PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Finland vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-87
22-17 21-29 19-23 19-18
Position#22
Record9-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Germany 🏆
Position#2
Record9-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game70.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 12
Other2023
Meetings · Finland v Germany
03 Sep 2025
FINL61
GERM91
27 Feb 2023
FINL81
GERM87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#10
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
A02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A05/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H08/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H11/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A11/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
A24/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
13-24
18-21
21-18
26-16
18-14
20-14
25-15
22-33
12-29
14-14
22-24
29-18
22-27
21-14
26-29
26-11
22-20
28-18
12-18
20-21
25-22
22-22
27-21
30-19
22-24
15-30
23-27
19-22
17-22
16-25
28-25
21-16
18-25
27-15
25-15
13-28
22-18
25-24
23-13
173.3Avg total
88.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.577.0158.5+4.582%
Season at home (5)83.672.0155.6+11.6100%
Season away (6)79.881.2161.0-1.367%
Last 10 (10)88.484.9173.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)90.489.2179.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.282.7155.9-9.518%
vs Similar (11)85.678.5164.1+7.291%
vs Weaker (8)84.275.6159.9+8.688%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#20
W
109-107 OT
109
107
+2
A04/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H06/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
106-71
106
71
+35
A07/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H10/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
W
107-96
107
96
+11
H13/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H16/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H18/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#22
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H11/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A14/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H24/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
27-22
20-24
23-24
14-21
22-23
19-17
25-27
22-19
32-20
27-19
25-13
19-10
29-14
19-26
18-29
31-27
26-34
26-10
24-25
24-27
27-19
20-19
20-31
19-14
17-9
18-26
28-20
22-19
22-17
25-16
25-28
24-16
10-25
14-20
27-20
21-19
19-12
17-14
16-21
173.5Avg total
90.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.470.3149.6+9.182%
Season at home (6)83.374.8158.2+8.583%
Season away (5)74.664.8139.4+9.880%
Last 10 (10)90.283.3173.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)83.078.4161.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.086.3161.3-11.317%
vs Similar (6)88.883.8172.7+5.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.173.7157.8+10.489%
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
FinlandGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A05/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H08/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/02
World Cup
84.9Avg total
42.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.376.7+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.376.7+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.440.376.7-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.584.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.484.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.940.573.4-7.527%-
vs Similar (11)39.937.277.1+2.764%-
vs Weaker (8)43.936.980.8+7.062%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#20
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H06/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H10/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H13/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H18/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#22
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H11/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H24/02
World Cup
83.2Avg total
44.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.678.8+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.438.380.7+4.171%-
Last 30 away (13)39.536.776.2+2.854%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.683.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.476.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.241.581.7-1.350%-
vs Similar (6)41.843.285.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.334.475.7+6.878%-
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Finland wins
2
Germany wins
DateGameScore
11/11/22Germany v Finland94-80
19/08/16Germany v Finland75-66
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23AIsrael97-95 OT
14/11/22HEstonia91-71
11/11/22AGermany80-94
13/09/22ASpain90-100
11/09/22HCroatia94-86
08/09/22HNetherlands88-67
06/09/22HCzech Republic98-88
05/09/22ASerbia70-100
03/09/22HPoland89-59
02/09/22AIsrael87-89 OT
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HSweden73-66
14/11/22ASlovenia75-81
11/11/22HFinland94-80
18/09/22HPoland82-69
16/09/22HSpain91-96
13/09/22HGreece107-96
10/09/22HMontenegro85-79
07/09/22AHungary106-71
06/09/22HSlovenia80-88
04/09/22ALithuania109-107 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game81.583.679.8
Allowed / game77.072.081.2
Point differential+4.5+11.6-1.3
Avg total158.5155.6161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Germany
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game79.483.374.6
Allowed / game70.374.864.8
Point differential+9.1+8.5+9.8
Avg total149.6158.2139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1514193%85.171.2+13.9
3 Canada1211192%97.768.4+29.2
4 Australia1211192%82.854.8+28.0
5 South Sudan1211192%78.664.4+14.2
6 France1210283%81.161.8+19.2
7 Spain1210283%83.167.7+15.4
8 China1210283%79.966.0+13.9
9 Angola1210283%74.160.5+13.6
10 Ivory Coast1210283%75.365.9+9.4
11 Germany119282%79.470.3+9.1
12 Finland119282%81.577.0+4.5
13 New Zealand108280%92.668.9+23.7
14 Puerto Rico108280%80.876.6+4.2
15 Lebanon129375%89.772.5+17.2
16 Dominican Republic129375%82.171.8+10.2
17 Lithuania129375%76.871.0+5.8
18 Italy118373%87.284.4+2.8
19 Mexico107370%83.677.1+6.5
20 Greece107370%79.576.4+3.1
21 Montenegro1611569%76.471.0+5.4
22 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
23 Venezuela128467%77.267.2+10.1
24 Egypt128467%73.463.8+9.6
25 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
26 Jordan128467%78.872.2+6.6
27 Slovenia117464%83.279.2+4.0
28 Serbia117464%79.176.9+2.2
29 Brazil106460%86.971.6+15.3
30 Philippines106460%80.276.8+3.4
31 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
32 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
33 Japan127558%76.473.2+3.2
34 Georgia127558%80.479.1+1.3
35 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
36 Belgium116555%73.668.3+5.4
37 Cape Verde116555%72.169.5+2.6
38 Sweden158753%81.876.0+5.8
39 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
40 Iran126650%71.368.7+2.7
41 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
42 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
43 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
44 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
45 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
46 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
47 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
48 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
49 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
52 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
53 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
54 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
55 Turkey103730%77.077.2-0.2
56 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
57 Israel113827%77.979.0-1.1
58 Estonia113827%72.582.4-9.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain91811%68.281.2-13.0
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland2221191981
Germany1729231887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.