Geneva Lions vs SAM Massagno Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 17:15

Projected 98-74

Projected total 172.4

Final 103-76

20-19 29-21 27-17 27-19

Position#1

Record7-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game94.3

Allowed / game59.1

Geneva Lions 🏆

98%

■ GLI 98%■ SAM 2%

Pythia win probability

SAM Massagno

Position#3

Record6-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game91.7

Allowed / game78.4

SB LeagueRound 8· Pavilion des Sports

Other2026-27

Meetings · Geneva Lions v SAM Massagno

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Geneva Lions host SAM Massagno on 7 November 2026 in the SB League, and the Pythia model names the Lions as the clear favourite, rating them 98% to win because they are 7-0 this season, averaging 94.3 points per game and allowing only 59.1, while Massagno are 6-1, scoring 91.7 and conceding 78.4; the Lions' 3-0 home record with 83.0 points per game and 69.0 allowed further boosts confidence. The Lions have won four of their last five games, including a 97-96 home win over BC Prievidza, a 117-55 away win over Regio Basel, and a 93-90 home win over Benfica, whereas Massagno have also won four of five, with victories over Zurich, BBC Monthey, and Lugano Tigers; their last meeting on 7 March 2026 ended 119-56 in favour of Geneva. Pythia projects a 98-74 score, 172.4 total points, and gives the Lions a 70% chance to cover the home line of -18.5, while the over on the 169.0 total has a 58% probability; the overtime likelihood is 1%. The Lions' dominant record and recent performance suggest they will extend their unbeaten run, while Massagno's single loss keeps them in a competitive position but unlikely to upset the Lions.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geneva Lions winWon

97.9%fair 1.02

Best odds1.06

Implied88.2%

Edge+9.7pp

SAM Massagno winLost

2.1%fair 47.14

Best odds9.75

Implied11.8%

Edge-9.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geneva Lions Switzerland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLions

Date

Competition

Fribourg Olympic

71-64

53avg 83

H03/10

SB League

Absheron Lions

#45

105-83

105

+22

104avg 83

A07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Lausanne Basket

94-65

+29

86avg 83

A10/10

SB League

Bakken Bears

#22

73-78

-5

61avg 83

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Neuchatel

91-41

+50

79avg 83

A17/10

SB League

Denizli Basket

#31

76-80

-4

64avg 83

H21/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Lugano Tigers

92-74

+18

83avg 83

H24/10

SB League

Benfica

93-90

85avg 83

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Regio Basel

117-55

117

+62

123avg 83

A01/11

SB League

BC Prievidza

#23

97-96

no box

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

10-25

24-15

14-13

23-11

25-16

24-20

30-23

26-24

19-15

24-16

21-18

30-16

20-27

22-10

12-26

19-15

19-11

27-10

22-6

23-14

24-19

15-23

17-15

20-23

24-23

24-21

22-8

22-22

28-33

22-22

19-14

24-21

30-18

27-18

30-8

30-11

27-25

17-24

27-27

26-20

163.5Avg total

90.9Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	94.3	59.1	153.4	+35.1	100%
Season at home (3)	83.0	69.0	152.0	+14.0	100%
Season away (4)	102.8	51.8	154.5	+51.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.9	72.6	163.5	+18.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	79.0	174.0	+16.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	80.0	86.3	166.3	-6.3	33%
vs Similar (1)	97.0	96.0	193.0	+1.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	91.4	71.0	162.4	+20.5	82%

This opponent (SAM Massagno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SAM Massagno Switzerland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMassagno

