Geelong vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 61-85

18-26 17-19 7-21 19-19

Position#17

Record7-14

FormWLLLL

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game88.6

Geelong

Eltham 🏆

Position#6

Record13-8

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.1

Allowed / game86.7

NBL1 South

Other2025

Meetings · Geelong v Eltham

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Eltham winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

89-86

H31/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

82-110

110

-28

A14/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

85-97

-12

H15/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

110-94

110

+16

H21/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

77-92

-15

A22/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#11

90-81

H28/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

#12

83-86

-3

H05/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#14

84-106

106

-22

A11/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#10

71-77

-6

H12/07

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

80-85

-5

A18/07

NBL1 South

26-30

24-16

24-20

15-20

20-29

24-22

21-29

17-30

16-30

21-19

22-22

26-26

35-19

24-27

27-29

24-19

15-22

13-21

27-20

22-29

26-20

22-21

17-17

25-23

18-21

28-24

20-21

17-20

25-21

28-26

13-34

18-25

15-26

20-17

19-13

17-21

22-17

20-25

18-22

20-21

176.5Avg total

85.1Scored

91.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	82.9	88.6	171.5	-5.7	33%
Season at home (10)	86.1	86.8	172.9	-0.7	50%
Season away (11)	80.0	90.3	170.3	-10.3	18%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	91.4	176.5	-6.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	87.0	168.6	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	79.1	87.2	166.3	-8.1	27%
vs Similar (12)	86.2	83.3	169.6	+2.9	67%
vs Weaker (3)	86.7	80.0	166.7	+6.7	67%

This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Eltham

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#19

92-81

+11

H31/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#16

86-92

-6

H14/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

87-99

-12

A15/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

78-96

-18

H21/06

NBL1 South

Knox

103-72

103

+31

H28/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#10

93-83

+10

A29/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#13

97-92

H05/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

#12

98-89

A11/07

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

115-75

115

+40

H13/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

104-98

104

H18/07

NBL1 South

24-26

22-18

19-15

27-22

27-21

17-26

15-22

27-23

23-19

16-19

19-35

29-26

17-21

22-32

18-18

21-25

34-13

19-22

25-19

25-18

21-21

23-21

24-18

25-23

28-29

27-24

23-20

19-19

27-19

24-27

20-23

27-20

20-17

30-16

27-27

38-15

21-17

16-30

31-30

36-21

183.0Avg total

95.3Scored

87.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	90.1	86.7	176.9	+3.4	62%
Season at home (11)	92.0	82.9	174.9	+9.1	73%
Season away (10)	88.1	90.9	179.0	-2.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	95.3	87.7	183.0	+7.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	101.4	87.4	188.8	+14.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	73.0	89.5	162.5	-16.5	0%
vs Similar (13)	85.8	85.8	171.5	+0.0	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	91.8	79.8	171.6	+12.0	87%

This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongEltham

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.9	44.3	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.4	41.1	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.5	45.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.6	24.5	43.1	-5.9	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.3	19.9	43.2	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.3	44.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	24.5	44.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.5	19.8	41.2	+1.7	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.7	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	20.8	44.0	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.6	46.2	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	53%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.5	45.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.6	47.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.7	18.1	40.7	+4.6	80%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

50-46

H31/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

44-51

-7

A14/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

37-49

-12

H15/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

59-46

+13

H21/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

28-43

-15

A22/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#11

48-41

H28/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

#12

46-45

H05/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#14

53-47

A11/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#10

35-43

-8

H12/07

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

42-42

A18/07

NBL1 South

89.5Avg total

44.2Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	43.4	84.6	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	43.7	88.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	43.1	80.8	-5.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	45.3	89.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	43.6	88.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.5	44.5	83.1	-6.0	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	44.9	42.8	87.7	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.7	40.0	79.7	-0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#19

