Geelong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jun 2025

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 85-97

16-30 21-19 22-22 26-26

Position#17

Record5-8

FormLLLWL

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game87.9

Geelong

NW Tasmania 🏆

Position#18

Record3-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game88.7

NBL1 South

Other2025

Meetings · Geelong v NW Tasmania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

NW Tasmania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

#16

89-91

-2

H12/04

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

86-82

A25/04

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

78-73

A26/04

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

73-85

-12

A03/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#14

88-76

+12

H10/05

NBL1 South

Knox

76-97

-21

A16/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

88-94

-6

A18/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

68-73

-5

A24/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

89-86

H31/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

82-110

110

-28

A14/06

NBL1 South

19-23

22-20

21-26

27-22

17-16

22-23

20-23

27-20

11-15

23-28

21-15

23-15

20-25

11-12

20-21

22-27

24-24

22-14

16-11

26-27

12-27

16-21

28-24

20-25

25-37

31-16

18-17

14-24

22-24

16-13

16-14

14-22

26-30

24-16

24-20

15-20

20-29

24-22

21-29

17-30

168.4Avg total

81.7Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	81.6	87.9	169.5	-6.3	38%
Season at home (5)	84.4	86.6	171.0	-2.2	60%
Season away (8)	79.9	88.8	168.6	-8.9	25%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	86.7	168.4	-5.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	92.0	172.6	-11.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	78.5	89.4	167.9	-10.9	27%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	84.8	78.2	163.0	+6.6	89%
vs Weaker (6)	82.3	82.2	164.5	+0.2	50%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

85-84

H12/04

NBL1 South

Geelong

#17

82-86

-4

H25/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

98-53

+45

H26/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

#12

90-91

-1

A03/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

78-81

-3

A04/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#11

71-84

-13

H10/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

89-90

-1

H17/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

87-107

107

-20

H24/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

85-96

-11

A30/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#10

82-102

102

-20

A14/06

NBL1 South

27-19

16-22

21-21

21-22

16-17

23-22

23-20

20-27

22-13

24-19

22-8

30-13

29-26

19-15

21-24

21-26

18-25

12-22

21-14

27-20

13-29

20-19

17-11

21-25

29-26

19-21

21-24

20-19

13-31

23-21

23-28

28-27

25-27

27-23

10-23

23-23

16-26

24-27

18-26

24-23

172.1Avg total

84.7Scored

87.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	85.6	88.7	174.3	-3.1	23%
Season at home (7)	85.7	85.4	171.1	+0.3	29%
Season away (6)	85.5	92.5	178.0	-7.0	17%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	87.4	172.1	-2.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	95.8	178.6	-13.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	82.1	92.1	174.2	-9.9	21%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	86.2	81.4	167.7	+4.8	56%
vs Weaker (2)	87.0	82.0	169.0	+5.0	100%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongNW Tasmania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.1	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	22.9	40.8	-5.1	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	25.0	44.6	-5.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	29.4	50.4	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.3	24.5	42.8	-6.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	22%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	23.0	42.7	-3.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	23.1	45.3	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	24.0	43.9	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.9	44.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	27.8	47.0	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	21.6	24.9	46.6	-3.3	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.6	40.8	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	20.8	39.5	-2.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.6	39.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.5	43.7	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	21.8	44.5	+0.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	23.1	43.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	50%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

#16

41-43

-2

H12/04

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

39-39

A25/04

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

34-43

-9

A26/04

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

31-37

-6

A03/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#14

46-38

H10/05

NBL1 South

Knox

28-48

-20

A16/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

56-53

A18/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

38-37

A24/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

50-46

H31/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

44-51

-7

A14/06

NBL1 South

84.2Avg total

40.7Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	43.5	82.9	-4.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.2	43.1	86.2	+0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.5	43.8	80.3	-7.2	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	43.5	84.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	47.0	90.2	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.0	45.4	83.4	-7.4	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.3	40.9	83.2	+1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.5	42.5	81.0	-4.0	33%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