Date

Competition

Regio Basel

82-112

112

-30

71avg 72

A19/04

SB League

Regio Basel

87-92

-5

76avg 72

A22/04

SB League

Regio Basel

86-89

-3

70avg 72

H25/04

SB League

Regio Basel

91-73

+18

76avg 72

A26/09

SB League

Lausanne Basket

90-84

78avg 72

H30/09

SB League

Neuchatel

104-75

104

+29

101avg 72

H03/10

SB League

Sdent BBC Nyon

73-94

-21

58avg 72

A10/10

SB League

Lugano Tigers

102-72

102

+30

101avg 72

A17/10

SB League

BBC Monthey

97-83

+14

94avg 72

H24/10

SB League

Zurich

#10

85-68

+17

82avg 72

H01/11

SB League

14-22

28-34

21-28

19-28

27-21

15-24

16-24

29-23

22-32

21-24

24-14

19-19

18-24

27-13

29-14

17-22

23-23

21-24

23-22

23-15

26-24

29-16

24-17

25-18

21-15

14-20

18-30

20-29

22-16

27-14

30-23

23-19

24-18

35-23

19-21

21-14

19-12

32-14

13-28

173.9Avg total

89.7Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	91.7	78.4	170.1	+13.3	86%
Season at home (4)	94.0	77.5	171.5	+16.5	100%
Season away (3)	88.7	79.7	168.3	+9.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	84.2	173.9	+5.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	78.4	170.6	+13.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	80.1	97.2	177.3	-17.2	26%
vs Similar (6)	88.3	84.5	172.8	+3.8	67%
vs Weaker (5)	95.8	74.2	170.0	+21.6	100%

This opponent (Geneva Lions) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 162.5Actual: Over 162.5

Over 162.5

72.9%

@ 1.47+10.7pp

Under 162.5

27.1%

@ 2.42-10.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

Under

Betano

2.42

Over/Under 167.5 · main lineActual: Over 167.5

Over 167.5

61.8%

@ 1.86+11.5pp

Under 167.5

38.2%

@ 1.88-11.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.83

Under

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.86

Betano

1.85

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Over/Under 172.5Actual: Over 172.5

Over 172.5

49.5%

@ 2.35+7.5pp

Under 172.5

50.5%

@ 1.59-7.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.35

1xBet

1.94

Under

1xBet

1.59

Betano

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Geneva Lions total 88.5Actual: Geneva Lions over 88.5

Over 88.5

84.3%

@ 1.44+22.0pp

Under 88.5

15.7%

@ 2.52-22.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.43

Under

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.23

Geneva Lions total 92.5 · main lineActual: Geneva Lions over 92.5

Over 92.5

72.6%

@ 1.88+23.2pp

Under 92.5

27.4%

@ 1.83-23.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

Marathon Be

1.81

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.64

Geneva Lions total 96.5Actual: Geneva Lions over 96.5

Over 96.5

57.7%

@ 2.60+23.0pp

Under 96.5

42.3%

@ 1.42-23.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.57

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.34

SAM Massagno total 71.5Actual: SAM Massagno over 71.5

Over 71.5

59.4%

@ 1.44-4.6pp

Under 71.5

40.6%

@ 2.55+4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.44

SAM Massagno total 75.5 · main lineActual: SAM Massagno over 75.5

Over 75.5

43.4%

@ 1.87-6.3pp

Under 75.5

56.6%

@ 1.84+6.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.71

Under

Marathon Be

1.84

BetVictor

1.83

Betano

1.80

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.73

SAM Massagno total 79.5Actual: SAM Massagno under 79.5

Over 79.5

28.5%

@ 2.60-7.5pp

Under 79.5

71.5%

@ 1.42+7.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.37

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Geneva Lions -19Actual: Geneva Lions -19

GLI -19

69.3%

@ 2.36+30.2pp

SAM +19

30.7%

@ 1.73-30.2pp

Best 5 market prices

GLI

Pinnacle

2.36

Marathon Be

2.08

Bet365

2.00

SBO

1.93

SAM

SBO

1.73

Bet365

1.71

Marathon Be

1.60

Pinnacle

1.52

Spread Geneva Lions -16 · main lineActual: Geneva Lions -16

GLI -16

78.1%

@ 1.85+27.7pp

SAM +16

21.9%

@ 2.00-27.7pp

Best 5 market prices

GLI

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.83

Bet365

1.71

SAM

Bet365

2.00

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.87

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

Spread Geneva Lions -13Actual: Geneva Lions -13

GLI -13

85.0%

SAM +13

15.0%

Best 5 market prices

GLI

No market prices yet.

