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Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-81
29-43 38-38
Position#342
Record5-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#180
Record11-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Buffalo
31 Dec 2025
NORT67
BUFF81
11 Feb 2025
NORT67
BUFF73
13 Feb 2024
NORT72
BUFF68
28 Feb 2023
NORT75
BUFF85
24 Feb 2022
NORT68
BUFF79
23 Feb 2021
NORT74
BUFF102
23 Jan 2021
NORT v BUFF
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
L
59-88
59
88
-29
A11/11
NCAA
Benedictine (AZ)
#654
W
117-62
117
62
+55
H14/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A26/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
64-99
64
99
-35
H03/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A07/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A13/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#673
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
30-45
60-20
57-42
29-32
28-38
42-37
34-22
38-41
21-36
32-52
32-47
26-39
29-45
48-41
31-44
59-25
53-39
27-44
47-29
151.3Avg total
75.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.278.3155.5-1.242%
Season at home (5)93.876.0169.8+17.880%
Season away (7)65.380.0145.3-14.714%
Last 10 (10)75.276.1151.3-0.940%
Last 5 (5)76.881.0157.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.082.1150.0-14.114%
vs Similar (7)75.072.1147.1+2.929%
vs Weaker (2)114.563.0177.5+51.5100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIT Tigers
#399
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A29/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H06/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A20/12
NCAA
Penn St-Behrend
#465
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-28
30-36
40-43
54-47
31-33
47-37
45-32
28-39
34-29
37-24
32-38
37-39
39-43
44-36
47-28
23-45
41-28
47-43
51-37
41-26
150.9Avg total
79.8Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.470.7150.1+8.785%
Season at home (7)83.074.1157.1+8.986%
Season away (6)75.266.7141.8+8.583%
Last 10 (10)79.871.1150.9+8.780%
Last 5 (5)80.472.6153.0+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)70.480.4150.8-9.924%
vs Similar (6)78.373.7152.0+4.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)76.767.0143.7+9.783%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +1.6+1.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +1.6+1.6
Northern IllinoisBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Benedictine (AZ)
#654
W
60-20
60
20
+40
H14/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H03/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A07/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A13/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#673
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/12
NCAA
76.4Avg total
39.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.273.1-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.436.073.4+1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)32.440.472.8-8.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.476.4+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.278.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.040.372.3-8.319%-
vs Similar (7)36.636.473.0+0.157%-
vs Weaker (2)59.522.582.0+37.0100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIT Tigers
#399
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A26/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H06/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A14/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A20/12
NCAA
Penn St-Behrend
#465
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H22/12
NCAA
74.9Avg total
41.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.470.6-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.936.669.5-3.619%-
Last 30 away (14)37.934.071.9+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)41.033.974.9+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.034.876.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.438.871.2-6.518%-
vs Similar (6)34.731.065.7+3.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.329.771.0+11.783%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Northern Illinois wins
6
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HCentral Michigan74-73
17/12/25HEWU Phantoms112-64
13/12/25AElon79-85
07/12/25ABradley55-84
03/12/25HLindenwood64-99
26/11/25AAustin Peay59-77
22/11/25ALoyola Chicago76-59
19/11/25ANorthern Iowa57-70
14/11/25HBenedictine (AZ)117-62
11/11/25AGrand Canyon59-88
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25HPenn St-Behrend92-63
20/12/25AWestern Michigan88-71
14/12/25AEast Carolina70-73
09/12/25AUMBC Retrievers83-79
06/12/25HSt. Bonaventure69-77
29/11/25ACanisius71-53
26/11/25ABucknell73-71
24/11/25HVMI78-70
18/11/25HVermont94-90
15/11/25HRIT Tigers80-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%80%14%
Points / game77.293.865.3
Allowed / game78.376.080.0
Point differential-1.2+17.8-14.7
Avg total155.5169.8145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW85%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%86%83%
Points / game79.483.075.2
Allowed / game70.774.166.7
Point differential+8.7+8.9+8.5
Avg total150.1157.1141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)14140100%94.971.9+23.0
2 Buffalo1311285%79.470.7+8.7
3 Akron1310377%97.176.8+20.2
4 Bowling Green1410471%88.266.4+21.8
5 Kent State139469%91.281.8+9.3
6 UMass149564%79.171.4+7.7
7 Toledo137654%83.078.0+5.0
8 Ohio147750%77.375.6+1.6
9 Eastern Michigan147750%71.972.6-0.7
10 Western Michigan146843%75.978.8-2.9
11 Northern Illinois125742%77.278.3-1.2
12 Ball State134931%68.067.6+0.4
13 Central Michigan1441029%71.978.1-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois293867
Buffalo433881
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