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Fukushima vs Kagoshima Rebnise Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 67-64
14-15 15-18 19-18 19-13
Position#13
Record11-34
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#4
Record28-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game78.9
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukushima v Kagoshima Rebnise
09 Mar 2025
FUKU73
KAGO82
08 Mar 2025
FUKU67
KAGO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kagoshima Rebnise winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
80-105
80
105
-25
76avg 69
H01/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
97avg 69
H02/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
65-93
65
93
-28
56avg 69
H08/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
81-97
81
97
-16
79avg 69
H09/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
64-68
64
68
-4
56avg 69
A15/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
88avg 69
A16/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
67-63
67
63
+4
60avg 69
A22/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
60-92
60
92
-32
46avg 69
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
62avg 69
H01/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
71-64
71
64
+7
69avg 69
H02/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
25-24
22-27
20-27
17-22
11-30
27-9
25-19
21-17
12-29
14-27
18-20
28-29
19-26
16-22
18-20
15-13
16-16
20-18
13-21
15-24
16-13
18-14
35-23
20-17
11-22
19-8
17-16
12-23
11-32
18-22
19-15
20-17
15-26
23-22
19-23
21-17
16-21
14-17
20-9
157.7Avg total
74.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)72.782.7155.4-10.024%
Season at home (23)75.685.2160.8-9.626%
Season away (22)69.680.1149.7-10.523%
Last 10 (10)74.283.5157.7-9.340%
Last 5 (5)71.876.2148.0-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)70.483.0153.3-12.621%
vs Similar (2)74.071.0145.0+3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRebnise
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 74
H01/02
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 74
H02/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
69avg 74
H08/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
68avg 74
H09/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
96-95
96
95
+1
85avg 74
A15/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 74
A16/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
69-102
69
102
-33
53avg 74
A21/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
79-82
79
82
-3
72avg 74
A22/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
76-85
76
85
-9
62avg 74
H01/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
59avg 74
H02/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
28-29
12-19
21-19
19-33
11-20
27-11
22-27
12-8
24-23
16-20
14-15
17-24
22-15
20-20
22-18
18-29
21-16
29-27
28-23
25-27
18-20
11-17
28-25
17-28
23-19
12-34
17-21
14-16
23-18
18-14
24-34
26-21
23-16
16-28
11-20
22-22
14-24
28-21
14-14
168.2Avg total
81.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)82.378.9161.2+3.462%
Season at home (24)82.279.4161.6+2.862%
Season away (21)82.478.3160.7+4.062%
Last 10 (10)81.087.2168.2-6.230%
Last 5 (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.687.0159.6-14.40%
vs Similar (8)82.683.0165.6-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.974.8161.7+12.282%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -8.7-8.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -8.7-8.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
FukushimaKagoshima Rebnise
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H01/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H02/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H08/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H09/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A15/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A22/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
23-55
23
55
-32
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H02/03
B2.League
77.9Avg total
33.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.143.378.5-8.220%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.444.080.4-7.613%-
Last 30 away (15)33.942.776.5-8.827%-
Last 10 (10)33.444.577.9-11.110%-
Last 5 (5)31.442.473.8-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.444.179.5-8.618%-
vs Similar (2)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H01/02
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H02/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H08/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A16/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A21/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A22/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H01/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
B2.League
81.9Avg total
39.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.881.4+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.439.681.1+1.856%-
Last 30 away (12)41.840.282.0+1.742%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.081.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.240.879.0-2.620%-
vs Similar (8)38.040.478.4-2.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.339.383.6+5.071%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.8
52.1%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.9
32.5%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.010.7
66.9%
70.7%10.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kagoshima Rebnisetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kagoshima Rebnise: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.2
47.5%
51.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.9
30.2%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.017.1
77.7%
70.7%17.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
WLLWWLLLWL
Kagoshima Rebnise
LLLLLWWLLW
#13
League position
#4
-12.7
Net rating
-8.4
100.1
Offensive rating
102.6
112.8
Defensive rating
111.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
46.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
30.2%
73.6%
Assist %
62.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 102.6Defence112.8 · 111.0Shooting50.8% · 46.5%3-point %32.5% · 30.2%Ball care19.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.7% · 27.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Fukushima   ■ Kagoshima Rebnise
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fukushima wins
2
Kagoshima Rebnise wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Kagoshima Rebnise v Fukushima66-54
27/12/24Kagoshima Rebnise v Fukushima88-73
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HFukuoka71-64
01/03/25HFukuoka77-88
23/02/25AKumamoto60-92
22/02/25AKumamoto67-63
16/02/25AAomori84-74
15/02/25AAomori64-68
09/02/25HAltiri Chiba81-97
08/02/25HAltiri Chiba65-93
02/02/25HToyama93-91 OT
01/02/25HToyama80-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HShizuoka78-81
01/03/25HShizuoka76-85
22/02/25AFukuoka79-82
21/02/25AFukuoka69-102
16/02/25AToyama82-89
15/02/25AToyama96-95
09/02/25HShinshu81-77
08/02/25HShinshu87-91 OT
02/02/25HNara79-91
01/02/25HNara83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW24%
HomeWLLLW26%
AwayLLWWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %24%26%23%
Points / game72.775.669.6
Allowed / game82.785.280.1
Point differential-10.0-9.6-10.5
Avg total155.4160.8149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%4%9%
Kagoshima Rebnise
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL62%
HomeLLWLL62%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game82.382.282.4
Allowed / game78.979.478.3
Point differential+3.4+2.8+4.0
Avg total161.2161.6160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4643393%91.774.8+16.9
2 Fukuoka46331372%83.774.2+9.5
3 Shinshu45301567%85.877.6+8.2
4 Toyama45281762%88.481.8+6.6
5 Kagoshima Rebnise45281762%82.378.9+3.4
6 Shizuoka46281861%77.775.1+2.7
7 Fukui45261958%82.880.0+2.8
8 Kumamoto45192642%77.780.5-2.8
9 Nara45182740%76.880.2-3.4
10 Aomori45182740%78.485.5-7.1
11 Yamagata Wyverns45172838%79.883.2-3.4
12 Kobe45153033%78.383.6-5.3
13 Fukushima45113424%72.782.7-10.0
14 Ehime Orange Vikings463437%72.490.7-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima1415191967
Kagoshima Rebnise1518181364
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