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Finland vs Denmark Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 89-85
23-27 19-31 30-14 17-13
Position#34
Record0-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game77.0
Finland 🏆
vs
Position#27
Record9-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game71.1
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Espoo Metro Areena
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
88-98
88
98
-10
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
100-77
100
77
+23
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
61-77
61
77
-16
55avg 55
A23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
17-22
16-25
28-25
21-16
18-25
27-15
25-15
13-28
22-18
25-24
23-13
22-17
21-29
19-23
19-18
21-17
19-28
14-25
18-28
15-22
31-14
27-27
15-35
22-19
17-28
16-29
20-25
28-16
26-23
23-17
23-21
13-17
35-18
19-27
23-13
20-17
14-19
17-22
10-19
170.8Avg total
83.5Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)61.077.0138.0-16.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)61.077.0138.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)83.587.3170.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)82.885.6168.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.287.3161.5-13.110%
vs Similar (12)87.879.6167.4+8.283%
vs Weaker (8)84.275.6159.9+8.688%
This opponent (Denmark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
Norway
#28
L
75-99
75
99
-24
no box
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A10/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
69-61
69
61
+8
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
60-46
60
46
+14
63avg 75
A22/07
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 75
H26/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
94-81
94
81
+13
87avg 75
H02/08
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
88-63
88
63
+25
80avg 75
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 75
H23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
23-23
21-26
10-16
17-23
18-16
11-18
24-17
20-14
17-18
17-16
10-16
21-15
18-14
12-16
18-16
21-12
14-21
14-26
22-13
18-6
9-17
12-13
21-10
27-16
17-27
25-22
13-10
18-25
26-9
27-21
23-26
24-17
23-11
21-17
20-18
12-23
16-14
22-16
25-16
146.9Avg total
75.5Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.771.1147.8+5.760%
Season at home (8)81.271.2152.5+10.075%
Season away (7)71.670.9142.4+0.743%
Last 10 (10)75.571.4146.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)79.866.8146.6+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.584.5154.0-15.00%
vs Similar (12)72.876.2149.0-3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.971.4151.3+8.679%
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
FinlandDenmark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H25/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A23/02
EuroBasket
82.9Avg total
41.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.879.8+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.138.581.6+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.139.178.2+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.582.9-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.682.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.543.580.0-7.010%-
vs Similar (12)42.836.279.0+6.575%-
vs Weaker (8)43.936.980.8+7.062%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norway
#28
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A13/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H26/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A22/07
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H02/08
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H23/02
EuroBasket
73.5Avg total
38.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.676.2-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.377.6-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.137.874.9-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.573.5+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.071.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.043.878.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (12)34.839.374.2-4.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.936.477.3+4.479%-
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 59.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀31%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀34%
🏀🏀 2-pointers18.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.09.0
47.4%
50.6%18.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.07.0
23.3%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.020.0
87.0%
71.4%20.0
They take 49.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 61% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.1
50.1%
50.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.1
31.6%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.113.7
62.0%
71.4%13.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Finland
LWWLLLLWWL
Denmark
WWWWWLWLLL
#34
League position
#27
-25.4
Net rating
+4.4
83.3
Offensive rating
100.0
108.7
Defensive rating
95.6
39.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
25.3%
Turnover %
22.5%
18.8%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.47
Free-throw rate
0.36
23.3%
3-point %
31.6%
100.0%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.3 · 100.0Defence108.7 · 95.6Shooting39.8% · 49.0%3-point %23.3% · 31.6%Ball care25.3% · 22.5%Off. rebounds18.8% · 36.2%Free throws0.47 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Finland   ■ Denmark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Finland wins
0
Denmark wins
No previous meetings.
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24ASerbia61-77
02/09/23HVenezuela90-75
31/08/23ACape Verde100-77
29/08/23AGermany75-101
27/08/23AJapan88-98
25/08/23HAustralia72-98
27/02/23HGermany81-87
24/02/23AIsrael97-95 OT
14/11/22HEstonia91-71
11/11/22AGermany80-94
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24HGeorgia75-69
05/08/23AKosovo88-63
02/08/23HSwitzerland94-81
26/07/23HKosovo82-75
22/07/23ASwitzerland60-46
26/02/23HSlovakia71-72
23/02/23HNorway69-61
13/11/22ANorth Macedonia71-74 OT
10/11/22ASlovakia70-74
28/08/22ANorway75-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game61.0-61.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential-16.0--16.0
Avg total138.0-138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Denmark
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game76.781.271.6
Allowed / game71.171.270.9
Point differential+5.7+10.0+0.7
Avg total147.8152.5142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
3 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
4 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
5 France110100%73.061.0+12.0
6 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
7 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
8 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
9 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
10 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
11 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
12 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
13 Portugal86275%82.971.6+11.2
14 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
15 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
16 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
17 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
18 Denmark159660%76.771.1+5.7
19 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
20 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
21 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
22 Montenegro21150%78.077.5+0.5
23 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Sweden21150%77.082.5-5.5
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
28 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
29 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
30 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
31 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
32 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
33 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
34 Netherlands1010%94.098.0-4.0
35 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
36 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
37 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
38 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
39 Hungary2020%63.576.5-13.0
40 Finland1010%61.077.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland2319301789
Denmark2731141385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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