43-41

H12/04

NBL1 South

Geelong

#17

39-39

H25/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

46-32

+14

H26/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

#12

48-41

A03/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

30-47

-17

A04/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#11

33-48

-15

H10/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

48-47

H17/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

36-52

-16

H24/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

52-50

A30/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#10

40-53

-13

A14/06

NBL1 South

86.5Avg total

41.5Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	46.0	88.3	-3.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.8	44.9	89.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	47.1	86.9	-7.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	45.0	86.5	-3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	50.0	91.8	-8.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	42.5	47.7	90.2	-5.2	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.3	43.0	84.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	44.0	88.5	+0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	20.2	39.9	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.5	22.2	41.7	-2.7	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.7	38.5	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.1	21.2	39.3	-3.1	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	17.2	36.7	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.2	43.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	24.2	40.2	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.8	16.9	38.7	+4.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.6	22.9	46.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.5	46.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	21.5	23.2	44.7	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.9	20.2	45.1	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	41.1	82.9	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	38.5	79.2	+2.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.5	43.2	85.6	-0.7	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	43.2	84.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	45.0	82.4	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	40.5	44.0	84.5	-3.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.4	37.3	79.8	+5.1	89%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.8	39.7	83.5	+4.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	41.9	83.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	41.1	81.1	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	42.7	85.0	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	42.4	85.6	+0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	45.8	86.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	39.6	44.4	83.9	-4.8	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	44.3	37.4	81.8	+6.9	89%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	38.0	80.5	+4.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

NW Tasmania wins

Date	Game	Score
25/04/25	NW Tasmania v Geelong	82-86
25/05/24	Geelong v NW Tasmania	81-89
13/05/23	NW Tasmania v Geelong	72-98
25/06/22	Geelong v NW Tasmania	86-82
03/07/21	NW Tasmania v Geelong	70-98
21/06/19	Geelong v NW Tasmania	79-74
01/06/19	NW Tasmania v Geelong	85-94
01/07/17	NW Tasmania v Geelong	85-92
26/05/17	Geelong v NW Tasmania	87-92
06/08/16	Geelong v NW Tasmania	93-74

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/06/25	A	Ringwood	82-110
31/05/25	H	Melbourne Tigers	89-86
24/05/25	A	Eltham	68-73
18/05/25	A	Mt Gambier	88-94
16/05/25	A	Knox	76-97
10/05/25	H	Dandenong	88-76
03/05/25	A	Sandringham Sabres	73-85
26/04/25	A	Hobart Chargers	78-73
25/04/25	A	NW Tasmania	86-82
12/04/25	H	Bendigo Braves	89-91

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/06/25	A	Casey Cavaliers	82-102
30/05/25	A	Hobart Chargers	85-96
24/05/25	H	Ringwood	87-107
17/05/25	H	Eltham	89-90
10/05/25	H	Nunawading	71-84
04/05/25	A	Ballarat	78-81
03/05/25	A	Frankston	90-91
26/04/25	H	Keilor Thunder	98-53
25/04/25	H	Geelong	82-86
12/04/25	H	Kilsyth	85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	38%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	5	8
Win %	38%	60%	25%
Points / game	81.6	84.4	79.9
Allowed / game	87.9	86.6	88.8
Point differential	-6.3	-2.2	-8.9
Avg total	169.5	171.0	168.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

NW Tasmania

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	23%
Home	LWLLL	29%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	23%	29%	17%
Points / game	85.6	85.7	85.5
Allowed / game	88.7	85.4	92.5
Point differential	-3.1	+0.3	-7.0
Avg total	174.3	171.1	178.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	33% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	14	12	2	86%	91.8	78.4	+13.4
2	Mt Gambier	14	10	4	71%	97.0	84.3	+12.7
3	Casey Cavaliers	14	9	5	64%	89.2	83.3	+5.9
4	Melbourne Tigers	13	8	5	62%	87.1	79.1	+8.0
5	Hobart Chargers	13	8	5	62%	86.5	82.5	+3.9
6	Frankston	14	8	6	57%	92.4	87.4	+5.0
7	Eltham	13	7	6	54%	86.0	85.9	+0.1
8	Nunawading	13	7	6	54%	86.1	87.8	-1.7
9	Ballarat	13	7	6	54%	86.5	93.6	-7.2
10	Kilsyth	15	8	7	53%	86.6	85.9	+0.7
11	Bendigo Braves	16	8	8	50%	87.6	94.2	-6.6
12	Waverley	15	7	8	47%	92.6	95.6	-3.0
13	Sandringham Sabres	13	6	7	46%	88.5	90.0	-1.5
14	Ringwood	14	6	8	43%	95.3	89.9	+5.4
15	Geelong	13	5	8	38%	81.6	87.9	-6.3
16	Keilor Thunder	14	5	9	36%	80.7	89.5	-8.8
17	Diamond Valley	14	4	10	29%	84.4	93.7	-9.4
18	NW Tasmania	13	3	10	23%	85.6	88.7	-3.1
19	Dandenong	14	3	11	21%	87.8	94.9	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	16	21	22	26	85
NW Tasmania	30	19	22	26	97

← all games of the day

Geelong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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