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Casey Cavaliers W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Aug 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 68-72
10-19 24-17 18-20 16-16
Position#10
Record11-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#5
Record14-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game71.7
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 16
Women2022
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers W v Geelong W
22 Apr 2023
CASE61
GEEL90
14 Aug 2022
CASE68
GEEL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#13
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A17/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A23/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H30/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A13/08
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-30
13-27
24-19
32-18
12-22
21-16
20-15
16-22
16-14
19-20
14-7
22-17
15-19
17-18
20-23
20-22
17-29
20-23
12-26
21-32
26-13
22-18
29-19
6-21
22-22
19-16
12-11
30-23
24-26
24-17
27-27
30-25
24-10
16-11
15-14
22-19
13-31
19-23
11-18
158.6Avg total
78.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.476.5155.9+2.952%
Season at home (10)81.077.9158.9+3.140%
Season away (11)77.975.3153.2+2.664%
Last 10 (10)78.380.3158.6-2.050%
Last 5 (5)82.479.2161.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.289.5164.8-14.20%
vs Similar (4)78.875.5154.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (13)80.872.8153.7+8.069%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
109-90
109
90
+19
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
87-49
87
49
+38
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A06/08
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
16-16
27-22
9-23
21-21
23-10
16-21
27-20
24-22
28-27
26-20
31-21
31-14
19-22
23-18
22-19
32-17
20-12
23-20
14-13
26-20
14-18
15-18
14-17
12-12
22-16
33-5
20-16
17-16
24-16
17-21
14-20
12-21
13-20
19-15
5-11
22-11
15-24
21-12
14-18
151.5Avg total
79.9Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.671.7152.2+8.967%
Season at home (11)76.973.8150.7+3.155%
Season away (10)84.669.3153.9+15.380%
Last 10 (10)79.971.6151.5+8.360%
Last 5 (5)69.865.4135.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.079.5155.5-3.533%
vs Similar (9)74.074.3148.3-0.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.769.3159.0+20.393%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
Casey Cavaliers WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#13
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H26/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A17/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A23/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H30/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A13/08
NBL1 South Women
84.4Avg total
40.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)42.540.783.2+1.852%-
Last 30 at home (10)43.139.582.6+3.650%-
Last 30 away (11)42.041.883.8+0.255%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.584.4-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.488.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.244.082.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (4)40.540.881.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (13)44.539.784.2+4.862%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/08
NBL1 South Women
77.5Avg total
40.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.536.179.7+7.483%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.037.180.1+5.981%-
Last 30 away (13)44.235.079.2+9.285%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.677.5+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.870.2+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.039.881.8+2.250%-
vs Similar (9)38.235.373.6+2.978%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.635.182.6+12.5100%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Casey Cavaliers W wins
0
Geelong W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/08/22AKeilor Thunder W65-91
06/08/22HDandenong Rangers W85-60
30/07/22HKilsyth W105-93
24/07/22AWaverley W59-70
23/07/22ASandringham W98-82
17/07/22ABendigo W69-100
16/07/22HRingwood W74-77
09/07/22HFrankston W65-63
02/07/22ADiamond Valley W85-71
26/06/22HEltham W78-96
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/22AKeilor Thunder W72-65
05/08/22HNunawading W49-67
31/07/22HMt. Gambier W72-73
24/07/22AMelbourne Tigers W87-49
23/07/22HHobart Chargers W69-73
16/07/22ADandenong Rangers W89-62
10/07/22AKilsyth W95-73
09/07/22HWaverley W109-90
02/07/22ASandringham W87-72
01/07/22HBendigo W70-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL52%
HomeLWLWW40%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%40%64%
Points / game79.481.077.9
Allowed / game76.577.975.3
Point differential+2.9+3.1+2.6
Avg total155.9158.9153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%30%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeLWLLL55%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%55%80%
Points / game80.676.984.6
Allowed / game71.773.869.3
Point differential+8.9+3.1+15.3
Avg total152.2150.7153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%27%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W2220291%89.471.5+17.9
2 Ringwood W2218482%77.060.9+16.1
3 Knox W2215768%73.160.5+12.6
4 Nunawading W2215768%77.066.4+10.6
5 Mt. Gambier W2215768%75.268.5+6.7
6 Waverley W2215768%74.272.8+1.5
7 Geelong W2114767%80.671.7+8.9
8 Launceston W2214864%81.074.8+6.2
9 Ballarat W2213959%77.172.0+5.1
10 Casey Cavaliers W21111052%79.476.5+2.9
11 Keilor Thunder W22101245%75.376.9-1.6
12 Sandringham W22101245%75.481.0-5.5
13 Eltham W2291341%75.077.0-2.0
14 Kilsyth W2291341%71.575.9-4.5
15 Frankston W2261627%67.575.2-7.8
16 Dandenong Rangers W2251723%68.182.6-14.5
17 Hobart Chargers W2241818%63.577.8-14.3
18 Melbourne Tigers W2231914%55.776.4-20.7
19 Diamond Valley W222209%65.782.7-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers W1024181668
Geelong W1917201672
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