17
20-9
14-15
15-18
19-18
19-13
152.3Avg total
72.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)72.582.3154.8-9.826%
Season at home (24)75.284.3159.6-9.129%
Season away (22)69.680.1149.7-10.523%
Last 10 (10)72.979.4152.3-6.550%
Last 5 (5)68.474.2142.6-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)70.082.1152.1-12.125%
vs Similar (2)74.071.0145.0+3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRebnise
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 74
H02/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
69avg 74
H08/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
68avg 74
H09/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
96-95
96
95
+1
85avg 74
A15/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 74
A16/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
69-102
69
102
-33
53avg 74
A21/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
79-82
79
82
-3
72avg 74
A22/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
76-85
76
85
-9
62avg 74
H01/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
59avg 74
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
64-67
64
67
-3
49avg 74
A08/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
11-20
27-11
22-27
12-8
24-23
16-20
14-15
17-24
22-15
20-20
22-18
18-29
21-16
29-27
28-23
25-27
18-20
11-17
28-25
17-28
23-19
12-34
17-21
14-16
23-18
18-14
24-34
26-21
23-16
16-28
11-20
22-22
14-24
28-21
14-14
15-14
18-15
18-19
13-19
165.1Avg total
79.1Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)81.978.7160.5+3.261%
Season at home (24)82.279.4161.6+2.862%
Season away (22)81.577.8159.4+3.759%
Last 10 (10)79.186.0165.1-6.920%
Last 5 (5)73.283.4156.6-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.587.2158.8-15.80%
vs Similar (8)82.683.0165.6-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.774.3160.0+11.378%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -9.1-9.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -9.1-9.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
FukushimaKagoshima Rebnise
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H02/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H08/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H09/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A15/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A22/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
23-55
23
55
-32
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H02/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H08/03
B2.League
75.2Avg total
32.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.142.978.1-7.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.443.279.6-6.813%-
Last 30 away (15)33.942.776.5-8.827%-
Last 10 (10)32.542.775.2-10.210%-
Last 5 (5)31.041.672.6-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.443.679.1-8.218%-
vs Similar (2)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H02/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H08/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A16/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A21/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A22/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H01/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A08/03
B2.League
79.0Avg total
38.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.581.1+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.939.681.5+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)41.239.380.5+1.846%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.677.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.280.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (8)38.040.478.4-2.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.738.782.4+4.972%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.1
51.5%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.111.4
66.7%
70.7%11.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kagoshima Rebnisetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kagoshima Rebnise: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.617.6
45.6%
51.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.6
30.8%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
70.7%17.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
WWLLWWLLLW
Kagoshima Rebnise
LLLLLLWWLL
#13
League position
#4
-8.6
Net rating
-9.9
99.3
Offensive rating
100.7
108.0
Defensive rating
110.6
50.4%
Effective FG%
45.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.5%
3-point %
30.8%
73.0%
Assist %
61.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 100.7Defence108.0 · 110.6Shooting50.4% · 45.9%3-point %32.5% · 30.8%Ball care19.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds26.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Fukushima   ■ Kagoshima Rebnise
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fukushima wins
2
Kagoshima Rebnise wins
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise67-64
02/03/25HFukuoka71-64
01/03/25HFukuoka77-88
23/02/25AKumamoto60-92
22/02/25AKumamoto67-63
16/02/25AAomori84-74
15/02/25AAomori64-68
09/02/25HAltiri Chiba81-97
08/02/25HAltiri Chiba65-93
02/02/25HToyama93-91 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AFukushima64-67
02/03/25HShizuoka78-81
01/03/25HShizuoka76-85
22/02/25AFukuoka79-82
21/02/25AFukuoka69-102
16/02/25AToyama82-89
15/02/25AToyama96-95
09/02/25HShinshu81-77
08/02/25HShinshu87-91 OT
02/02/25HNara79-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW26%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayLLWWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %26%29%23%
Points / game72.575.269.6
Allowed / game82.384.380.1
Point differential-9.8-9.1-10.5
Avg total154.8159.6149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %7%4%9%
Kagoshima Rebnise
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL61%
HomeLLWLL62%
AwayWLLLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %61%62%59%
Points / game81.982.281.5
Allowed / game78.779.477.8
Point differential+3.2+2.8+3.7
Avg total160.5161.6159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4643393%91.774.8+16.9
2 Fukuoka47341372%83.773.9+9.8
3 Shinshu45301567%85.877.6+8.2
4 Toyama45281762%88.481.8+6.6
5 Kagoshima Rebnise46281861%81.978.7+3.2
6 Shizuoka47281960%77.375.3+2.1
7 Fukui46271959%82.880.0+2.8
8 Kumamoto45192642%77.780.5-2.8
9 Nara46192741%77.080.1-3.1
10 Aomori46182839%78.385.5-7.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns45172838%79.883.2-3.4
12 Kobe46153133%78.383.6-5.2
13 Fukushima46123426%72.582.3-9.8
14 Ehime Orange Vikings463437%72.490.7-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima2216221373
Kagoshima Rebnise1819271882
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