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Georgia State vs Georgia Southern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 66-64
37-27 29-37
Position#332
Record9-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#142
Record15-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game79.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Georgia State v Georgia Southern
20 Jan 2027
GEOR v GEOR
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
GEOR66
GEOR64
06 Mar 2025
GEOR80
GEOR71
08 Jan 2025
GEOR82
GEOR78
13 Jan 2024
GEOR90
GEOR62
02 Feb 2023
GEOR64
GEOR60
17 Feb 2022
GEOR79
GEOR63
11 Feb 2021
GEOR79
GEOR75
11 Mar 2020
GEOR62
GEOR81
28 Feb 2020
GEOR70
GEOR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia Southern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A30/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H05/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H07/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A13/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
43-35
38-39
39-18
30-32
39-30
38-36
44-45
28-46
44-36
33-36
34-33
28-28
35-46
37-35
37-40
33-41
37-29
26-36
29-42
145.1Avg total
71.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.574.3144.8-3.833%
Season at home (11)74.569.0143.5+5.555%
Season away (16)67.777.9145.6-10.219%
Last 10 (10)71.973.2145.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)67.675.4143.0-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.976.6146.6-6.732%
vs Similar (8)66.073.9139.9-7.912%
vs Weaker (2)93.564.5158.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A10/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H23/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H12/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
39-43
39-48
48-36
40-33
30-37
35-39
33-46
38-47
40-36
37-33
42-43
29-29
31-40
31-30
40-47
27-31
38-50
59-42
42-45
156.3Avg total
75.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.179.9161.0+1.256%
Season at home (15)82.978.0160.9+4.960%
Season away (12)78.982.2161.2-3.350%
Last 10 (10)75.580.8156.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)75.278.0153.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.383.0153.3-12.70%
vs Similar (16)81.281.9163.1-0.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.773.8154.5+6.960%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -4.0-4.0
Georgia StateGeorgia Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A30/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
32.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.035.569.6-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.831.468.2+5.467%-
Last 30 away (18)32.238.370.4-6.128%-
Last 10 (10)32.936.769.6-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.266.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.436.568.9-4.132%-
vs Similar (8)32.633.866.4-1.162%-
vs Weaker (2)47.038.585.5+8.550%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A10/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H16/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H15/02
NCAA
74.3Avg total
36.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.273.7+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.635.473.0+2.359%-
Last 30 away (13)37.337.274.5+0.146%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.674.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.069.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.339.072.3-5.70%-
vs Similar (16)36.736.072.7+0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.635.174.7+4.580%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AOld Dominion55-78
13/02/26AJames Madison79-81 OT
07/02/26HNorthern Illinois74-75
05/02/26HTroy63-74
01/02/26ASouth Alabama67-69
30/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette72-82
24/01/26HArkansas State82-81
23/01/26HSouthern Miss69-62
17/01/26ALouisiana Monroe77-57
10/01/26HMarshall81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HMarshall101-87
12/02/26HAppalachian State65-81
05/02/26HTexas State71-77
31/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette60-69
30/01/26ALouisiana Monroe79-76
24/01/26HTroy78-83
23/01/26HArkansas State68-85
17/01/26HCoastal Carolina75-79 OT
16/01/26HOld Dominion87-84
10/01/26ASouth Alabama71-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWWLL55%
AwayWLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %33%55%19%
Points / game70.574.567.7
Allowed / game74.369.077.9
Point differential-3.8+5.5-10.2
Avg total144.8143.5145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Georgia Southern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeLLLLW60%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game81.182.978.9
Allowed / game79.978.082.2
Point differential+1.2+4.9-3.3
Avg total161.0160.9161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %11%13%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy28181064%81.574.7+6.8
2 Marshall28181064%80.976.8+4.1
3 South Alabama27171063%74.069.9+4.2
4 Appalachian State29181162%71.965.3+6.6
5 Texas State28171161%74.470.9+3.6
6 Arkansas State27161159%82.577.5+5.0
7 Coastal Carolina28161257%73.271.9+1.3
8 Georgia Southern27151256%81.179.9+1.2
9 James Madison28151354%73.774.2-0.6
10 Southern Miss28141450%73.473.3+0.1
11 Old Dominion28101836%74.876.6-1.9
12 Georgia State2791833%70.574.3-3.8
13 Louisiana Lafayette2791833%62.969.6-6.6
14 Louisiana Monroe2842414%72.383.1-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State372966
Georgia Southern273764
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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