PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Presbyterian vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-87
36-38 42-49
Position#267
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Presbyterian
USA
Vs
24%
76%
■ PRES 24%■ ST. 76%
Pythia win probability
Projected 68-76
Projected total 144.1
St. Thomas (Minn.) 🏆
USA
Position#180
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Presbyterian hosts St. Thomas (Minn.) on 2 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup that the Pythia model clearly favours the away side, giving St. Thomas (Minn.) a 76% chance to win versus Presbyterian's 24%. St. Thomas (Minn.) has won three of its last five games, including a 80-67 victory over South Dakota St. and a 68-53 win against Nebraska O., while Presbyterian has struggled, winning only one of its last five and losing its most recent outing to Winthrop 71-73. The projected score is 68-76, with a total of 144.1 points, and the home team faces a 2.5-point line that Pythia estimates a 30% chance of covering. The over-145.5 line has a 46% probability of hitting, and the game has a 4% chance of going into overtime. St. Thomas (Minn.) will look to extend its recent momentum against a Presbyterian squad that has been on a losing streak.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Presbyterian winLost
24.0%fair 4.16
Best odds2.50
Implied40.8%
Edge-16.8pp
St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
76.0%fair 1.32
Best odds1.69
Implied59.2%
Edge+16.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PresbyterianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#176
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A13/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A21/02
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
A07/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
39-42
31-36
37-26
37-40
30-44
27-30
31-27
25-37
47-28
34-47
40-29
35-45
38-34
32-39
38-35
28-36
49-41
25-32
46-41
147.6Avg total
72.8Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.874.8147.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)75.877.4153.2-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.679.4151.0-7.921%
vs Similar (11)66.670.6137.3-4.045%
vs Weaker (4)76.560.2136.8+16.275%
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
99-64
99
64
+35
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
104-64
104
64
+40
A15/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H06/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
52-25
47-39
31-28
46-34
39-36
53-39
42-47
52-51
43-29
61-35
39-37
41-45
50-27
34-35
31-28
37-25
39-37
41-30
34-28
32-39
153.8Avg total
84.4Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.469.4153.8+15.070%
Last 5 (5)75.666.2141.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)76.362.0138.3+14.367%
vs Weaker (25)83.873.1156.9+10.776%
Over/Under 140.5Actual: Over 140.5
Over 140.5
58.2%
@ 1.50-4.6pp
Under 140.5
41.8%
@ 2.60+4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 145.5 · main lineActual: Over 145.5
Over 145.5
46.1%
@ 1.90-3.9pp
Under 145.5
53.9%
@ 1.90+3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Over 150.5
Over 150.5
34.4%
@ 2.60-2.3pp
Under 150.5
65.6%
@ 1.47+2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Presbyterian total 68Actual: Presbyterian over 68
Over 68
49.7%
Under 68
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Presbyterian total 72 · main lineActual: Presbyterian over 72
Over 72
34.1%
@ 1.85-15.9pp
Under 72
65.9%
@ 1.85+15.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Presbyterian total 76Actual: Presbyterian over 76
Over 76
21.1%
Under 76
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Thomas (Minn.) total 69.5Actual: St. Thomas (Minn.) over 69.5
Over 69.5
74.3%
@ 1.34+6.7pp
Under 69.5
25.7%
@ 2.80-6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
2.80
St. Thomas (Minn.) total 73.5 · main lineActual: St. Thomas (Minn.) over 73.5
Over 73.5
60.1%
@ 1.85+7.9pp
Under 73.5
39.9%
@ 2.02-7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.02
1xBet
1.85
St. Thomas (Minn.) total 77.5Actual: St. Thomas (Minn.) over 77.5
Over 77.5
44.3%
@ 2.27+4.5pp
Under 77.5
55.7%
@ 1.50-4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Under
Betano
1.50

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Presbyterian -0.5Actual: St. Thomas (Minn.) +0.5
PRES -0.5
24.0%
ST. +0.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
PRES
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.
Spread Presbyterian +2.5 · main lineActual: St. Thomas (Minn.) -2.5
PRES +2.5
30.2%
@ 2.05-19.8pp
ST. -2.5
69.8%
@ 1.90+19.8pp
Best 5 market prices
PRES
Betano
2.05
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
ST.
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.75
Betano
1.67
Spread Presbyterian +5.5Actual: St. Thomas (Minn.) -5.5
PRES +5.5
40.5%
@ 1.72-14.9pp
ST. -5.5
59.5%
@ 2.35+14.9pp
Best 5 market prices
PRES
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.55
ST.
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.07

