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Perth Redbacks vs Geraldton Buccaneers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 97-88
23-18 29-22 23-26 22-22
Position#4
Record11-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#2
Record14-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game85.3
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2023
Meetings · Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers
01 Aug 2025
PERT85
GERA105
20 Jul 2024
PERT76
GERA107
09 Jul 2023
PERT97
GERA88
09 Jul 2022
PERT88
GERA81
27 Jun 2021
PERT105
GERA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Redbacks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geraldton Buccaneers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth RedbacksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H19/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
H26/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A02/06
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A09/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H16/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H23/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A24/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
78-97
78
97
-19
H30/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
W
106-102
106
102
+4
A01/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A08/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
24-17
20-27
23-18
23-24
25-22
14-22
26-20
20-23
18-22
18-26
29-22
33-23
22-18
16-17
24-27
29-10
29-28
14-23
20-13
31-21
23-34
22-24
19-18
26-26
15-29
19-12
26-22
24-32
15-30
19-20
20-15
18-24
39-37
17-26
32-15
22-19
19-23
22-29
26-27
182.0Avg total
90.8Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.884.2173.0+4.758%
Season at home (8)88.285.9174.1+2.450%
Season away (11)89.382.9172.2+6.464%
Last 10 (10)90.891.2182.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)90.896.6187.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)89.090.4179.4-1.440%
vs Similar (9)84.985.7170.6-0.844%
vs Weaker (11)91.384.5175.7+6.873%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
120-98
120
98
+22
H13/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H20/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H27/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
A04/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H10/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A17/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A18/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
118-97
118
97
+21
H24/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H01/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A08/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-20
35-30
40-30
21-26
30-28
17-22
24-15
29-21
27-21
20-27
25-17
20-26
30-18
28-14
22-28
22-22
28-12
11-18
13-15
27-20
27-25
22-23
22-23
25-21
14-22
36-22
19-30
38-17
32-30
22-18
26-32
26-15
18-16
19-24
31-27
31-27
32-34
17-14
15-15
186.9Avg total
98.6Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)98.885.3184.1+13.478%
Season at home (10)97.480.7178.1+16.790%
Season away (8)100.591.1191.6+9.462%
Last 10 (10)98.688.3186.9+10.390%
Last 5 (5)99.891.0190.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.091.0183.0+1.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)96.381.3177.6+15.076%
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
Perth RedbacksGeraldton Buccaneers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H19/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/06
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A09/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H16/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H23/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A24/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H30/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A01/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/07
NBL1 West
94.8Avg total
47.0Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.444.089.3+1.452%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.144.290.3+1.854%-
Last 30 away (16)44.843.888.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)47.047.894.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)46.455.0101.4-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.744.387.0-1.640%-
vs Similar (8)47.144.191.2+3.050%-
vs Weaker (11)46.543.590.1+3.064%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H13/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#1
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H20/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H27/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#11
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A04/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#3
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H10/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A17/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H24/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A08/07
NBL1 West
96.1Avg total
52.2Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.940.691.5+10.380%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.637.687.2+12.082%-
Last 30 away (13)52.644.697.2+8.077%-
Last 10 (10)52.243.996.1+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)54.045.499.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.054.0105.0-3.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)50.940.291.1+10.783%-
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Perth Redbacks wins
2
Geraldton Buccaneers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23AEast Perth Eagles89-98
01/07/23ABeeliar Boodjar106-102
30/06/23HWarwick Senators78-97
24/06/23ALakeside Lightning86-89
23/06/23HJoondalup Wolves95-97
16/06/23HKalamunda Eastern Suns92-74
09/06/23APerry Lakes Hawks95-85
02/06/23AWarwick Senators85-93
26/05/23HEast Perth Eagles100-99 OT
19/05/23HBeeliar Boodjar82-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23ALakeside Lightning95-90
01/07/23HMandurah Magic94-82
24/06/23HEast Perth Eagles118-97
18/06/23AWarwick Senators94-95
17/06/23AKalamunda Eastern Suns98-91
10/06/23HJoondalup Wolves74-67
04/06/23AGoldfields Giants100-86
27/05/23HLakeside Lightning101-86
20/05/23HRockingham Flames92-91
13/05/23HWilletton Tigers120-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Redbacks
NBL1 West 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %58%50%64%
Points / game88.888.289.3
Allowed / game84.285.982.9
Point differential+4.7+2.4+6.4
Avg total173.0174.1172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%25%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%90%62%
Points / game98.897.4100.5
Allowed / game85.380.791.1
Point differential+13.4+16.7+9.4
Avg total184.1178.1191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%70%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rockingham Flames2017385%105.886.7+19.1
2 Geraldton Buccaneers1814478%98.885.3+13.4
3 Perry Lakes Hawks2015575%92.582.4+10.1
4 Willetton Tigers1913668%99.294.0+5.2
5 Warwick Senators2012860%95.288.3+6.9
6 Joondalup Wolves2012860%97.393.9+3.4
7 Perth Redbacks1911858%88.884.2+4.7
8 Lakeside Lightning1991047%88.191.0-2.9
9 Kalamunda Eastern Suns2081240%83.791.2-7.5
10 Goldfields Giants1971237%90.791.6-0.9
11 Beeliar Boodjar1971237%94.497.2-2.8
12 East Perth Eagles2061430%89.197.0-8.0
13 South West Slammers1931616%74.499.2-24.7
14 Mandurah Magic2021810%87.7103.2-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Redbacks2329232297
Geraldton Buccaneers1822262288
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