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Geraldton Buccaneers vs Willetton Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 87-86
26-21 21-27 19-19 21-19
Position#2
Record17-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#6
Record15-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game93.0
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2023
Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers
28 Jun 2025
GERA117
WILL97
03 Aug 2024
GERA89
WILL98
06 Apr 2024
GERA102
WILL95
29 Jul 2023
GERA87
WILL86
13 May 2023
GERA120
WILL98
18 Jun 2022
GERA102
WILL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Willetton Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#3
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H10/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A17/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A18/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
118-97
118
97
+21
H24/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H01/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A08/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A09/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
W
99-89
99
89
+10
H15/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
115-96
115
96
+19
A21/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A22/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
28-12
11-18
13-15
27-20
27-25
22-23
22-23
25-21
14-22
36-22
19-30
38-17
32-30
22-18
26-32
26-15
18-16
19-24
31-27
31-27
32-34
17-14
15-15
18-23
22-29
26-23
22-22
34-22
14-23
20-18
31-26
34-28
29-18
27-22
25-28
24-32
25-9
20-21
20-19
184.9Avg total
96.4Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)98.686.3184.9+12.377%
Season at home (11)97.581.5179.0+16.191%
Season away (11)99.691.2190.8+8.564%
Last 10 (10)96.488.5184.9+7.980%
Last 5 (5)97.290.6187.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.091.0183.0+1.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)97.082.9179.9+14.176%
This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Willetton TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A02/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A10/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
83-115
83
115
-32
A16/06
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
119-89
119
89
+30
H18/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#11
W
116-106
116
106
+10
A24/06
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A30/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
W
107-101
107
101
+6
H08/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H15/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
108-83
108
83
+25
A21/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H22/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-26
22-15
13-21
24-23
20-27
25-29
20-28
22-17
18-34
26-29
17-38
22-14
28-14
23-28
35-24
33-23
28-31
25-30
29-29
34-16
15-7
27-27
28-27
24-34
25-28
25-29
23-18
34-26
34-25
21-15
26-25
20-22
32-21
34-19
23-21
19-22
32-24
9-25
21-20
19-20
194.1Avg total
99.0Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)98.993.0191.8+5.968%
Season at home (11)97.489.4186.7+8.082%
Season away (11)100.496.5196.9+3.855%
Last 10 (10)99.095.1194.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)98.291.0189.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.494.1173.6-14.70%
vs Similar (6)97.094.5191.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (15)99.388.2187.5+11.187%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
Geraldton BuccaneersWilletton Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#3
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H10/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A17/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H24/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A08/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A09/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H15/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A21/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A22/07
NBL1 West
96.5Avg total
52.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.941.292.0+9.780%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.338.287.5+11.182%-
Last 30 away (13)52.945.198.0+7.877%-
Last 10 (10)52.044.596.5+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)52.649.0101.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.054.0105.0-3.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)50.940.791.6+10.183%-
This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Willetton TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A02/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A10/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A16/06
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H18/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#11
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A24/06
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A30/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H08/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H15/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
66-40
66
40
+26
A21/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/07
NBL1 West
98.7Avg total
50.4Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.645.193.7+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.643.992.5+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)48.746.194.8+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)50.448.398.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)50.844.094.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.046.088.0-4.033%-
vs Similar (6)47.746.394.0+1.367%-
vs Weaker (15)53.044.097.0+9.073%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Geraldton Buccaneers wins
1
Willetton Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/23AWilletton Tigers89-81
21/07/23AEast Perth Eagles115-96
15/07/23HPerry Lakes Hawks99-89
09/07/23APerth Redbacks88-97
08/07/23ALakeside Lightning95-90
01/07/23HMandurah Magic94-82
24/06/23HEast Perth Eagles118-97
18/06/23AWarwick Senators94-95
17/06/23AKalamunda Eastern Suns98-91
10/06/23HJoondalup Wolves74-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/23HGeraldton Buccaneers81-89
21/07/23ASouth West Slammers108-83
15/07/23HMandurah Magic101-87
08/07/23HBeeliar Boodjar107-101
30/06/23APerry Lakes Hawks94-95
24/06/23AGoldfields Giants116-106
18/06/23HSouth West Slammers119-89
16/06/23ARockingham Flames83-115
10/06/23ALakeside Lightning87-101
02/06/23AKalamunda Eastern Suns94-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%91%64%
Points / game98.697.599.6
Allowed / game86.381.591.2
Point differential+12.3+16.1+8.5
Avg total184.9179.0190.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%73%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Willetton Tigers
NBL1 West 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL68%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%82%55%
Points / game98.997.4100.4
Allowed / game93.089.496.5
Point differential+5.9+8.0+3.8
Avg total191.8186.7196.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%36%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rockingham Flames2320387%105.486.1+19.3
2 Geraldton Buccaneers2217577%98.686.3+12.3
3 Willetton Tigers2215768%98.993.0+5.9
4 Perth Redbacks2315865%92.083.9+8.1
5 Perry Lakes Hawks2315865%92.184.3+7.9
6 Joondalup Wolves2214864%96.793.5+3.2
7 Warwick Senators22121055%94.889.8+5.0
8 Lakeside Lightning23111248%88.690.5-1.9
9 Beeliar Boodjar2291341%93.796.1-2.4
10 Kalamunda Eastern Suns2281436%81.291.2-10.0
11 Goldfields Giants2271532%89.994.5-4.6
12 East Perth Eagles2271532%89.895.6-5.8
13 South West Slammers2241818%76.398.8-22.5
14 Mandurah Magic222209%87.0103.1-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geraldton Buccaneers2621192187
Willetton Tigers2127191986
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