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -6.5-6.51st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +7.2+7.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -6.5-6.51st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +7.2+7.2
PresbyterianSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PresbyterianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#176
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H20/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A21/02
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A07/03
NCAA
68.5Avg total
31.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)31.935.367.2-3.427%40%
Last 30 at home (12)34.533.968.4+0.650%50%
Last 30 away (18)30.236.266.4-6.111%33%
Last 10 (10)31.037.568.5-6.510%50%
Last 5 (5)30.839.870.6-9.00%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.436.968.4-5.514%43%
vs Similar (11)29.935.965.8-6.027%36%
vs Weaker (4)34.230.564.8+3.850%25%
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/03
NCAA
72.2Avg total
40.0Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)40.632.673.2+8.187%77%
Last 30 at home (17)42.130.973.0+11.194%65%
Last 30 away (13)38.834.773.5+4.177%92%
Last 10 (10)40.032.272.2+7.890%70%
Last 5 (5)38.631.470.0+7.2100%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)40.030.770.7+9.3100%67%
vs Weaker (25)40.133.273.3+7.084%80%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: St. Thomas (Minn.) win
PRES win
no forecast
@ 2.30
ST. win
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Presbyterian +1 · main lineActual: St. Thomas (Minn.) -1
PRES +1
no forecast
@ 1.87
ST. -1
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 68.5 · main lineActual: Over 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Presbyterian 1st half total 34 · main lineActual: Presbyterian over 34
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
St. Thomas (Minn.) 1st half total 35 · main lineActual: St. Thomas (Minn.) over 35
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Over 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Over 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.27
Under
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread Presbyterian +2.5Actual: Presbyterian +2.5
PRES +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
ST. -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 64.5Actual: Over 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Over 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.70
Under
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Presbyterian -1.5Actual: St. Thomas (Minn.) +1.5
PRES -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
ST. +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Presbyterian +3.5Actual: Presbyterian +3.5
PRES +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
ST. -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Spread Presbyterian -2.5Actual: St. Thomas (Minn.) +2.5
PRES -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.77
ST. +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
1st half Spread Presbyterian +4.5Actual: Presbyterian +4.5
PRES +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
ST. -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Spread Presbyterian -3.5Actual: St. Thomas (Minn.) +3.5
PRES -3.5
no forecast
@ 3.00
ST. +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: St. Thomas (Minn.) (regulation)
PRES
no forecast
@ 2.35
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
ST.
no forecast
@ 1.75

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
PRES win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
ST. win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PRES leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
St. Thomas (Minn.) -272.6%1.77
Marathon Bet
1.79
Bet365
1.76		---+20.4ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) (regulation)73.6%1.68
1xBet
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.68
Betano
1.60		--+19.6ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) -1.573.6%1.70
1xBet
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.71
Betano
1.60		-+19.1ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) -175.4%1.62
Bet365
1.62		----+18.4ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) win76.0%1.58
1xBet
1.69
Marathon Bet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
SBO
1.58
Betano
1.55		+16.8ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +177.5%1.52
Bet365
1.52		----+16.3ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +280.4%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+16.2ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +382.6%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+15.6ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +1.578.0%1.49
1xBet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.45		--+15.5ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +2.580.9%1.41
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.39		---+15.4ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +484.8%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+14.8ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +3.583.0%1.35
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.34		---+14.8ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +586.8%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+14.5ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +4.585.1%1.31
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.29		---+14.3ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) +5.587.1%1.26
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.25		---+13.7ppWon
Presbyterian under 76.579.5%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+12.4ppLost
Presbyterian under 73.570.5%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+10.8ppLost
Presbyterian under 74.573.7%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+10.7ppLost
Presbyterian under 75.576.7%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+10.2ppLost
St. Thomas (Minn.) over 69.574.3%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+6.7ppWon
St. Thomas (Minn.) over 70.571.0%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+6.4ppWon
Overtime: no95.8%1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.02		---+5.9pp-
Under 153.572.0%1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.31		---+2.7ppLost
Under 15371.4%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+1.4ppLost
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Presbyterian wins
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
No previous meetings.
Presbyterianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AWinthrop71-73
07/03/26ARadford91-85 OT
28/02/26AWinthrop70-74
27/02/26HHigh Point73-79
21/02/26AUSC Upstate74-76
20/02/26HLongwood72-65
14/02/26AUNC Asheville58-57
13/02/26ACharleston Southern67-84
07/02/26HGardner Webb68-62
31/01/26HRadford84-93 OT
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HNorth Dakota66-67
06/03/26HSouth Dakota St.80-67
01/03/26HNebraska O.68-53
27/02/26HNorth Dakota St84-62
21/02/26ADenver80-82
15/02/26AUMKC104-64
13/02/26ANebraska O.94-98
08/02/26HOral Roberts92-75
05/02/26ASouth Dakota St.77-62
01/02/26HUMKC99-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Presbyterian
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 145.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 145.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
2 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Presbyterian364278
St. Thomas (Minn.)384987
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.