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Fyllingen vs Baerum Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 103-83
Projected total 186.7
Scheduled
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game79.6
Vs
96%
■ FYLL 96%■ BAER 4%
Pythia win probability
Position#7
Record3-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game100.3
NorwayBLNO· Fyllingsdalen Idrettshall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fyllingen v Baerum
21 Nov 2026
FYLL v BAER
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
FYLL116
BAER78
01 Nov 2025
FYLL101
BAER79
09 Nov 2024
FYLL91
BAER70
05 Oct 2024
FYLL80
BAER85
18 Apr 2024
FYLL104
BAER94
11 Apr 2024
FYLL103
BAER85
20 Jan 2024
FYLL89
BAER77
22 Oct 2023
FYLL88
BAER76
16 Mar 2023
FYLL95
BAER109
04 Dec 2022
FYLL76
BAER72
07 Nov 2021
FYLL95
BAER92
23 Jan 2021
FYLL v BAER
upcoming
18 Jan 2020
FYLL90
BAER79
05 Jan 2019
FYLL83
BAER104
21 Oct 2018
FYLL80
BAER77
19 Nov 2017
FYLL91
BAER80
30 Sep 2017
FYLL87
BAER85
18 Oct 2015
FYLL82
BAER99
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Fyllingen host Baerum in the BLNO. Pythia makes Fyllingen the favourite at 96% and projects 103-83, about 187 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Fyllingen are 8-2 this season (104.7 scored, 79.6 allowed a game), form WLWWW; Baerum are 3-7 this season (85.8 scored, 100.3 allowed a game), form LWWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fyllingen win
95.6%fair 1.05
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baerum win
4.4%fair 22.54
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FyllingenNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFyllingen
Date
Competition
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
142-61
142
61
+81
no box
A10/10
BLNO
TNT Towers
#10
W
153-91
153
91
+62
no box
A11/10
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#4
L
67-99
67
99
-32
no box
A18/10
BLNO
AEL
#4
L
58-76
58
76
-18
45avg 65
A21/10
ENBL
Ammerud
#3
W
102-96
102
96
+6
no box
H24/10
BLNO
Baerum
#7
W
116-78
116
78
+38
no box
H31/10
BLNO
Voluntari
#5
L
93-106
93
106
-13
no box
A04/11
ENBL
Tromso
#6
W
116-81
116
81
+35
no box
A08/11
BLNO
Froya
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H11/11
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#8
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
H14/11
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
46-16
31-14
36-10
36-24
33-26
43-21
41-20
12-25
24-35
9-23
22-16
11-20
17-14
14-20
16-22
18-21
30-27
26-20
28-28
36-19
23-20
28-7
29-32
20-26
35-24
24-20
14-36
24-27
33-11
31-19
28-24
16-15
26-13
14-23
27-25
19-8
20-19
30-21
21-18
185.0Avg total
102.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)104.779.6184.3+25.180%
Season at home (6)94.877.3172.2+17.583%
Season away (4)119.583.0202.5+36.575%
Last 10 (10)102.083.0185.0+19.070%
Last 5 (5)99.681.4181.0+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.885.4160.2-10.620%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)105.181.3186.4+23.880%
This opponent (Baerum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaerumNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaerum
Date
Competition
Ammerud
#3
L
93-103
93
103
-10
no box
H20/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
96-82
96
82
+14
no box
A26/09
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#4
L
84-103
84
103
-19
no box
H29/09
BLNO
Tromso
#6
L
75-115
75
115
-40
no box
A03/10
BLNO
Froya
#5
L
75-106
75
106
-31
no box
A10/10
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
72-111
72
111
-39
no box
A11/10
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
H13/10
BLNO
TNT Towers
#10
W
109-89
109
89
+20
no box
H25/10
BLNO
Fyllingen
#2
L
78-116
78
116
-38
no box
A31/10
BLNO
Froya
#5
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A01/11
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
16-32
26-31
24-23
26-21
26-23
18-15
26-23
13-25
18-28
28-26
25-24
24-34
19-32
19-27
13-22
19-27
21-20
16-32
19-27
22-21
12-28
16-38
22-24
32-21
21-27
12-24
28-11
27-21
25-31
29-21
28-16
19-36
20-23
7-28
32-29
17-24
24-20
24-29
18-22
186.1Avg total
85.8Scored
100.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.8100.3186.1-14.530%
Season at home (4)94.894.5189.2+0.250%
Season away (6)79.8104.2184.0-24.317%
Last 10 (10)85.8100.3186.1-14.530%
Last 5 (5)87.098.8185.8-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.196.1175.2-16.96%
vs Similar (3)87.388.0175.3-0.733%
vs Weaker (10)99.779.7179.4+20.080%
This opponent (Fyllingen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 172.5
Over 172.5
81.0%
Under 172.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 177.5
Over 177.5
71.4%
Under 177.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 182.5
Over 182.5
60.1%
Under 182.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Fyllingen total 86
Over 86
96.3%
Under 86
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fyllingen total 90
Over 90
91.8%
Under 90
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fyllingen total 94
Over 94
83.7%
Under 94
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baerum total 83.5
Over 83.5
48.9%
Under 83.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baerum total 87.5
Over 87.5
33.4%
Under 87.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baerum total 91.5
Over 91.5
20.5%
Under 91.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Fyllingen -3
FYLL -3
93.7%
BAER +3
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
FYLL
No market prices yet.
