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Benfica vs BC Prievidza Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 98-83
28-20 19-26 22-14 29-23
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game86.0
Benfica 🏆
vs
Position#23
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Pavilhão Fidelidade
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Prievidza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
no box
H09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
44avg 88
A12/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 88
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 88
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 88
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
W
84-71
84
71
+13
74avg 88
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#21
W
91-81
91
81
+10
76avg 88
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
72avg 88
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#31
W
96-91
96
91
+5
87avg 88
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#6
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 88
H17/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
31-24
22-19
17-20
13-27
22-20
14-17
14-23
17-18
18-19
22-18
14-20
25-17
20-21
17-17
25-23
21-28
30-21
22-19
15-30
19-19
19-22
19-13
27-17
19-16
19-20
27-14
26-31
26-16
19-24
27-32
14-21
28-23
22-22
27-17
19-29
21-13
24-19
26-18
21-17
169.9Avg total
85.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.586.0179.5+7.5100%
Season at home (1)96.091.0187.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.684.3169.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)89.880.6170.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)88.098.0186.0-10.00%
vs Weaker (28)93.378.8172.1+14.579%
This opponent (BC Prievidza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC PrievidzaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrievidza
Date
Competition
Levice
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
64avg 77
A02/05
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 77
H06/05
Extraliga
Samobor
#48
W
103-83
103
83
+20
100avg 77
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BKM Lucenec
#4
W
97-79
97
79
+18
88avg 77
H27/09
Extraliga
Samobor
#48
W
98-65
98
65
+33
100avg 77
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Kosice Wolves
#5
W
104-77
104
77
+27
99avg 77
A03/10
Extraliga
Denizli Basket
#31
L
69-83
69
83
-14
51avg 77
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Inter Basket
#9
W
100-50
100
50
+50
97avg 77
H10/10
Extraliga
Absheron Lions
#45
W
108-84
108
84
+24
106avg 77
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nitra Blue Wings
#8
W
122-79
122
79
+43
119avg 77
H17/10
Extraliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
14-27
20-32
21-23
23-19
14-19
9-19
20-20
28-25
24-24
27-17
24-17
21-15
29-15
21-30
26-19
18-16
20-19
29-11
31-19
24-29
27-15
33-20
20-13
21-30
20-19
16-16
12-18
20-13
27-9
28-15
25-13
25-20
23-14
34-25
26-25
30-17
31-18
33-28
28-16
172.7Avg total
94.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.578.8173.2+15.875%
Season at home (2)103.074.5177.5+28.5100%
Season away (2)86.083.0169.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)94.578.2172.7+16.370%
Last 5 (5)100.674.6175.2+26.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.387.7168.0-7.317%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.288.5164.8-12.20%
vs Weaker (20)94.076.5170.6+17.585%
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +5.0+5.0
BenficaBC Prievidza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A12/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#21
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#31
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/10
LPB
85.7Avg total
43.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.339.586.8+7.873%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.838.987.7+9.983%-
Last 30 away (12)45.040.485.4+4.658%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.085.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.882.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)51.049.0100.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)47.239.286.5+8.071%-
This opponent (BC Prievidza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC PrievidzaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levice
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A02/05
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/05
Extraliga
Samobor
#48
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BKM Lucenec
#4
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H27/09
Extraliga
Samobor
#48
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Kosice Wolves
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A03/10
Extraliga
Denizli Basket
#31
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Inter Basket
#9
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H10/10
Extraliga
Absheron Lions
#45
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nitra Blue Wings
#8
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H17/10
Extraliga
84.8Avg total
46.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.785.2+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.435.982.3+10.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.645.588.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)46.238.684.8+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)49.636.886.4+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.345.382.7-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.243.884.0-3.50%-
vs Weaker (20)47.538.786.2+8.875%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.6
50.7%
53.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.7
32.9%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.618.2
74.0%
72.8%18.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Prievidzatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Prievidza: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.8
55.2%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.9
39.8%
32.5%35.7
🏀 Free throws23.917.2
72.0%
72.8%17.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWLWWLWLLL
BC Prievidza
WWWLWWWWLL
#6
League position
#23
+3.7
Net rating
+17.4
92.2
Offensive rating
100.8
88.5
Defensive rating
83.4
50.2%
Effective FG%
57.2%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.9%
3-point %
39.8%
53.6%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.2 · 100.8Defence88.5 · 83.4Shooting50.2% · 57.2%3-point %32.9% · 39.8%Ball care15.3% · 15.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Benfica   ■ BC Prievidza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
0
BC Prievidza wins
No previous meetings.
