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Georgia vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-64
17-21 21-19 17-13 26-11
Position#21
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.0
Georgia 🏆
vs
Position#34
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Tbilisi Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Georgia v Finland
24 Nov 2024
GEOR81
FINL64
21 Feb 2021
GEOR70
FINL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGeorgia
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#77
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
85-60
85
60
+25
no box
A26/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
H28/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
70-59
70
59
+11
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
73-100
73
100
-27
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Denmark
#27
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 86
A21/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
18-23
31-20
22-18
19-19
23-24
18-19
17-18
20-11
28-11
22-15
15-23
17-16
16-29
17-18
17-25
24-19
18-4
17-21
11-15
16-22
25-21
16-27
16-30
17-23
20-31
30-25
17-21
23-12
14-16
16-22
16-25
12-21
19-17
21-22
11-16
20-25
23-23
19-15
28-20
156.7Avg total
76.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.078.0152.0-4.033%
Season at home (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Season away (2)79.579.0158.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)76.680.1156.7-3.540%
Last 5 (5)75.886.8162.6-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.584.4159.9-8.838%
vs Similar (11)79.381.0160.3-1.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.276.0160.2+8.283%
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
88-98
88
98
-10
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
100-77
100
77
+23
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
61-77
61
77
-16
55avg 77
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 77
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 77
H21/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
22-18
25-24
23-13
22-17
21-29
19-23
19-18
21-17
19-28
14-25
18-28
15-22
31-14
27-27
15-35
22-19
17-28
16-29
20-25
28-16
26-23
23-17
23-21
13-17
35-18
19-27
23-13
20-17
14-19
17-22
10-19
23-27
19-31
30-14
17-13
25-20
23-23
15-19
20-28
171.9Avg total
83.6Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.784.0161.7-6.333%
Season at home (2)86.087.5173.5-1.550%
Season away (1)61.077.0138.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)83.688.3171.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)84.680.8165.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.287.3163.5-11.217%
vs Similar (11)89.581.0170.5+8.582%
vs Weaker (7)84.173.4157.6+10.7100%
This opponent (Georgia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
GeorgiaFinland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeorgiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#77
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H26/02
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A26/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H28/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H30/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/09
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A03/09
World Cup
Denmark
#27
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A21/11
EuroBasket
77.5Avg total
38.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.577.8-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.938.675.5-1.821%-
Last 30 away (16)39.440.379.8-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.677.5+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.280.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.740.175.8-4.431%-
vs Similar (11)40.339.579.8+0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.038.378.3+1.733%-
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H25/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/11
EuroBasket
86.0Avg total
42.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.581.5+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.783.3+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.379.7+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.186.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.287.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.944.782.6-6.817%-
vs Similar (11)44.736.381.0+8.582%-
vs Weaker (7)44.435.980.3+8.671%-
This opponent (Georgia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Georgiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Georgia: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀27%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀32%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws28.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.012.0
34.3%
50.6%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.012.0
52.2%
32.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws32.028.0
87.5%
71.4%28.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.715.0
47.4%
50.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.3
32.3%
32.5%31.0
🏀 Free throws20.316.0
78.7%
71.4%16.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/3 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Georgia
WLLLLWLWLW
Finland
LWLWWLLLLW
#21
League position
#34
+6.6
Net rating
-8.8
115.5
Offensive rating
106.5
109.0
Defensive rating
115.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
47.9%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.55
Free-throw rate
0.32
52.2%
3-point %
32.3%
58.3%
Assist %
82.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 106.5Defence109.0 · 115.3Shooting51.7% · 47.9%3-point %52.2% · 32.3%Ball care14.7% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 32.1%Free throws0.55 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Georgia   ■ Finland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Georgia wins
1
Finland wins
DateGameScore
21/11/24Finland v Georgia83-90
21/02/21Georgia v Finland70-78
28/11/20Finland v Georgia85-91
Georgialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24AFinland90-83
26/02/24HSerbia63-76
23/02/24ADenmark69-75
03/09/23AAustralia84-100
01/09/23AGermany73-100
30/08/23HVenezuela70-59
28/08/23HSlovenia67-88
26/08/23ACape Verde85-60
26/02/23HIceland77-80
23/02/23ANetherlands88-80
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HGeorgia83-90
26/02/24HDenmark89-85
23/02/24ASerbia61-77
02/09/23HVenezuela90-75
31/08/23ACape Verde100-77
29/08/23AGermany75-101
27/08/23AJapan88-98
25/08/23HAustralia72-98
27/02/23HGermany81-87
24/02/23AIsrael97-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game74.063.079.5
Allowed / game78.076.079.0
Point differential-4.0-13.0+0.5
Avg total152.0139.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.786.061.0
Allowed / game84.087.577.0
Point differential-6.3-1.5-16.0
Avg total161.7173.5138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Italy330100%88.371.0+17.3
2 Serbia330100%75.058.7+16.3
3 France330100%74.061.3+12.7
4 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
5 Estonia330100%73.768.7+5.0
6 Croatia1311285%84.567.5+17.0
7 Portugal97278%82.871.9+10.9
8 Bulgaria139469%78.173.2+4.8
9 Lithuania32167%74.765.3+9.3
10 Montenegro32167%80.372.3+8.0
11 North Macedonia96367%74.266.9+7.3
12 Turkey32167%82.776.0+6.7
13 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
14 Slovenia32167%83.078.0+5.0
15 Greece32167%72.769.7+3.0
16 Israel32167%79.077.0+2.0
17 Great Britain32167%84.385.3-1.0
18 Sweden32167%75.779.0-3.3
19 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
20 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
21 Poland95456%78.474.8+3.7
22 Denmark179853%75.872.2+3.6
23 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
24 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
25 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
26 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
27 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
28 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
29 Germany31233%73.067.0+6.0
30 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%79.776.3+3.3
31 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
32 Georgia31233%74.078.0-4.0
33 Finland31233%77.784.0-6.3
34 Iceland31233%72.078.7-6.7
35 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
36 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
37 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
38 Cyprus151147%63.180.5-17.3
39 Ukraine3030%74.384.0-9.7
40 Hungary3030%64.381.7-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Georgia1721172681
Finland2119131164
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