SAM

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Geneva LionsSAM Massagno

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.1	42.6	+2.4	63%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	21.1	43.5	+1.3	60%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.5	67%	60%
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	26.6	23.6	50.2	+3.0	80%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	24.2	44.8	-3.5	17%	83%
vs Similar (1)	27.0	25.0	52.0	+2.0	100%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.0	18.5	41.6	+4.5	77%	55%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	50%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.1	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.3	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.4	40.2	+5.4	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.6	22.7	43.3	-2.1	42%	63%
vs Similar (6)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.7	50%	50%
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	80%	60%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.3	41.8	+3.2	67%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.3	41.6	+1.1	53%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	18.3	42.1	+5.4	80%	53%
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.9	40.5	+4.7	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	50%	83%
vs Similar (1)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.5	18.6	41.0	+3.9	73%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.4	37%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.6	45.1	-0.1	47%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	27%	47%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.8	17.0	41.8	+7.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.5	24.7	45.2	-4.2	26%	68%
vs Similar (6)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.3	17%	67%
vs Weaker (5)	27.4	15.6	43.0	+11.8	100%	40%

Geneva LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fribourg Olympic

34-40

-6

H03/10

SB League

Absheron Lions

#45

49-36

+13

A07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Lausanne Basket

43-31

+12

A10/10

SB League

Bakken Bears

#22

42-37

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Neuchatel

46-21

+25

A17/10

SB League

Denizli Basket

#31

39-42

-3

H21/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Lugano Tigers

48-44

H24/10

SB League

Benfica

50-55

-5

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Regio Basel

57-36

+21

A01/11

SB League

BC Prievidza

#23

44-49

-5

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

84.3Avg total

45.2Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.75
Last 30 (30)	45.0	39.4	84.4	+5.6	67%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	41.4	85.1	+2.3	53%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	46.3	37.4	83.7	+8.9	80%	60%
Last 10 (10)	45.2	39.1	84.3	+6.1	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	47.6	45.2	92.8	+2.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	44.7	45.2	89.8	-0.5	50%	83%
vs Similar (1)	44.0	49.0	93.0	-5.0	0%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	45.5	37.1	82.6	+8.4	77%	45%

This opponent (SAM Massagno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SAM MassagnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regio Basel

42-56

-14

A19/04

SB League

Regio Basel

42-45

-3

A22/04

SB League

Regio Basel

43-56

-13

H25/04

SB League

Regio Basel

45-37

A26/09

SB League

Lausanne Basket

44-47

-3

H30/09

SB League

Neuchatel

55-40

+15

H03/10

SB League

Sdent BBC Nyon

35-35

A10/10

SB League

Lugano Tigers

49-30

+19

A17/10

SB League

BBC Monthey

59-41

+18

H24/10

SB League

Zurich

#10

40-26

+14

H01/11

SB League

86.7Avg total

45.4Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.75
Last 30 (30)	42.9	44.4	87.3	-1.5	40%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	43.3	88.7	+2.1	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	45.5	85.9	-5.0	33%	67%
Last 10 (10)	45.4	41.3	86.7	+4.1	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	47.6	34.4	82.0	+13.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	41.1	47.4	88.4	-6.3	26%	79%
vs Similar (6)	43.3	43.0	86.3	+0.3	33%	67%
vs Weaker (5)	49.6	34.8	84.4	+14.8	100%	40%

This opponent (Geneva Lions) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Geneva Lions win

GLI win

no forecast

@ 1.16

SAM win

no forecast

@ 5.92

1st half Spread Geneva Lions -9.5 · main lineActual: SAM Massagno +9.5

GLI -9.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

SAM +9.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 82.75 · main lineActual: Over 82.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Geneva Lions 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: Geneva Lions over 46.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

SAM Massagno 1st half total 37 · main lineActual: SAM Massagno over 37

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: GLI + total 83.5

GLI & over

no forecast

@ 2.35

GLI & under

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half: Draw + total 83.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 36.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 36.00

1st half: SAM + total 83.5

SAM & over

no forecast

@ 9.00

SAM & under

no forecast

@ 8.50

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.66

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 84Actual: Over 84

Over

no forecast

@ 2.07

Under

no forecast

@ 1.77

1st half Spread Geneva Lions -10.5Actual: SAM Massagno +10.5

GLI -10.5

no forecast

@ 2.09

SAM +10.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half Spread Geneva Lions -8.5Actual: Geneva Lions -8.5