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HOliveirense92-67
14/10/26HDenizli Basket96-91
11/10/26AFC Porto86-93
07/10/26ABakken Bears91-81
03/10/26HSporting CP84-71
17/09/26HVechta88-98
15/09/26HGeneva Lions87-78
14/06/26AFC Porto71-75
12/06/26AFC Porto63-87
09/06/26HFC Porto98-102 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HNitra Blue Wings122-79
13/10/26HAbsheron Lions108-84
10/10/26HInter Basket100-50
06/10/26ADenizli Basket69-83
03/10/26AKosice Wolves104-77
30/09/26HSamobor98-65
27/09/26HBKM Lucenec97-79
23/09/26ASamobor103-83
06/05/26HLevice66-77
02/05/26ALevice78-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.596.091.0
Allowed / game86.091.081.0
Point differential+7.5+5.0+10.0
Avg total179.5187.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Prievidza
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game94.5103.086.0
Allowed / game78.874.583.0
Point differential+15.8+28.5+3.0
Avg total173.2177.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor330100%101.373.7+27.7
2 Basquet Girona330100%95.773.0+22.7
3 Nancy330100%83.062.0+21.0
4 Trier330100%93.074.0+19.0
5 Dziki Warszawa330100%94.380.3+14.0
6 Mykonos330100%81.369.0+12.3
7 Sporting CP330100%82.373.7+8.7
8 Benfica220100%93.586.0+7.5
9 BC Prievidza43175%94.578.8+15.8
10 Korfez Basket32167%88.073.3+14.7
11 VEF Riga32167%100.089.7+10.3
12 Chalon/Saone32167%84.374.3+10.0
13 Kolossos Rhodes32167%75.366.0+9.3
14 Promitheas32167%88.380.0+8.3
15 CSM Oradea32167%84.776.7+8.0
16 Iraklis32167%79.772.7+7.0
17 Szczecin32167%86.380.7+5.7
18 Keravnos32167%80.375.3+5.0
19 Denizli Basket32167%84.780.3+4.3
20 Trepca32167%81.380.0+1.3
21 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%82.081.3+0.7
22 AEK Larnaca32167%84.084.0+0.0
23 Bakken Bears32167%83.384.0-0.7
24 Oostende32167%78.780.0-1.3
25 Dinamo Bucharest53260%89.877.6+12.2
26 Vienna Basket21150%80.579.5+1.0
27 Bashkimi21150%81.582.5-1.0
28 Levice21150%71.573.5-2.0
29 Opava31233%83.375.0+8.3
30 Geneva Lions31233%84.780.3+4.3
31 Wurzburg31233%75.078.7-3.7
32 Lok. Plovdiv31233%82.087.0-5.0
33 Split31233%74.382.0-7.7
34 Valmiera Glass Via31233%78.787.3-8.7
35 Tartu Ulikool31233%88.098.0-10.0
36 Zielona Gora31233%76.387.7-11.3
37 Fribourg Olympic31233%70.082.0-12.0
38 Parnu41325%67.878.2-10.5
39 Neftchi IK51420%73.281.2-8.0
40 MZT Skopje3030%74.782.0-7.3
41 Szolnoki Olaj2020%78.091.5-13.5
42 Absheron Lions3030%85.0101.3-16.3
43 Rilski Sportist2020%68.586.5-18.0
44 SCM Craiova3030%79.397.3-18.0
45 Nitra Blue Wings3030%73.091.7-18.7
46 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
47 Manchester Basketball2020%71.595.5-24.0
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Batumi3030%65.795.0-29.3
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2819222998
BC Prievidza2026142383
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