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Geelong W vs Ballarat W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Aug 2016
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 68-77
16-27 18-17 21-20 13-13
Position#5
Record13-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#7
Record10-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game71.5
AustraliaSEABL Women
Women2016
Meetings · Geelong W v Ballarat W
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GEEL68
BALL77
11 Apr 2015
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H18/06
SEABL Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A19/06
SEABL Women
Frankston W
#9
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H25/06
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#8
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H01/07
SEABL Women
Ballarat W
#7
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A02/07
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#8
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A09/07
SEABL Women
Hobart Chargers W
#10
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A22/07
SEABL Women
Launceston W
#2
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A23/07
SEABL Women
BA CoE W
#11
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H30/07
SEABL Women
Kilsyth W
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H06/08
SEABL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
11-21
19-25
25-22
28-14
15-22
20-14
14-22
21-13
23-17
17-18
12-17
20-30
22-14
17-12
19-18
15-19
9-18
16-7
16-21
17-18
13-23
19-16
15-12
22-12
17-14
20-13
18-18
14-21
12-14
26-16
12-6
23-18
19-20
17-12
17-23
18-32
27-16
10-20
11-17
140.5Avg total
70.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.067.0139.9+6.062%
Season at home (10)73.367.2140.5+6.160%
Season away (11)72.666.7139.4+5.964%
Last 10 (10)70.270.3140.5-0.160%
Last 5 (5)69.468.2137.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.281.0146.2-15.80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)67.671.1138.7-3.540%
vs Weaker (14)75.962.2138.1+13.686%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#3
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A05/06
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#8
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A18/06
SEABL Women
Nunawading W
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A25/06
SEABL Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A01/07
SEABL Women
Geelong W
#5
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H02/07
SEABL Women
Albury W
#13
W
108-67
108
67
+41
H09/07
SEABL Women
Frankston W
#9
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A10/07
SEABL Women
Brisbane Spartans W
#6
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A16/07
SEABL Women
Kilsyth W
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A23/07
SEABL Women
Dandenong W
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H31/07
SEABL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
21-18
16-11
20-17
18-18
17-15
13-15
18-20
16-26
15-18
24-18
20-16
23-15
24-16
13-21
28-26
19-15
18-9
7-16
21-16
32-11
29-21
24-19
23-16
21-14
11-15
16-17
16-23
16-17
15-20
18-13
11-14
22-19
5-14
17-24
20-31
16-14
16-10
27-21
13-19
143.3Avg total
73.6Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.871.5146.3+3.450%
Season at home (10)77.768.5146.2+9.270%
Season away (10)72.074.4146.4-2.430%
Last 10 (10)73.669.7143.3+3.950%
Last 5 (5)73.670.4144.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.770.7136.5-5.036%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.765.8138.5+6.867%
vs Weaker (13)77.670.9148.5+6.754%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
Geelong WBallarat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#3
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H18/06
SEABL Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/06
SEABL Women
Frankston W
#9
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/06
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/07
SEABL Women
Ballarat W
#7
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A02/07
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A09/07
SEABL Women
Hobart Chargers W
#10
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A22/07
SEABL Women
Launceston W
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A23/07
SEABL Women
BA CoE W
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H30/07
SEABL Women
Kilsyth W
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H06/08
SEABL Women
73.6Avg total
36.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.569.8+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.835.371.1+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)34.733.768.5+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.473.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.674.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.741.275.8-6.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.735.466.1-4.720%-
vs Weaker (14)38.831.169.9+7.779%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A05/06
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A18/06
SEABL Women
Nunawading W
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A25/06
SEABL Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A01/07
SEABL Women
Geelong W
#5
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/07
SEABL Women
Albury W
#13
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H09/07
SEABL Women
Frankston W
#9
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A10/07
SEABL Women
Brisbane Spartans W
#6
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/07
SEABL Women
Kilsyth W
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A23/07
SEABL Women
Dandenong W
#3
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H31/07
SEABL Women
69.5Avg total
37.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.770.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.232.870.1+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)34.136.870.9-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)37.132.469.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.067.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.433.765.1-2.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.332.569.8+4.883%-
vs Weaker (13)38.836.575.2+2.354%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Geelong W wins
2
Ballarat W wins
DateGameScore
02/07/16Ballarat W v Geelong W65-56
08/07/15Ballarat W v Geelong W65-62
11/04/15Geelong W v Ballarat W66-64
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/16HKilsyth W66-85
30/07/16HBA CoE W76-73
23/07/16ALaunceston W64-57
22/07/16AHobart Chargers W77-57
09/07/16ABendigo W64-69
02/07/16ABallarat W56-65
01/07/16HBendigo W78-74
25/06/16HFrankston W73-65
19/06/16ASandringham W77-72
18/06/16HDandenong W71-86
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/16HDandenong W72-64
23/07/16AKilsyth W64-88
16/07/16ABrisbane Spartans W60-64
10/07/16AFrankston W64-69
09/07/16HAlbury W108-67
02/07/16HGeelong W65-56
01/07/16ASandringham W88-78
25/06/16ANunawading W75-78
18/06/16ABendigo W66-68
05/06/16ADandenong W74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
SEABL Women 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game73.073.372.6
Allowed / game67.067.266.7
Point differential+6.0+6.1+5.9
Avg total139.9140.5139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Ballarat W
SEABL Women 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%70%30%
Points / game74.877.772.0
Allowed / game71.568.574.4
Point differential+3.4+9.2-2.4
Avg total146.3146.2146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kilsyth W2018290%78.764.8+13.8
2 Launceston W2117481%74.364.6+9.7
3 Nunawading W2114767%75.673.7+1.9
4 Geelong W2113862%73.067.0+6.0
5 Dandenong W2113862%74.771.0+3.7
6 Brisbane Spartans W2011955%72.072.2-0.2
7 Bendigo W21111052%74.873.0+1.8
8 Frankston W21111052%75.574.1+1.4
9 Ballarat W20101050%74.871.5+3.4
10 BA CoE W125742%71.773.2-1.5
11 Hobart Chargers W2281436%75.076.4-1.4
12 Sandringham W2141719%69.278.7-9.4
13 Canberra C. Acad. W2031715%60.977.2-16.3
14 Albury W2131814%68.582.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W1618211368
Ballarat W2717201377
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