GLI -8.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

SAM +8.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.22

Under

no forecast

@ 1.68

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Over 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.50

Under

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Spread Geneva Lions -11.5Actual: SAM Massagno +11.5

GLI -11.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

SAM +11.5

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Geneva Lions (regulation)

GLI

no forecast

@ 1.20

Draw

no forecast

@ 21.00

SAM

no forecast

@ 5.55

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.2	38.1	+3.7	73%	23%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.3	36.9	+0.4	67%	13%
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	16.1	39.3	+7.1	80%	33%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	15.8	37.2	+5.6	80%	20%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	14.4	37.4	+8.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.2	50%	17%
vs Similar (1)	27.0	27.0	54.0	+0.0	0%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	86%	23%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.5	45.6	-1.5	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	22.0	44.9	+0.9	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	25.1	46.3	-3.9	27%	73%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.7	44.3	+2.9	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.0	45.6	+3.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.0	25.5	45.5	-5.5	26%	68%
vs Similar (6)	24.7	22.2	46.8	+2.5	50%	67%
vs Weaker (5)	26.8	17.8	44.6	+9.0	80%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.8	41.7	+4.1	67%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	73%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	18.7	41.3	+3.9	60%	47%
Last 10 (10)	24.3	17.7	42.0	+6.6	80%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.0	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.2	21.8	39.0	-4.7	33%	50%
vs Similar (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.3	17.6	42.0	+6.7	77%	55%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	19.3	22.9	42.2	-3.6	30%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.1	40.9	-1.4	40%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	24.7	43.6	-5.7	20%	53%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.5	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.0	24.4	43.4	-5.4	21%	47%
vs Similar (6)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker (5)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	40%	20%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	43.8	36.0	79.8	+7.8	73%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	37.1	79.0	+4.7	73%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	45.8	34.9	80.7	+10.9	73%	33%
Last 10 (10)	45.7	33.5	79.2	+12.2	80%	30%
Last 5 (5)	47.4	33.8	81.2	+13.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.3	41.2	76.5	-5.8	17%	17%
vs Similar (1)	53.0	47.0	100.0	+6.0	100%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	45.9	33.8	79.7	+12.1	91%	36%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	41.4	46.4	87.8	-5.0	37%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	43.1	85.8	-0.5	53%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	49.7	89.9	-9.6	20%	80%
Last 10 (10)	44.3	42.9	87.2	+1.4	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	44.6	44.0	88.6	+0.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.0	49.8	88.8	-10.8	16%	74%
vs Similar (6)	45.0	41.5	86.5	+3.5	67%	67%
vs Weaker (5)	46.2	39.4	85.6	+6.8	80%	40%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

GLI win + total 167.5

🔒 Pro

SAM win + total 167.5

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: GLI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SAM leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (GLI:SAM ): split

