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Tromso vs Baerum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 115-75
34-24 32-19 27-19 22-13
Position#6
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game104.3
Tromso 🏆
Norway
vs
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game96.0
NorwayBLNO· Troms
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tromso v Baerum
03 Oct 2026
TROM115
BAER75
26 Oct 2024
TROM84
BAER95
11 Nov 2023
TROM92
BAER83
07 Oct 2023
TROM80
BAER74
27 Jan 2023
TROM91
BAER89
08 Feb 2022
TROM76
BAER94
13 Dec 2020
TROM77
BAER66
08 Dec 2019
TROM90
BAER80
13 Mar 2019
TROM82
BAER70
25 Nov 2018
TROM100
BAER90
25 Feb 2018
TROM81
BAER78
26 Nov 2017
TROM85
BAER83
19 Feb 2017
TROM62
BAER102
09 Oct 2016
TROM59
BAER66
01 Nov 2015
TROM82
BAER72
21 Mar 2015
TROM79
BAER81
15 Feb 2015
TROM87
BAER71
26 Oct 2014
TROM75
BAER72
02 Mar 2014
TROM78
BAER85
02 Feb 2014
TROM74
BAER67
17 Mar 2013
TROM65
BAER81
20 Jan 2013
TROM89
BAER78
07 Oct 2012
TROM75
BAER56
17 Mar 2012
TROM87
BAER91
12 Apr 2011
TROM74
BAER78
03 Apr 2011
TROM83
BAER90
01 Apr 2011
TROM87
BAER78
27 Feb 2011
TROM101
BAER73
10 Oct 2010
TROM103
BAER98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tromso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baerum winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TromsoNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimle
#2
L
62-100
62
100
-38
A02/02
BLNO
Oppsal
#11
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H08/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H15/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
H16/02
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A01/03
BLNO
Baerum
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A02/03
BLNO
Asker
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H08/03
BLNO
Froya
#5
L
74-100
74
100
-26
H18/09
BLNO
Fyllingen
#3
L
68-110
68
110
-42
A26/09
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
60-103
60
103
-43
A27/09
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
19-37
13-22
15-14
17-14
22-11
15-17
32-12
20-23
14-25
24-17
24-14
25-23
22-17
12-28
11-29
25-22
28-20
20-21
18-22
13-16
13-20
21-23
21-26
22-19
12-23
13-18
23-24
12-25
20-23
17-30
25-22
22-18
14-29
15-26
17-37
15-35
12-21
16-32
17-15
162.8Avg total
73.1Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.3104.3171.7-37.00%
Season at home (1)74.0100.0174.0-26.00%
Season away (2)64.0106.5170.5-42.50%
Last 10 (10)73.189.7162.8-16.630%
Last 5 (5)68.096.4164.4-28.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)74.087.5161.5-13.418%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)93.558.5152.0+35.0100%
This opponent (Baerum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaerumNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nidaros Jets
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H08/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
H15/02
BLNO
Gimle
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
H22/02
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A04/03
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#8
W
117-80
117
80
+37
H08/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#3
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A12/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H16/03
BLNO
Ammerud
#2
L
93-103
93
103
-10
H20/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
96-82
96
82
+14
A26/09
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#4
L
84-103
84
103
-19
H29/09
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
35-10
15-23
21-21
30-21
19-32
19-19
24-29
20-24
20-25
22-19
18-24
19-29
19-27
28-25
22-19
33-24
27-17
32-14
25-25
15-22
19-22
26-20
19-25
20-11
18-15
16-24
13-23
27-17
16-32
26-31
24-23
26-21
26-23
18-15
26-23
13-25
18-28
28-26
25-24
177.5Avg total
88.2Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.096.0187.0-5.033%
Season at home (2)88.5103.0191.5-14.50%
Season away (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.289.3177.5-1.130%
Last 5 (5)83.890.0173.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.291.1171.3-10.97%
vs Similar (3)81.385.0166.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (12)97.378.4175.8+18.983%
This opponent (Tromso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
TromsoBaerum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TromsoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimle
#2
L
34-64
34
64
-30
A02/02
BLNO
Oppsal
#11
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H08/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H15/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/02
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A01/03
BLNO
Baerum
#7
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A02/03
BLNO
Asker
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H08/03
BLNO
Froya
#5
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H18/09
BLNO
Fyllingen
