Georgia hosts Presbyterian on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Georgia the clear favourite, rating them 96% to win, a reflection of their 1-0 season record, 78.0 points scored per game and 62.0 points allowed per game, the best in the competition and a league position of 133; Presbyterian, with a 0-1 record, 78.0 points per game but 87.0 allowed, sits at 283. Georgia's sole game was a 78-62 home victory, and their last five games include four wins and one loss, with recent wins over N. Carolina Central 78-62, Portugal 98-90 and Montenegro 101-74; Presbyterian's only game was a 78-87 loss to St. Thomas (Minn.) and their last five contain one win and four losses, including a 91-85 win over Radford. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 89-68 score, 157.7 total points, a 48% chance that Georgia covers the -21.5 line, a 57% chance of the over on the 155.0 total, and a 1% chance of overtime, with Georgia the model favourite. The game will be decided by Georgia's defensive edge, as shown by their lower points allowed.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Georgia winWon
96.2%fair 1.04
Best odds1.02
Implied95.8%
Edge+0.4pp
Presbyterian winLost
3.8%fair 26.42
Best odds29.00
Implied4.2%
Edge-0.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Georgia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 150Actual: Over 150
Over 150
68.6%
@ 1.50+6.1pp
Under 150
31.4%
@ 2.50-6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 155 · main lineActual: Over 155
Over 155
56.6%
@ 1.86+5.2pp
Under 155
43.4%
@ 1.88-5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.67
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Over/Under 160Actual: Over 160
Over 160
44.0%
@ 2.62+8.5pp
Under 160
56.0%
@ 1.64-8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Under
Marathon Be
1.64
Bet365
1.44
📊 3. Team Totals
Georgia total 83.5Actual: Georgia over 83.5
Over 83.5
72.4%
@ 1.34+5.0pp
Under 83.5
27.6%
@ 2.77-5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
2.77
Georgia total 87.5 · main lineActual: Georgia over 87.5
Over 87.5
57.5%
@ 1.84+7.2pp
Under 87.5
42.5%
@ 2.00-7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.00
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Georgia total 91.5Actual: Georgia under 91.5
Over 91.5
41.4%
@ 2.30-5.7pp
Under 91.5
58.6%
@ 1.85+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.50
Presbyterian total 62Actual: Presbyterian over 62
Over 62
74.3%
Under 62
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Presbyterian total 66 · main lineActual: Presbyterian over 66
Over 66
59.3%
@ 1.85+9.3pp
Under 66
40.7%
@ 1.85-9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Presbyterian total 70Actual: Presbyterian over 70
Over 70
42.8%
Under 70
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Georgia -24.5Actual: Presbyterian +24.5
GEOR -24.5
37.7%
@ 2.40-13.1pp
PRES +24.5
62.3%
@ 2.00+13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
2.40
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.81
BetVictor
1.78
PRES
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.92
BetVictor
1.85
Spread Georgia -21.5 · main lineActual: Presbyterian +21.5
GEOR -21.5
48.2%
@ 1.95-1.5pp
PRES +21.5
51.8%
@ 1.95+1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.74
PRES
Marathon Be
1.95
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.74
Spread Georgia -18.5Actual: Presbyterian +18.5
GEOR -18.5
58.8%
@ 1.60+0.6pp
PRES +18.5
41.2%
@ 2.22-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.57
PRES
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.20
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
GeorgiaPresbyterian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Georgia (regulation)
95.5%
1.02
Marathon Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Over 148
73.0%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Over 149
70.9%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Presbyterian over 58.5
83.7%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Presbyterian over 56.5
88.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Georgia over 83.5
72.4%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Over 148.5
71.5%
1.39
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Presbyterian over 50.5
96.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
Presbyterian over 52.5
94.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Over 147.5
73.6%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Presbyterian over 54.5
91.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Georgia under 104.5
93.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Presbyterian over 51.5
95.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Georgia over 76.5
90.3%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Presbyterian over 53.5
93.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Over 145.5
77.5%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Georgia over 78.5
86.4%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Presbyterian over 59.5
81.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Over 130.5
95.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Presbyterian over 62.5
71.9%
1.33
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Presbyterian over 57.5
86.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Georgia over 75.5
91.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Georgia over 82.5
75.7%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Presbyterian over 55.5
90.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Georgia under 102.5
90.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
Georgia over 80.5
81.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Over 140.5
85.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Over 135.5
91.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Over 131.5
94.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Georgia under 100.5
87.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Georgia -1.5
95.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Georgia -14.5
71.8%
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Lost
Georgia over 77.5
88.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Georgia under 98.5
82.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Georgia -13
76.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Georgia -15
70.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Lost
Georgia -13.5
74.7%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Georgia under 96.5
76.6%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Georgia -12.5
77.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Over 136.5
90.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Georgia -14
73.9%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Push
Georgia over 79.5
84.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Georgia over 81.5
78.7%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Georgia -2.5
94.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Georgia -6.5
89.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Under 181.5
93.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Presbyterian over 60.5
78.2%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Georgia -11.5
79.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Georgia win
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.4pp
Won
Over 146.5
75.6%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Presbyterian under 80.5
88.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Under 180.5
92.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Won
Over 141.5
84.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Georgia -7.5
88.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Under 176.5
87.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Presbyterian under 78.5
84.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Presbyterian under 76.5
79.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Lost
Under 175.5
86.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Under 171.5
80.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Presbyterian under 74.5
73.4%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Lost
Under 166.5
70.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Lost
Under 170.5
78.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-7.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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