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Georgia State vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-75
37-35 37-40
Position#332
Record9-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#342
Record7-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Georgia State v Northern Illinois
07 Feb 2026
GEOR74
NORT75
17 Nov 2023
GEOR64
NORT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A30/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
45-51
25-34
64-37
25-23
25-29
38-38
43-35
38-39
39-18
30-32
39-30
38-36
44-45
28-46
44-36
33-36
34-33
28-28
35-46
143.5Avg total
73.0Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.673.8144.5-3.238%
Season at home (10)74.668.4143.0+6.260%
Season away (14)67.877.7145.5-9.921%
Last 10 (10)73.070.5143.5+2.550%
Last 5 (5)70.673.6144.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.176.7145.8-7.632%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.673.5142.1-4.925%
vs Weaker (2)93.564.5158.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A13/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-44
47-29
29-43
38-38
26-47
47-30
25-37
36-38
26-28
33-49
40-33
30-35
30-32
47-48
22-29
31-29
35-30
50-35
38-40
23-45
141.9Avg total
68.0Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.076.5149.4-3.533%
Season at home (9)83.674.3157.9+9.267%
Season away (12)65.078.1143.1-13.18%
Last 10 (10)68.073.9141.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)69.271.2140.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)66.079.8145.7-13.814%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.171.1148.3+6.043%
vs Weaker (2)114.563.0177.5+51.5100%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
Georgia StateNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H09/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A30/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H05/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
31.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.469.9-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.831.167.9+5.764%-
Last 30 away (19)33.237.971.1-4.732%-
Last 10 (10)31.834.566.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.667.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.436.368.7-3.832%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.533.868.2+0.862%-
vs Weaker (2)47.038.585.5+8.550%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A31/01
NCAA
66.1Avg total
29.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.036.670.6-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.535.673.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)31.037.468.4-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)29.836.366.1-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.865.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)30.438.468.8-8.019%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.735.172.9+2.671%-
vs Weaker (2)59.522.582.0+37.0100%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Georgia State wins
1
Northern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Georgia State v Northern Illinois64-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HTroy63-74
01/02/26ASouth Alabama67-69
30/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette72-82
24/01/26HArkansas State82-81
23/01/26HSouthern Miss69-62
17/01/26ALouisiana Monroe77-57
10/01/26HMarshall81-73
09/01/26HAppalachian State50-52
03/01/26ACoastal Carolina89-71
31/12/25AMarshall80-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AMiami (Ohio)61-85
28/01/26HWestern Michigan85-65
24/01/26ABall State53-58
21/01/26AOhio77-80
17/01/26HUMass70-68
13/01/26AEastern Michigan59-77
07/01/26HToledo61-75
03/01/26AKent State73-77
31/12/25HBuffalo67-81
20/12/25HCentral Michigan74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %38%60%21%
Points / game70.674.667.8
Allowed / game73.868.477.7
Point differential-3.2+6.2-9.9
Avg total144.5143.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %33%67%8%
Points / game73.083.665.0
Allowed / game76.574.378.1
Point differential-3.5+9.2-13.1
Avg total149.4157.9143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2416867%83.375.2+8.1
2 Appalachian State2617965%71.364.1+7.2
3 Marshall2315865%80.274.2+6.0
4 South Alabama2314961%72.368.1+4.1
5 Arkansas State24141058%81.078.2+2.8
6 Coastal Carolina26151158%73.772.3+1.3
7 Texas State25141156%73.571.1+2.4
8 Georgia Southern25141156%81.079.6+1.4
9 Southern Miss25121348%73.673.5+0.1
10 James Madison24111346%73.975.2-1.4
11 Georgia State2491538%70.673.8-3.2
12 Louisiana Lafayette2481633%61.568.6-7.0
13 Old Dominion2471729%74.077.8-3.8
14 Louisiana Monroe2442017%72.082.5-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)23230100%92.874.3+18.5
2 Akron2319483%90.474.0+16.4
3 Kent State2316770%86.781.0+5.7
4 Bowling Green2314961%84.370.1+14.2
5 Buffalo2314961%79.775.5+4.2
6 UMass25151060%80.675.8+4.8
7 Ohio24131154%78.077.3+0.7
8 Toledo23121152%81.377.7+3.7
9 Eastern Michigan2491538%70.772.4-1.7
10 Western Michigan2281436%75.279.7-4.5
11 Northern Illinois2171433%73.076.5-3.5
12 Ball State2271532%66.670.2-3.6
13 Central Michigan2371630%73.178.3-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State373774
Northern Illinois354075
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