PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Georgia Tech faces Norfolk State in an NCAA contest on 17 November 2026, with the model designating Georgia Tech as the clear favourite because it is undefeated with a 3-0 record and averages 85.0 points while allowing only 69.7, placing it 78th in the league, whereas Norfolk State sits at 227th with a 2-2 record, 69.8 points scored and 72.8 allowed. Georgia Tech has won all three of its games, all at home, and has won three of its last five, including a 95-83 victory over Georgia Southern and a 75-55 win over Hampton, while Norfolk State has won two of its last five, with a 78-71 home win over Randolph but recent losses to Old Dominion and William & Mary. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia gives Georgia Tech a 90% chance of winning versus Norfolk State's 10%, projecting a final score of 83-69 and a total of 151.8 points; the model also estimates a 2% chance of overtime. The projected outcome confirms Georgia Tech's dominance, as it has already secured a clean sweep of its season.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 85.0 | 69.7 | 154.7 | +15.3 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 85.0 | 69.7 | 154.7 | +15.3 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 74.6 | 79.7 | 154.3 | -5.1 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.2 | 72.8 | 152.0 | +6.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 73.3 | 80.5 | 153.8 | -7.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (8) | 77.2 | 76.5 | 153.8 | +0.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 85.0 | 69.0 | 154.0 | +16.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 69.8 | 72.8 | 142.5 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 68.7 | 62.3 | 131.0 | +6.3 | 67% |
| Season away (1) | 73.0 | 104.0 | 177.0 | -31.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.6 | 75.9 | 151.5 | -0.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.2 | 75.8 | 148.0 | -3.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 66.7 | 89.0 | 155.7 | -22.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (4) | 67.2 | 80.0 | 147.2 | -12.8 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (19) | 80.1 | 70.8 | 150.9 | +9.3 | 68% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.6 | 38.0 | 73.6 | -2.5 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (20) | 36.2 | 37.6 | 73.8 | -1.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 away (10) | 34.3 | 38.8 | 73.1 | -4.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.9 | 39.1 | 76.0 | -2.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 33.4 | 75.2 | +8.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 34.8 | 39.5 | 74.2 | -4.7 | 30% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 34.9 | 36.5 | 71.4 | -1.6 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 46.5 | 30.0 | 76.5 | +16.5 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.1 | 36.1 | 71.2 | -1.1 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.4 | 34.4 | 72.8 | +4.1 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 32.1 | 37.7 | 69.8 | -5.6 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.4 | 35.4 | 69.8 | -1.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.8 | 35.6 | 67.4 | -3.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 30.5 | 44.0 | 74.5 | -13.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 26.8 | 39.8 | 66.5 | -13.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Weaker (19) | 38.3 | 33.0 | 71.3 | +5.3 | 68% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Eastern Kentucky | 85-71 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Georgia Southern | 95-83 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Hampton | 75-55 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Clemson | 76-79 |
| 05/03/26 | H | California | 65-76 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Florida State | 71-80 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Louisville | 70-87 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Virginia | 68-94 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Notre Dame | 74-89 |
| 12/02/26 | H | Wake Forest | 67-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Old Dominion | 60-71 |
| 08/11/26 | A | William & Mary | 73-104 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Randolph | 78-71 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Regent University | 68-45 |
| 12/03/26 | H | South Carolina St | 82-88 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Howard | 76-84 |
| 02/03/26 | A | Morgan State | 84-90 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Coppin State | 75-69 |
| 21/02/26 | H | South Carolina St | 90-71 |
| 17/02/26 | A | Md.-East. Shore | 70-66 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 85.0 | 85.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 69.7 | 69.7 | - |
| Point differential | +15.3 | +15.3 | - |
| Avg total | 154.7 | 154.7 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLL | 50% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 0% |
| Points / game | 69.8 | 68.7 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.8 | 62.3 | 104.0 |
| Point differential | -3.0 | +6.3 | -31.0 |
| Avg total | 142.5 | 131.0 | 177.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Louisville | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 95.5 | 63.5 | +32.0 |
| 2 |  SMU Mustangs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 92.0 | 67.5 | +24.5 |
| 3 |  Boston College | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 76.3 | 53.0 | +23.3 |
| 4 |  Notre Dame | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 87.5 | 64.2 | +23.2 |
| 5 |  Virginia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 91.8 | 69.6 | +22.2 |
| 6 |  Virginia Tech | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 89.8 | 67.8 | +22.0 |
| 7 |  NC State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.8 | 62.2 | +21.5 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.2 | 64.5 | +18.8 |
| 9 | Georgia Tech | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 69.7 | +15.3 |
| 10 |  Duke | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 90.0 | 57.0 | +33.0 |
| 11 |  Miami (FL) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.2 | 59.2 | +24.0 |
| 12 |  North Carolina | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.8 | 70.8 | +13.0 |
| 13 |  California | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.5 | 75.2 | +12.2 |
| 14 |  Stanford | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.5 | 69.2 | +9.2 |
| 15 |  Clemson | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 76.8 | +7.5 |
| 16 |  Syracuse | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 63.3 | +22.0 |
| 17 |  Wake Forest | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 72.0 | 66.7 | +5.3 |
| 18 |  Florida State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 80.2 | -1.2 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morgan State | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.2 | 65.5 | +19.8 |
| 2 |  South Carolina St | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.2 | 72.8 | +5.5 |
| 3 |  Howard | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.0 | 73.8 | +0.2 |
| 4 | Norfolk State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.8 | 72.8 | -3.0 |
| 5 |  Delaware State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.7 | 67.0 | +7.7 |
| 6 |  Coppin State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 62.2 | 66.2 | -4.0 |
| 7 |  Md.-East. Shore | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 58.6 | 70.0 | -11.4 |
| 8 |  N. Carolina Central | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 63.5 | 74.2 | -10.8 |
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