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (GLI:SAM ): GLI wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Geneva Lions -18	72.4%	1.93	Pinnacle 2.19	Marathon Bet 1.97	Bet365 1.86	1xBet 1.84	SBO 1.78	+30.1pp	Won
Geneva Lions -18.5	70.3%	2.04	Pinnacle 2.27	1xBet 2.15	Betano 2.02	Betfair 2.00	Marathon Bet 2.00	+29.6pp	Won
Geneva Lions -17	75.3%	1.90	Pinnacle 2.02	Marathon Bet 1.94	1xBet 1.84	Bet365 1.80	-	+29.2pp	Won
Geneva Lions -17.5	73.2%	1.91	Pinnacle 2.10	1xBet 1.98	Marathon Bet 1.92	Betano 1.91	Betfair 1.91	+28.9pp	Won
Geneva Lions -16	78.1%	1.81	Pinnacle 1.85	Marathon Bet 1.83	1xBet 1.83	SBO 1.83	Bet365 1.71	+27.7pp	Won
Geneva Lions -16.5	76.0%	1.85	Pinnacle 1.93	Betfair 1.91	SBO 1.91	Marathon Bet 1.89	1xBet 1.83	+27.6pp	Won
Geneva Lions -15	80.6%	1.65	Pinnacle 1.71	Bet365 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.61	-	-	+26.3pp	Won
Geneva Lions -15.5	78.6%	1.73	Pinnacle 1.78	Marathon Bet 1.76	SBO 1.75	1xBet 1.71	Betano 1.70	+26.2pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 92	75.1%	1.81	Marathon Bet 1.85	1xBet 1.76	-	-	-	+25.9pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 91	78.3%	1.64	1xBet 1.64	-	-	-	-	+25.8pp	Won
Geneva Lions -14	82.9%	1.58	Pinnacle 1.61	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	+25.4pp	Won
Geneva Lions -14.5	81.0%	1.61	Pinnacle 1.66	Betano 1.62	1xBet 1.60	Bet365 1.58	Marathon Bet 1.57	+25.1pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 93	71.6%	1.87	Marathon Bet 1.90	1xBet 1.84	-	-	-	+24.2pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 91.5	75.9%	1.71	Betano 1.72	1xBet 1.69	-	-	-	+23.9pp	Won
Geneva Lions -13.5	83.3%	1.52	Betano 1.53	Bet365 1.52	1xBet 1.50	-	-	+23.5pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 90.5	78.9%	1.60	Betano 1.62	1xBet 1.59	-	-	-	+23.4pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 92.5	72.6%	1.85	BetVictor 1.88	Betano 1.85	Marathon Bet 1.85	Bet365 1.83	1xBet 1.82	+23.2pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 89.5	81.7%	1.53	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.53	1xBet 1.50	-	-	+22.8pp	Won
Geneva Lions -12.5	85.3%	1.44	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.44	1xBet 1.42	-	-	+22.8pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 88.5	84.3%	1.44	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.43	-	-	-	+22.0pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 87.5	86.6%	1.39	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+21.6pp	Won
Geneva Lions -11.5	87.1%	1.38	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+21.6pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 86.5	88.6%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+21.2pp	Won
Geneva Lions -10.5	88.8%	1.32	Betano 1.35	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+20.2pp	Won
Geneva Lions -9.5	90.3%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+19.9pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 85.5	90.4%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+19.5pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 83.5	93.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+17.2pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 82.5	94.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+15.7pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 81.5	95.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Geneva Lions -7.5	92.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 79.5	97.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
Over 164	70.2%	1.58	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.56	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Geneva Lions (regulation)	97.5%	1.05	Betano 1.07	1xBet 1.04	Marathon Bet 1.04	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Over 163.5	70.8%	1.55	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.54	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Over 161.5	75.0%	1.44	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 77.5	98.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Over 160.5	76.9%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Over 162.5	72.9%	1.47	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 75.5	98.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Geneva Lions win	97.9%	1.04	Betano 1.06	Betfair 1.05	WilliamHill 1.05	BetVictor 1.05	1xBet 1.04	+9.7pp	Won
Geneva Lions -2.5	96.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 73.5	99.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 81.5	77.8%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 72.5	99.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Geneva Lions over 71.5	99.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 79.5	71.5%	1.40	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 80.5	74.8%	1.34	Bet365 1.35	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Geneva Lions +2.5	98.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 85.5	87.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 84.5	85.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 82.5	80.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 92.5	96.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 86.5	89.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 90.5	95.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 88.5	92.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
SAM Massagno under 94.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
SAM Massagno over 65.5	80.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
SAM Massagno over 66.5	77.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
SAM Massagno over 68.5	70.6%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Geneva Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geneva Lions: 90.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game

52%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	21.2	52.2%	52.7%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	9.2	39.3%	31.5%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	25.8	20.8	80.6%	70.3%	20.8

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

SAM Massagnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SAM Massagno: 89.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game

52%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.3	26.2	55.4%	52.7%	52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	7.8	34.1%	31.5%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.9	74.3%	70.3%	13.9

They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	16.8	51.4%	52.7%	33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	6.9	26.4%	31.5%	20.7
🏀 Free throws	18.9	12.3	65.1%	70.3%	12.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	22.3	55.1%	52.7%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.2	31.8%	31.5%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	20.5	14.9	72.7%	70.3%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	21.3	54.0%	52.7%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	10.0	36.4%	31.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.5	77.5%	70.3%	16.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.5	23.3	52.3%	52.7%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	7.4	31.2%	31.5%	22.1
🏀 Free throws	19.7	15.2	77.3%	70.3%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	19.3	49.5%	52.7%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	6.9	29.2%	31.5%	20.6
🏀 Free throws	20.6	14.5	70.1%	70.3%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	23.6	55.5%	52.7%	47.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.5	35.0%	31.5%	28.6
🏀 Free throws	20.6	14.9	72.4%	70.3%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Geneva Lions

