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George Washington vs Elon Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 86-67
Projected total 153.2
Final 69-50
23-22 46-28
Position#32
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game50.0
Vs
94%
■ GEOR 94%■ ELON 6%
Pythia win probability
Position#192
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

George Washington hosts Elon on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating George Washington as the clear favourite, rating them 94% to Elon's 6% due to their flawless 2-0 record and a points per game advantage of 83.0 to 79.0. George Washington has scored 83.0 points per game while allowing only 50.0, placing them 32nd in the league, and they have won both home games, 2-0, with recent victories over Hampton 75-61 and Navy 91-39; their last five games show 3 wins and 2 losses. Elon, also 2-0 overall, averages 79.0 points and concedes 68.0, ranked 113th, and has a 1-0 road record, 84.0 points and 71.0 allowed, with two wins and three losses in their last five. The teams have not met before. Pythia projects a 86-67 score, 153.2 total points, and a 66% chance that George Washington will cover the -14.0 line, while the over on 149.5 carries a 59% probability; an overtime chance of 1% is noted. The game ends with George Washington's dominant 86-67 win.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

George Washington winWon
94.3%fair 1.06
Best odds1.08
Implied87.8%
Edge+6.5pp
Elon winLost
5.7%fair 17.43
Best odds9.50
Implied12.2%
Edge-6.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

George WashingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#47
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H14/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
104-77
104
77
+27
A24/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H28/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Navy
#114
W
91-39
91
39
+52
H03/11
NCAA
Hampton
#290
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
40-23
46-48
29-41
45-35
59-42
31-34
35-34
36-35
37-38
27-31
35-37
38-17
28-45
48-34
33-54
44-24
47-15
41-27
34-34
147.0Avg total
78.3Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.050.0133.0+33.0100%
Season at home (2)83.050.0133.0+33.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.368.7147.0+9.660%
Last 5 (5)75.063.6138.6+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.284.8163.0-6.50%
vs Similar (8)72.473.1145.5-0.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.770.8155.5+13.867%
This opponent (Elon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#193
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H07/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A13/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
82-102
82
102
-20
H22/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A28/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H04/03
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Columbia
#129
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A03/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#206
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-46
39-36
24-33
30-32
43-36
38-42
41-53
41-49
22-26
34-32
28-34
29-39
24-35
33-41
31-35
31-37
40-28
44-43
39-22
35-43
142.6Avg total
68.4Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.068.0147.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)74.065.0139.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)84.071.0155.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.474.2142.6-5.830%
Last 5 (5)66.871.4138.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.077.3153.3-1.350%
vs Similar (14)72.075.8147.8-3.829%
vs Weaker (3)88.785.0173.7+3.767%
This opponent (George Washington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Under 144.5
Over 144.5
70.4%
@ 1.52+8.0pp
Under 144.5
29.6%
@ 2.60-8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.35
Over/Under 149.5 · main lineActual: Under 149.5
Over 149.5
58.9%
@ 1.95+9.9pp
Under 149.5
41.1%
@ 1.90-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Marathon Be
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.90
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Under 154.5
Over 154.5
46.6%
@ 2.60+10.7pp
Under 154.5
53.4%
@ 1.45-10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.44

📊 3. Team Totals

George Washington total 77.5Actual: George Washington under 77.5
Over 77.5
80.1%
@ 1.38+14.6pp
Under 77.5
19.9%
@ 2.62-14.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Under
Betano
2.62
George Washington total 81.5 · main lineActual: George Washington under 81.5
Over 81.5
67.0%
@ 1.85+16.4pp
Under 81.5
33.0%
@ 1.91-16.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
George Washington total 85.5Actual: George Washington under 85.5
Over 85.5
51.3%
@ 2.55+15.9pp
Under 85.5
48.7%
@ 1.40-15.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.40
Elon total 63Actual: Elon under 63
Over 63
67.3%
Under 63
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elon total 67 · main lineActual: Elon under 67
Over 67
51.3%
@ 1.85+1.0pp
Under 67
48.7%
@ 1.87-1.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Elon total 71Actual: Elon under 71
Over 71
35.0%
Under 71
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread George Washington -17Actual: George Washington -17
GEOR -17
55.1%
@ 2.35+15.5pp
ELON +17
44.9%
@ 1.54-15.5pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
2.35
ELON
Bet365
1.54
Spread George Washington -14 · main lineActual: George Washington -14
GEOR -14
65.7%
@ 1.87+15.8pp
ELON +14
34.3%
@ 1.87-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.87
Marathon Be
1.84
ELON
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Spread George Washington -11Actual: George Washington -11
GEOR -11
75.2%
@ 1.54+14.7pp
ELON +11
24.8%
@ 2.35-14.7pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.54
ELON
Bet365
2.35

