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Georgia State vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-62
30-32 39-30
Position#332
Record7-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#174
Record11-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Georgia State v Southern Miss
31 Dec 2026
GEOR v SOUT
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
GEOR69
SOUT62
04 Feb 2023
GEOR71
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A06/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A19/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
110-72
110
72
+38
H28/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-43
41-49
37-31
40-42
41-44
26-46
31-28
39-35
56-38
54-34
35-33
45-51
25-34
64-37
25-23
25-29
38-38
43-35
38-39
39-18
149.7Avg total
77.0Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.673.9144.5-3.337%
Season at home (7)76.066.7142.7+9.357%
Season away (12)67.578.1145.6-10.625%
Last 10 (10)77.072.7149.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)75.467.4142.8+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.377.5146.8-8.229%
vs Similar (9)74.671.7146.2+2.944%
vs Weaker (3)89.068.0157.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H20/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
80-70 OT
80
70
+10
H09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
38-40
24-17
38-37
32-39
54-54
30-41
32-49
45-38
42-35
33-27
41-40
29-28
36-37
31-28
39-32
26-42
39-49
28-27
39-47
146.3Avg total
72.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.073.4148.4+1.555%
Season at home (9)78.166.2144.3+11.989%
Season away (11)72.479.3151.6-6.927%
Last 10 (10)72.074.3146.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)71.272.4143.6-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.680.9150.4-11.311%
vs Similar (14)71.175.3146.4-4.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.064.7144.7+15.3100%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: -2.2-2.2
Georgia StateSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A06/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A19/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H28/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H09/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/01
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.870.8+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.930.770.6+9.282%-
Last 30 away (19)33.737.270.9-3.537%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.170.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.465.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.837.269.9-4.435%-
vs Similar (9)37.831.068.8+6.878%-
vs Weaker (3)44.036.080.0+8.067%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H20/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A17/01
NCAA
62.5Avg total
30.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.166.9-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.631.864.4+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)33.036.169.1-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)30.731.862.5-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.459.8-1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.937.370.2-4.422%-
vs Similar (14)30.733.464.1-2.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.931.368.1+5.686%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Georgia State wins
2
Southern Miss wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Southern Miss v Georgia State79-73
04/02/23Georgia State v Southern Miss71-79
Georgia Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ALouisiana Monroe77-57
10/01/26HMarshall81-73
09/01/26HAppalachian State50-52
03/01/26ACoastal Carolina89-71
31/12/25AMarshall80-84
28/12/25HColumbia College (SC)110-72
20/12/25AAppalachian State70-63
19/12/25AGeorgia Southern67-90
13/12/25HJacksonville State77-73
06/12/25AKennesaw State69-92
Southern Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ATexas State67-74
15/01/26ATroy65-91
10/01/26HLouisiana Monroe70-60
09/01/26HTexas State80-70 OT
03/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette74-67
01/01/26ALouisiana Monroe87-73
30/12/25ALSU62-90
20/12/25HArkansas State86-93
19/12/25HLouisiana Lafayette62-54
13/12/25AOle Miss67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW37%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLWLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %37%57%25%
Points / game70.676.067.5
Allowed / game73.966.778.1
Point differential-3.3+9.3-10.6
Avg total144.5142.7145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%89%27%
Points / game75.078.172.4
Allowed / game73.466.279.3
Point differential+1.6+11.9-6.9
Avg total148.3144.3151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%56%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %10%11%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2014670%86.776.2+10.5
2 Marshall2013765%81.274.8+6.5
3 Georgia Southern2013765%83.480.0+3.5
4 Arkansas State1912763%83.079.8+3.2
5 South Alabama1911858%73.368.6+4.7
6 Appalachian State2112957%72.866.6+6.2
7 Texas State2011955%74.071.0+3.0
8 Southern Miss2011955%75.073.4+1.6
9 Coastal Carolina2011955%73.472.5+0.8
10 James Madison1991047%74.276.7-2.6
11 Georgia State1971237%70.673.9-3.3
12 Old Dominion2161529%74.177.6-3.4
13 Louisiana Lafayette2151624%60.169.2-9.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2031715%72.284.0-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State303969
Southern Miss323062
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