WWWWLWLWWW

SAM Massagno

WWWLWWWLLL

League position

+28.0

Net rating

+6.3

105.2

Offensive rating

100.4

77.2

Defensive rating

94.1

54.7%

Effective FG%

54.0%

46.2%

Opp. effective FG%

52.2%

12.9%

Turnover %

12.0%

0.40

Free-throw rate

0.27

39.3%

3-point %

34.1%

55.6%

Assist %

49.7%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Geneva Lions ■ SAM Massagno

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geneva Lions wins

SAM Massagno wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/26	Geneva Lions v SAM Massagno	119-56
04/01/26	Geneva Lions v SAM Massagno	104-80
25/10/25	SAM Massagno v Geneva Lions	100-119
26/03/25	SAM Massagno v Geneva Lions	89-103
04/01/25	Geneva Lions v SAM Massagno	93-68
19/10/24	SAM Massagno v Geneva Lions	78-87
09/03/24	SAM Massagno v Geneva Lions	89-83 OT
25/11/23	SAM Massagno v Geneva Lions	77-60
01/10/23	Geneva Lions v SAM Massagno	77-62
25/03/23	SAM Massagno v Geneva Lions	77-78

Geneva Lionslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	H	BC Prievidza	97-96
01/11/26	A	Regio Basel	117-55
28/10/26	H	Benfica	93-90
24/10/26	H	Lugano Tigers	92-74
21/10/26	H	Denizli Basket	76-80
17/10/26	A	Neuchatel	91-41
14/10/26	H	Bakken Bears	73-78
10/10/26	A	Lausanne Basket	94-65
07/10/26	A	Absheron Lions	105-83
03/10/26	H	Fribourg Olympic	71-64

SAM Massagnolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	H	Zurich	85-68
24/10/26	H	BBC Monthey	97-83
17/10/26	A	Lugano Tigers	102-72
10/10/26	A	Sdent BBC Nyon	73-94
03/10/26	H	Neuchatel	104-75
30/09/26	H	Lausanne Basket	90-84
26/09/26	A	Regio Basel	91-73
25/04/26	H	Regio Basel	86-89
22/04/26	A	Regio Basel	87-92
19/04/26	A	Regio Basel	82-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geneva Lions

SB League 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	94.3	83.0	102.8
Allowed / game	59.1	69.0	51.8
Point differential	+35.1	+14.0	+51.0
Avg total	153.4	152.0	154.5
Over 167.5	14%	0%	25%
Win by 10+	86%	67%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

SAM Massagno

SB League 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	86%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	86%	100%	67%
Points / game	91.7	94.0	88.7
Allowed / game	78.4	77.5	79.7
Point differential	+13.3	+16.5	+9.0
Avg total	170.1	171.5	168.3
Over 167.5	57%	75%	33%
Win by 10+	71%	75%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Geneva Lions	7	7	0	100%	94.3	59.1	+35.1
2	Fribourg Olympic	7	6	1	86%	85.9	65.6	+20.3
3	SAM Massagno	7	6	1	86%	91.7	78.4	+13.3
4	Lausanne Basket	7	5	2	71%	84.9	76.6	+8.3
5	Sdent BBC Nyon	8	5	3	62%	84.0	76.5	+7.5
6	Neuchatel	8	3	5	38%	68.1	76.9	-8.8
7	BBC Monthey	8	2	6	25%	79.9	88.4	-8.5
8	Regio Basel	8	2	6	25%	70.5	87.8	-17.2
9	Lugano Tigers	7	1	6	14%	74.9	88.4	-13.6
10	Zurich	7	0	7	0%	58.9	91.4	-32.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geneva Lions	20	29	27	27	103
SAM Massagno	19	21	17	19	76

← all games of the day

Geneva Lions vs SAM Massagno Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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