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -4.0-4.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -4.0-4.0
George WashingtonElon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
George WashingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#47
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H14/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H28/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
38-17
38
17
+21
A12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/03
NCAA
Navy
#114
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Hampton
#290
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H07/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
38.8Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 71
Last 30 (30)40.033.973.9+6.160%47%
Last 30 at home (15)40.432.372.7+8.167%33%
Last 30 away (15)39.735.575.1+4.253%60%
Last 10 (10)38.831.570.3+7.370%30%
Last 5 (5)39.626.666.2+13.080%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.236.075.2+3.250%75%
vs Similar (8)37.035.472.4+1.650%25%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.632.874.3+8.867%50%
This opponent (Elon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#193
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A13/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H22/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A28/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H04/03
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Columbia
#129
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A03/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#206
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/11
NCAA
67.8Avg total
33.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 71
Last 30 (30)37.136.773.7+0.437%57%
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.978.9-2.827%80%
Last 30 away (15)36.132.568.5+3.647%33%
Last 10 (10)33.034.867.8-1.830%30%
Last 5 (5)32.430.863.2+1.640%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.035.473.4+2.650%50%
vs Similar (14)34.136.470.5-2.221%50%
vs Weaker (3)42.044.086.0-2.033%100%
This opponent (George Washington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: George Washington win
GEOR win
no forecast
@ 1.16
ELON win
no forecast
@ 5.30
1st half Spread George Washington -8 · main lineActual: Elon +8
GEOR -8
no forecast
@ 1.85
ELON +8
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 71 · main lineActual: Under 71
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
George Washington 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: George Washington under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Elon 1st half total 31.5 · main lineActual: Elon under 31.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread George Washington -9.5Actual: Elon +9.5
GEOR -9.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
ELON +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread George Washington -6.5Actual: Elon +6.5
GEOR -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
ELON +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Under 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.45
Under
no forecast
@ 2.52
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread George Washington -10.5Actual: Elon +10.5
GEOR -10.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
ELON +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread George Washington -5.5Actual: Elon +5.5
GEOR -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
ELON +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread George Washington -11.5Actual: Elon +11.5
GEOR -11.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
ELON +11.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread George Washington -4.5Actual: Elon +4.5
GEOR -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
ELON +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: George Washington (regulation)
GEOR
no forecast
@ 1.19
Draw
no forecast
@ 26.00
ELON
no forecast
@ 5.41