46-44

H31/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#16

44-47

-3

H14/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

39-38

A15/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

39-53

-14

H21/06

NBL1 South

Knox

53-35

+18

H28/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#10

44-42

A29/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#13

55-53

H05/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

#12

51-46

A11/07

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

50-33

+17

H13/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

37-47

-10

H18/07

NBL1 South

89.6Avg total

45.8Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	40.7	83.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.7	41.3	86.0	+3.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.7	40.3	82.0	+1.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	43.8	89.6	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	44.2	91.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	48.5	85.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.5	40.7	81.2	-0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	46.0	39.7	85.7	+6.3	67%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.0	41.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.7	43.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.3	60%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-1.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.3	20.3	45.7	+5.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.7	44.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	23.6	48.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.4	43.5	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.1	22.5	42.7	-2.4	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.4	43.4	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.9	20.6	45.5	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	21.2	48.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.0	19.6	48.6	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	24.5	21.9	46.5	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.3	19.3	41.5	+3.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	41.6	83.1	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	38.7	79.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	44.5	86.3	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	46.1	87.0	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	43.4	80.2	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.6	42.7	83.3	-2.1	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.3	40.6	81.9	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.0	40.0	87.0	+7.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	41.5	85.6	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.9	40.8	87.8	+6.1	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.0	42.0	84.0	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.5	43.9	93.4	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.0	43.2	97.2	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	44.8	44.2	89.0	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	44.7	39.2	83.9	+5.5	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Eltham wins

Date	Game	Score
24/05/25	Eltham v Geelong	73-68
20/07/24	Eltham v Geelong	86-81
02/06/24	Eltham v Geelong	92-70
25/06/23	Geelong v Eltham	96-81
14/05/22	Eltham v Geelong	76-85
26/06/21	Eltham v Geelong	85-93
20/04/19	Geelong v Eltham	103-72

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/07/25	A	Keilor Thunder	80-85
12/07/25	H	Casey Cavaliers	71-77
11/07/25	A	Dandenong	84-106
05/07/25	H	Frankston	83-86
28/06/25	H	Nunawading	90-81
22/06/25	A	Kilsyth	77-92
21/06/25	H	Diamond Valley	110-94
15/06/25	H	NW Tasmania	85-97
14/06/25	A	Ringwood	82-110
31/05/25	H	Melbourne Tigers	89-86

Elthamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/07/25	H	Sandringham Sabres	104-98
13/07/25	H	NW Tasmania	115-75
11/07/25	A	Frankston	98-89
05/07/25	H	Waverley	97-92
29/06/25	A	Casey Cavaliers	93-83
28/06/25	H	Knox	103-72
21/06/25	H	Keilor Thunder	78-96
15/06/25	A	Sandringham Sabres	87-99
14/06/25	H	Bendigo Braves	86-92
31/05/25	H	Diamond Valley	92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	33%
Home	LWWLL	50%
Away	LLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	33%	50%	18%
Points / game	82.9	86.1	80.0
Allowed / game	88.6	86.8	90.3
Point differential	-5.7	-0.7	-10.3
Avg total	171.5	172.9	170.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	30%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Eltham

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	62%
Home	LWWWW	73%
Away	LWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	62%	73%	50%
Points / game	90.1	92.0	88.1
Allowed / game	86.7	82.9	90.9
Point differential	+3.4	+9.1	-2.8
Avg total	176.9	174.9	179.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	36%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	21	17	4	81%	91.7	83.9	+7.9
2	Mt Gambier	22	16	6	73%	96.5	82.4	+14.1
3	Kilsyth	22	14	8	64%	89.3	86.0	+3.3
4	Melbourne Tigers	21	13	8	62%	87.0	81.3	+5.6
5	Eltham	21	13	8	62%	90.1	86.7	+3.4
6	Sandringham Sabres	21	13	8	62%	93.7	90.6	+3.1
7	Ballarat	20	12	8	60%	88.0	89.5	-1.6
8	Hobart Chargers	21	12	9	57%	88.7	86.5	+2.1
9	Casey Cavaliers	21	11	10	52%	88.5	86.7	+1.8
10	Ringwood	22	11	11	50%	95.1	90.8	+4.3
11	Nunawading	21	10	11	48%	87.3	86.8	+0.5
12	Frankston	21	9	12	43%	91.9	91.0	+1.0
13	Waverley	21	9	12	43%	93.4	96.3	-2.9
14	Keilor Thunder	21	8	13	38%	82.6	88.0	-5.4
15	Bendigo Braves	21	8	13	38%	82.0	94.0	-12.0
16	Dandenong	21	7	14	33%	90.1	95.1	-5.0
17	Geelong	21	7	14	33%	82.9	88.6	-5.7
18	NW Tasmania	20	5	15	25%	85.7	91.5	-5.8
19	Diamond Valley	21	5	16	24%	84.2	94.3	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	18	17	7	19	61
Eltham	26	19	21	19	85

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Eltham Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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