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A26/09
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A27/09
BLNO
81.0Avg total
36.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.442.980.3-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.540.777.3-4.227%-
Last 30 away (15)38.345.083.3-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)36.244.881.0-8.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.045.876.8-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)36.943.980.8-7.018%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)45.528.574.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Baerum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaerumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nidaros Jets
#8
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H08/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H15/02
BLNO
Gimle
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H22/02
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A04/03
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#8
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H08/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A12/03
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#3
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H16/03
BLNO
Ammerud
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H20/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A26/09
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#4
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H29/09
BLNO
87.6Avg total
43.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.685.1-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.582.9+4.047%-
Last 30 away (15)41.645.787.3-4.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.187.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.282.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.546.985.3-8.427%-
vs Similar (3)46.042.788.7+3.367%-
vs Weaker (12)46.837.283.9+9.667%-
This opponent (Tromso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tromsotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tromso: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.4 pts a game · 10% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.1
49.7%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.4
33.0%
-28.2
🏀 Free throws13.87.4
53.6%
-7.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baerumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.7
53.2%
-35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.3
33.6%
-30.9
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
-15.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tromso
LLLLLWLWWL
Baerum
LWLLLWLLLW
#6
League position
#7
-18.5
Net rating
-2.1
94.4
Offensive rating
107.9
112.9
Defensive rating
110.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
19.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.0%
3-point %
33.6%
62.5%
Assist %
60.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Tromso   ■ Baerum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tromso wins
6
Baerum wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Baerum v Tromso85-68
05/01/25Baerum v Tromso83-80
26/10/24Tromso v Baerum84-95
03/02/24Baerum v Tromso76-80
11/11/23Tromso v Baerum92-83
07/10/23Tromso v Baerum80-74
05/02/23Baerum v Tromso95-80
27/01/23Tromso v Baerum91-89
23/10/22Baerum v Tromso94-89
08/02/22Tromso v Baerum76-94
Tromsolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AGimle60-103
26/09/26AFyllingen68-110
18/09/26HFroya74-100
08/03/25HAsker70-84
02/03/25ABaerum68-85
01/03/25ANidaros Jets91-85
16/02/25HFyllingen70-97
15/02/25HFyllingen82-79
08/02/25HOppsal86-54
02/02/25AGimle62-100
Baerumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26HKongsberg Miners84-103
26/09/26ANidaros Jets96-82
20/09/26HAmmerud93-103
16/03/26HKongsberg Miners67-73
12/03/26AKongsberg Miners79-89
08/03/26HNidaros Jets117-80
04/03/26AKongsberg Miners88-100
22/02/26HGimle80-92
15/02/26HFyllingen92-101
08/02/26HNidaros Jets86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tromso
BLNO 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.374.064.0
Allowed / game104.3100.0106.5
Point differential-37.0-26.0-42.5
Avg total171.7174.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baerum
BLNO 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game91.088.596.0
Allowed / game96.0103.082.0
Point differential-5.0-14.5+14.0
Avg total187.0191.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Froya330100%101.360.3+41.0
2 Ammerud220100%102.575.5+27.0
3 Gimle330100%91.070.7+20.3
4 Kongsberg Miners43175%96.276.2+20.0
5 Fyllingen21150%89.074.0+15.0
6 Baerum31233%91.096.0-5.0
7 Nidaros Jets31233%76.794.0-17.3
8 Centrum Tigers2020%54.084.0-30.0
9 TNT Towers3030%63.7100.3-36.7
10 Tromso3030%67.3104.3-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tromso34322722115
Baerum2419191375
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