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GEOR win + total 149.5
🔒 Pro
ELON win + total 149.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GEOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
George Washington over 80.570.6%1.70
Betano
1.70
----+15.9ppLost
George Washington over 79.574.0%1.55
Betano
1.55
----+15.5ppLost
George Washington over 78.577.1%1.47
Betano
1.47
----+15.4ppLost
George Washington -1272.2%1.62
Bet365
1.62
----+15.2ppWon
George Washington -1175.2%1.54
Bet365
1.54
----+14.7ppWon
George Washington over 77.580.1%1.38
Betano
1.38
----+14.6ppLost
George Washington -11.573.0%1.58
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.57
---+14.4ppWon
George Washington over 76.582.8%1.32
Betano
1.32
----+14.3ppLost
George Washington -12.570.0%1.66
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.65
--+14.3ppWon
George Washington -10.575.9%1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
---+13.8ppWon
George Washington -1077.9%1.45
Bet365
1.45
----+13.7ppWon
George Washington -980.5%1.38
Bet365
1.38
----+13.5ppWon
George Washington -9.578.5%1.42
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42
---+13.5ppWon
George Washington -8.581.0%1.35
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
---+12.9ppWon
George Washington -882.9%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+12.5ppWon
George Washington -7.583.3%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
---+12.0ppWon
George Washington -785.1%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+11.8ppWon
George Washington -6.585.4%1.26
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
---+11.5ppWon
George Washington -687.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+11.0ppWon
George Washington over 72.591.1%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+10.6ppLost
George Washington (regulation)93.3%1.08
Betano
1.09
Marathon Bet
1.08
---+10.3ppWon
George Washington -5.587.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+9.6ppWon
George Washington over 70.593.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+8.3ppLost
Over 144.570.4%1.48
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.45
---+8.0ppLost
Over 143.572.5%1.42
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
---+7.8ppLost
Over 142.574.6%1.38
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.35
---+7.3ppLost
Over 14374.0%1.38
Bet365
1.38
----+7.1ppLost
Over 14471.9%1.43
Bet365
1.43
----+7.0ppLost
Over 141.576.5%1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30
---+7.0ppLost
George Washington win94.3%1.07
Marathon Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
+6.5ppWon
Over 14276.1%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+6.1ppLost
Overtime: no98.6%1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01
---+5.5pp-
Over 139.580.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.0ppLost
Over 124.596.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.5ppLost
Over 129.592.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.3ppLost
Over 134.587.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+2.6ppLost
Elon over 54.590.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+0.4ppLost
Elon over 56.586.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----1.4ppLost
Under 174.590.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
-----1.7ppWon
Elon over 58.581.2%1.12
Bet365
1.12
-----1.9ppLost
Elon over 60.575.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----2.5ppLost
Under 169.584.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----5.0ppWon
Under 164.575.9%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----8.5ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
George Washington wins
0
Elon wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HHampton75-61
03/11/26HNavy91-39
13/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens81-88
12/03/26AFordham66-62
07/03/26ALoyola Chicago62-68
05/03/26HSt. Bonaventure91-82 OT
28/02/26HDayton66-68
24/02/26ALa Salle104-77
18/02/26AVCU Rams75-89
14/02/26HGeorge Mason72-53
Elonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HNC Greensboro74-65
03/11/26AColumbia84-71
08/03/26AWilliam & Mary62-72
04/03/26HNC Wilmington57-76
28/02/26AMonmouth57-73
27/02/26ATowson56-58
22/02/26HN. Carolina A&T82-102
14/02/26AWilliam & Mary81-78
13/02/26ANC Wilmington54-65
07/02/26HDrexel77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

George Washington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game50.050.0-
Point differential+33.0+33.0-
Avg total133.0133.0-
Over 149.50%0%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Elon
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.074.084.0
Allowed / game68.065.071.0
Point differential+11.0+9.0+13.0
Avg total147.0139.0155.0
Over 149.550%0%100%
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Richmond Spiders330100%95.358.7+36.7
2 George Washington220100%83.050.0+33.0
3 Rhode Island220100%93.562.5+31.0
4 Loyola Chicago220100%76.552.5+24.0
5 George Mason220100%75.052.5+22.5
6 St. Louis Billikens220100%91.075.5+15.5
7 Davidson220100%82.068.5+13.5
8 Saint Josephs Hawks220100%74.565.0+9.5
9 Duquesne220100%73.064.5+8.5
10 St. Bonaventure21150%79.564.0+15.5
11 Dayton21150%82.569.5+13.0
12 VCU Rams21150%85.080.5+4.5
13 Fordham21150%74.079.0-5.0
14 La Salle21150%71.587.0-15.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston220100%111.560.5+51.0
2 William & Mary220100%92.069.5+22.5
3 NC Wilmington220100%89.570.0+19.5
4 Elon220100%79.068.0+11.0
5 Hofstra21150%77.555.5+22.0
6 Stony Brook21150%81.062.5+18.5
7 N. Carolina A&T21150%81.066.5+14.5
8 Drexel21150%68.581.5-13.0
9 Towson31233%64.367.3-3.0
10 Northeastern2020%78.595.0-16.5
11 Hampton2020%58.075.0-17.0
12 Campbell2020%67.585.0-17.5
13 Monmouth3030%56.782.3-25.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
George Washington234669
Elon222850
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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