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Geelong W vs Mt. Gambier W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 72-73
17-16 24-16 17-21 14-20
Position#5
Record13-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#8
Record14-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game67.9
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 14
Women2022
Meetings · Geelong W v Mt. Gambier W
29 Mar 2025
GEEL112
MT. 72
04 May 2024
GEEL81
MT. 79
06 May 2023
GEEL85
MT. 74
31 Jul 2022
GEEL72
MT. 73
09 Jul 2021
GEEL80
MT. 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt. Gambier W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
94-66
94
66
+28
A19/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
109-90
109
90
+19
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
87-49
87
49
+38
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-9
15-14
12-29
31-21
22-12
23-18
18-15
15-15
21-20
16-20
21-22
18-31
16-16
27-22
9-23
21-21
23-10
16-21
27-20
24-22
28-27
26-20
31-21
31-14
19-22
23-18
22-19
32-17
20-12
23-20
14-13
26-20
14-18
15-18
14-17
12-12
22-16
33-5
20-16
157.6Avg total
85.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.372.2155.5+11.172%
Season at home (9)80.674.7155.2+5.967%
Season away (9)86.069.8155.8+16.278%
Last 10 (10)85.072.6157.6+12.470%
Last 5 (5)89.869.4159.2+20.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.079.5155.5-3.533%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.976.2154.1+1.650%
vs Weaker (16)89.168.0157.1+21.188%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#15
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A05/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
21-16
15-10
18-16
10-13
26-22
12-10
19-16
17-21
8-18
22-16
9-15
14-13
10-8
11-18
21-8
23-19
20-20
13-20
19-14
30-15
20-21
31-21
18-17
19-16
16-18
21-20
22-31
17-16
24-21
15-29
18-7
32-8
20-16
5-17
19-21
26-16
11-20
21-21
20-24
143.1Avg total
74.0Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.667.9145.4+9.778%
Season at home (9)73.963.4137.3+10.489%
Season away (9)81.272.3153.6+8.967%
Last 10 (10)74.069.1143.1+4.970%
Last 5 (5)81.075.0156.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)62.483.4145.9-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.068.9144.9+7.178%
vs Weaker (12)79.264.8144.0+14.383%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
Geelong WMt. Gambier W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H04/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A19/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A24/07
NBL1 South Women
80.0Avg total
44.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.335.980.3+8.486%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.436.781.1+7.888%-
Last 30 away (13)44.235.079.2+9.285%-
Last 10 (10)44.535.580.0+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.081.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.039.881.8+2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.535.676.1+4.988%-
vs Weaker (15)47.334.581.9+12.8100%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A04/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A05/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H18/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
73.1Avg total
39.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.773.1+1.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.131.267.2+4.977%-
Last 30 away (17)38.439.277.5-0.859%-
Last 10 (10)39.134.073.1+5.190%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.476.4+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.141.772.8-10.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.332.170.4+6.278%-
vs Weaker (12)41.333.975.2+7.492%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Geelong W wins
1
Mt. Gambier W wins
DateGameScore
20/05/22Mt. Gambier W v Geelong W82-79 OT
09/07/21Geelong W v Mt. Gambier W80-75
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/07/22AMelbourne Tigers W87-49
23/07/22HHobart Chargers W69-73
16/07/22ADandenong Rangers W89-62
10/07/22AKilsyth W95-73
09/07/22HWaverley W109-90
02/07/22ASandringham W87-72
01/07/22HBendigo W70-92
25/06/22HLaunceston W73-77
19/06/22ADiamond Valley W94-66
04/06/22HBallarat W77-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/22ABendigo W78-81
23/07/22HLaunceston W76-62
16/07/22HNunawading W74-73
10/07/22ASandringham W78-85
09/07/22ADiamond Valley W99-74
02/07/22HEltham W75-73
25/06/22HHobart Chargers W56-47
18/06/22HKilsyth W56-70
05/06/22ANunawading W67-61
04/06/22AFrankston W81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWLLWL67%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%67%78%
Points / game83.380.686.0
Allowed / game72.274.769.8
Point differential+11.1+5.9+16.2
Avg total155.5155.2155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%33%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game77.673.981.2
Allowed / game67.963.472.3
Point differential+9.7+10.4+8.9
Avg total145.4137.3153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%33%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1917289%88.271.3+16.9
2 Ringwood W1916384%76.460.6+15.8
3 Mt. Gambier W1814478%77.667.9+9.7
4 Geelong W1813572%83.372.2+11.1
5 Nunawading W1913668%78.367.6+10.7
6 Waverley W1913668%74.973.3+1.6
7 Launceston W2013765%81.574.5+6.9
8 Knox W1912763%73.960.1+13.8
9 Ballarat W1810856%75.972.6+3.3
10 Casey Cavaliers W1910953%79.876.6+3.2
11 Keilor Thunder W1991047%75.978.5-2.6
12 Sandringham W1981142%74.880.7-5.9
13 Eltham W1971237%73.878.6-4.8
14 Kilsyth W1971237%70.375.9-5.7
15 Dandenong Rangers W1951426%70.582.3-11.8
16 Frankston W1941521%67.375.9-8.7
17 Hobart Chargers W2041620%62.877.6-14.8
18 Melbourne Tigers W1831517%55.575.1-19.6
19 Diamond Valley W2021810%65.482.9-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W1724171472
Mt. Gambier W1616212073
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