BAER
No market prices yet.
Spread Fyllingen 0
FYLL 0
95.6%
BAER 0
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
FYLL
No market prices yet.
BAER
No market prices yet.
Spread Fyllingen +3
FYLL +3
97.2%
BAER -3
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
FYLL
No market prices yet.
BAER
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +8.2+8.2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +8.2+8.2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
FyllingenBaerum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FyllingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
75-37
75
37
+38
A10/10
BLNO
TNT Towers
#10
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A11/10
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#4
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A18/10
BLNO
AEL
#4
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A21/10
ENBL
Ammerud
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H24/10
BLNO
Baerum
#7
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H31/10
BLNO
Voluntari
#5
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A04/11
ENBL
Tromso
#6
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A08/11
BLNO
Froya
#5
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H11/11
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/11
BLNO
91.9Avg total
50.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.340.690.9+9.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.039.789.7+10.371%-
Last 30 away (13)50.741.892.5+8.869%-
Last 10 (10)50.841.191.9+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)50.436.486.8+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.040.280.2-0.240%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)52.440.793.1+11.676%-
This opponent (Baerum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaerumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ammerud
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H20/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A26/09
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#4
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H29/09
BLNO
Tromso
#6
L
43-66
43
66
-23
A03/10
BLNO
Froya
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/10
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A11/10
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H13/10
BLNO
TNT Towers
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H25/10
BLNO
Fyllingen
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A31/10
BLNO
Froya
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A01/11
BLNO
93.9Avg total
42.8Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.487.8-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.940.986.9+5.043%-
Last 30 away (16)41.147.588.6-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)42.851.193.9-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)43.850.494.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.847.586.3-8.818%-
vs Similar (3)50.046.396.3+3.767%-
vs Weaker (10)49.238.687.8+10.660%-
This opponent (Fyllingen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fyllingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fyllingen: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.617.7
43.6%
-35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.7
33.9%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws17.413.2
75.9%
-13.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baerumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.7
53.2%
-35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.3
33.6%
-30.9
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
-15.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fyllingen
WWWLWWLLWW
Baerum
LLWWLLLLWL
#2
League position
#7
-14.5
Net rating
-2.1
90.2
Offensive rating
107.9
104.7
Defensive rating
110.1
46.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
33.6%
60.6%
Assist %
60.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Fyllingen   ■ Baerum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Fyllingen wins
1
Baerum wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Fyllingen v Baerum116-78
15/02/26Baerum v Fyllingen92-101
22/11/25Baerum v Fyllingen73-98
01/11/25Fyllingen v Baerum101-79
19/01/25Baerum v Fyllingen62-70
09/11/24Fyllingen v Baerum91-70
05/10/24Fyllingen v Baerum80-85
18/04/24Fyllingen v Baerum104-94
14/04/24Baerum v Fyllingen73-87
11/04/24Fyllingen v Baerum103-85
Fyllingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCentrum Tigers90-66
11/11/26HFroya83-76
08/11/26ATromso116-81
04/11/26AVoluntari93-106
31/10/26HBaerum116-78
24/10/26HAmmerud102-96
21/10/26AAEL58-76
18/10/26AKongsberg Miners67-99
11/10/26ATNT Towers153-91
10/10/26ANidaros Jets142-61
Baerumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AFroya83-95
31/10/26AFyllingen78-116
25/10/26HTNT Towers109-89
13/10/26HCentrum Tigers93-83
11/10/26AGimle72-111
10/10/26AFroya75-106
03/10/26ATromso75-115
29/09/26HKongsberg Miners84-103
26/09/26ANidaros Jets96-82
20/09/26HAmmerud93-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fyllingen
BLNO 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%83%75%
Points / game104.794.8119.5
Allowed / game79.677.383.0
Point differential+25.1+17.5+36.5
Avg total184.3172.2202.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baerum
BLNO 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game85.894.879.8
Allowed / game100.394.5104.2
Point differential-14.5+0.2-24.3
Avg total186.1189.2184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimle109190%94.276.4+17.8
2 Fyllingen108280%104.779.6+25.1
3 Ammerud108280%100.886.7+14.1
4 Kongsberg Miners107370%97.777.7+20.0
5 Froya107370%92.676.4+16.2
6 Tromso105550%95.695.5+0.1
7 Baerum103730%85.8100.3-14.5
8 Centrum Tigers92722%75.489.1-13.7
9 Nidaros Jets1321115%77.4103.4-26.0
10 TNT Towers100100%77.0109.7-32.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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