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Geelong W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 90-53
24-11 21-15 20-15 25-12
Position#1
Record19-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#11
Record9-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game79.9
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Geelong W v Casey Cavaliers W
12 Jul 2025
GEEL90
CASE53
28 Jun 2024
GEEL92
CASE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
83-56
83
56
+27
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
104-84
104
84
+20
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
93-72
93
72
+21
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
90-51
90
51
+39
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
89-48
89
48
+41
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-9
13-21
19-17
23-9
28-13
30-26
20-19
26-26
11-15
26-10
18-16
24-15
16-9
31-28
25-17
21-18
23-13
20-20
18-14
19-22
29-20
18-12
16-18
20-16
29-8
18-17
27-14
16-12
27-9
24-12
22-10
16-17
21-19
16-16
26-11
17-16
20-20
22-24
23-21
22-13
151.0Avg total
86.8Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.065.5154.5+23.5100%
Season at home (9)87.962.3150.2+25.6100%
Season away (10)90.068.4158.4+21.6100%
Last 10 (10)86.864.2151.0+22.6100%
Last 5 (5)85.861.0146.8+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.784.7166.3-3.033%
vs Similar (3)89.798.0187.7-8.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.366.8156.1+22.6100%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
11-21
16-18
24-19
18-32
27-17
16-22
16-14
15-26
12-14
20-25
19-23
28-27
20-15
26-21
22-23
18-28
26-23
11-22
29-24
25-19
16-22
17-25
20-21
24-21
16-25
21-15
29-15
22-22
23-7
19-23
14-17
16-23
24-22
12-19
28-11
22-28
18-14
24-20
17-19
162.4Avg total
80.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.479.9155.3-4.547%
Season at home (10)77.185.3162.4-8.240%
Season away (9)73.673.9147.4-0.356%
Last 10 (10)80.581.9162.4-1.450%
Last 5 (5)83.678.6162.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.585.9160.4-11.515%
vs Similar (2)67.059.5126.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker (8)80.976.9157.8+4.075%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.7+9.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.7+9.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
Geelong WCasey Cavaliers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
77.1Avg total
45.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.036.981.9+8.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.836.780.5+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)46.237.083.2+9.273%-
Last 10 (10)45.032.177.1+12.990%-
Last 5 (5)44.831.476.2+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.746.790.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (3)46.044.090.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.034.879.8+10.383%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#7
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
81.2Avg total
39.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.341.578.8-4.120%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.943.582.4-4.612%-
Last 30 away (13)35.338.874.1-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.881.2-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.681.8+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.043.880.7-6.815%-
vs Similar (2)31.533.565.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (8)39.837.877.5+2.038%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Geelong W wins
0
Casey Cavaliers W wins
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/25ADandenong Rangers W87-78
05/07/25HFrankston W80-62
28/06/25HNunawading W89-48
22/06/25AKilsyth W90-51
21/06/25HDiamond Valley W83-66
15/06/25HLaunceston W80-69
14/06/25ARingwood W93-72
31/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W79-56
24/05/25AEltham W104-84
18/05/25AMt. Gambier W83-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/25HKilsyth W92-86 OT
05/07/25ADandenong Rangers W80-75
29/06/25HEltham W78-69
28/06/25ABendigo Braves W90-76
21/06/25HRingwood W78-87
14/06/25HLaunceston W84-97
06/06/25HSandringham W96-86
31/05/25AKeilor Thunder W66-88
24/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W77-85
17/05/25AFrankston W64-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.087.990.0
Allowed / game65.562.368.4
Point differential+23.5+25.6+21.6
Avg total154.5150.2158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %5%0%10%
Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%40%56%
Points / game75.477.173.6
Allowed / game79.985.373.9
Point differential-4.5-8.2-0.3
Avg total155.3162.4147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%10%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W19190100%89.065.5+23.5
2 Knox W1916384%82.165.2+16.8
3 Keilor Thunder W1916384%81.872.3+9.5
4 Waverley W2014670%78.372.1+6.2
5 Dandenong Rangers W1913668%85.073.9+11.1
6 Diamond Valley W1912763%82.778.6+4.1
7 Melbourne Tigers W2012860%80.574.3+6.2
8 Frankston W1911858%77.471.4+5.9
9 Ringwood W2011955%78.575.0+3.4
10 Sandringham W1991047%78.679.6-1.1
11 Casey Cavaliers W1991047%75.479.9-4.5
12 Nunawading W1981142%67.476.6-9.2
13 Ballarat W1971237%71.582.2-10.6
14 Mt. Gambier W2061430%67.675.7-8.1
15 Hobart Chargers W1951426%71.480.6-9.3
16 Kilsyth W2051525%70.782.0-11.3
17 Launceston W1941521%73.281.3-8.1
18 Bendigo Braves W2141719%72.082.2-10.1
19 Eltham W1931616%72.385.5-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W2421202590
Casey Cavaliers W1115151253
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