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Geelong W vs Ballarat W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jun 2022
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 77-72
24-20 26-9 15-14 12-29
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game73.9
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 7
Women2022
Meetings · Geelong W v Ballarat W
05 Apr 2025
GEEL94
BALL61
08 Jul 2023
GEEL84
BALL79
04 Jun 2022
GEEL77
BALL72
15 Jun 2019
GEEL83
BALL60
31 Mar 2017
GEEL90
BALL64
13 Aug 2016
GEEL68
BALL77
11 Apr 2015
GEEL66
BALL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#2
L
90-98 OT
90
98
-8
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A01/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A23/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A01/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H07/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H13/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A14/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A20/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
24-16
15-21
26-29
11-22
25-13
15-19
32-24
19-20
25-14
17-19
20-16
25-29
21-4
14-10
3-11
18-13
24-20
14-21
17-24
34-23
19-22
21-12
27-30
12-17
20-11
19-24
26-19
20-21
31-23
21-18
17-15
15-22
24-22
16-11
17-17
20-15
26-14
20-7
20-20
157.2Avg total
82.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.171.8152.9+9.475%
Season at home (4)81.867.0148.8+14.8100%
Season away (4)80.576.5157.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)82.275.0157.2+7.270%
Last 5 (5)86.474.6161.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.377.3153.7-1.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.579.9154.4-5.440%
vs Weaker (14)84.566.4150.9+18.186%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A01/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H23/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A01/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A14/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
22-11
24-18
16-18
20-19
14-25
19-17
16-20
28-16
11-23
23-11
16-17
26-22
15-11
17-15
22-17
9-20
14-30
18-24
29-21
16-14
18-15
13-9
22-16
18-26
23-22
23-18
9-19
28-22
8-12
19-18
27-18
25-15
21-20
15-16
16-12
26-26
15-22
16-13
18-24
148.6Avg total
75.1Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.873.9148.7+0.956%
Season at home (4)75.575.8151.2-0.250%
Season away (5)74.272.4146.6+1.860%
Last 10 (10)75.173.5148.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)75.271.4146.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.678.8144.4-13.214%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.078.0150.0-6.033%
vs Weaker (10)77.368.0145.3+9.380%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Geelong WBallarat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A01/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A23/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A01/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H07/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H13/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A14/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A20/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
79.7Avg total
43.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.636.678.2+5.072%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.636.179.7+7.681%-
Last 30 away (13)39.137.276.3+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.279.7+7.390%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.082.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.238.580.7+3.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.240.277.4-3.060%-
vs Weaker (13)44.732.977.6+11.892%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A01/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H23/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
76.7Avg total
37.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.874.6-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.438.974.3-3.638%-
Last 30 away (14)36.238.774.9-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.476.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.878.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.640.574.1-6.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.240.577.7-3.350%-
vs Weaker (10)38.035.573.5+2.570%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Geelong W wins
3
Ballarat W wins
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/22HFrankston W86-56
20/05/22AMt. Gambier W79-82 OT
14/05/22AEltham W89-77
13/05/22HKnox W77-71
07/05/22HKeilor Thunder W101-87
01/05/22ABendigo W73-78
30/04/22HRingwood W63-54
23/04/22ABallarat W81-69
01/08/21ANunawading W83-78
31/07/21HBendigo Braves W90-98 OT
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/22AKeilor Thunder W75-85
22/05/22AWaverley W77-63
21/05/22HMelbourne Tigers W82-70
15/05/22HCasey Cavaliers W73-85
14/05/22AKilsyth W69-54
07/05/22ABendigo W70-95
01/05/22ASandringham W80-65
30/04/22HEltham W78-67
23/04/22HGeelong W69-81
01/08/21ABendigo Braves W78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.181.880.5
Allowed / game71.867.076.5
Point differential+9.4+14.8+4.0
Avg total152.9148.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game74.875.574.2
Allowed / game73.975.872.4
Point differential+0.9-0.2+1.8
Avg total148.7151.2146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt. Gambier W87188%82.066.4+15.6
2 Bendigo W87188%83.669.0+14.6
3 Nunawading W86275%80.464.5+15.9
4 Ringwood W86275%69.858.5+11.2
5 Geelong W86275%81.171.8+9.4
6 Launceston W75271%84.670.1+14.4
7 Knox W96367%76.061.0+15.0
8 Frankston W74357%69.769.9-0.1
9 Casey Cavaliers W95456%81.672.9+8.7
10 Ballarat W95456%74.873.9+0.9
11 Waverley W84450%72.578.5-6.0
12 Keilor Thunder W94544%74.182.2-8.1
13 Sandringham W104640%70.776.3-5.6
14 Kilsyth W93633%62.369.8-7.4
15 Eltham W72529%68.675.3-6.7
16 Dandenong Rangers W82625%74.884.0-9.2
17 Diamond Valley W81712%62.982.8-19.9
18 Melbourne Tigers W81712%52.474.5-22.1
19 Hobart Chargers W8080%56.976.1-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W2426151277
Ballarat W209142972
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