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Germany U18 vs Italy U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 68-74
12-14 17-22 11-19 28-19
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game66.8
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - 3rd place
Other2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Germany U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U18
#8
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H28/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#3
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A30/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Australia U18
#7
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A31/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H01/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A02/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Finland U18
#15
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H16/12
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A17/12
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A18/12
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H20/12
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H21/12
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
12-15
16-20
32-8
29-21
16-14
14-19
21-13
18-16
12-10
22-13
25-19
18-8
16-10
26-14
11-18
16-16
16-16
23-16
15-17
21-16
26-12
23-18
22-17
19-18
16-21
26-22
24-9
23-12
14-22
21-16
22-20
9-15
29-18
19-18
21-23
16-19
14-12
15-20
17-18
141.7Avg total
77.5Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.469.2148.6+10.280%
Season at home (3)77.368.7146.0+8.767%
Season away (2)82.570.0152.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.564.2141.7+13.390%
Last 5 (5)79.469.2148.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.270.0136.2-3.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.169.0138.1+0.157%
vs Weaker (19)77.656.8134.4+20.795%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USA U18
#6
W
82-57
82
57
+25
A28/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Egypt U18
#12
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H30/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A31/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#3
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
H01/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H02/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Sweden U18
#16
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H16/12
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A17/12
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A18/12
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#15
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H20/12
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H21/12
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
19-14
22-10
22-22
22-19
9-8
27-2
17-12
11-10
19-17
23-19
14-13
21-10
19-19
12-14
14-23
21-9
20-14
19-19
21-14
16-13
20-20
17-13
22-10
20-17
21-10
23-22
20-29
21-13
19-11
10-11
18-27
16-15
11-12
21-13
13-16
19-18
12-28
17-10
24-26
136.4Avg total
74.0Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.066.8138.8+5.280%
Season at home (3)69.364.7134.0+4.767%
Season away (2)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.062.4136.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)72.066.8138.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.068.0129.0-7.020%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.067.4136.4+1.662%
vs Weaker (17)74.263.2137.4+10.982%
This opponent (Germany U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
Germany U18Italy U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Germany U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U18
#8
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H28/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A30/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Australia U18
#7
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A31/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H01/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A02/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Finland U18
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H16/12
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A17/12
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A18/12
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H20/12
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H21/12
EuroBasket U18
66.4Avg total
36.0Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.830.566.3+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.530.263.7+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)37.830.868.6+7.069%-
Last 10 (10)36.030.466.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.070.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.836.872.5-1.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.135.068.1-1.943%-
vs Weaker (19)36.827.664.4+9.268%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USA U18
#6
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A28/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Egypt U18
#12
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H30/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A31/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#3
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H01/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H02/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Sweden U18
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H16/12
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A17/12
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A18/12
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#15
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H20/12
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H21/12
EuroBasket U18
64.3Avg total
35.5Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.731.966.6+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.233.868.0+0.447%-
Last 30 away (13)35.429.564.8+5.969%-
Last 10 (10)35.528.864.3+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.466.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.635.264.8-5.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.930.964.8+3.050%-
vs Weaker (17)36.631.568.1+5.171%-
This opponent (Germany U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany U18 wins
0
Italy U18 wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16HLithuania U1862-69
20/12/16HSpain U1878-74
18/12/16ATurkey U1880-70
17/12/16AGreece U1885-70
16/12/16HFinland U1892-63
02/04/16ASerbia U1870-65
01/04/16HFrance U1871-50
31/03/16AAustralia U1877-58
30/03/16ASerbia U1880-67
28/03/16HTurkey U1880-56
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16HFrance U1872-82
20/12/16HFinland U1861-56
18/12/16ASpain U1868-62
17/12/16ACroatia U1884-78
16/12/16HSweden U1875-56
02/04/16HFrance U1881-56
01/04/16HSerbia U1875-77 OT
31/03/16AFrance U1867-59
30/03/16HEgypt U1875-41
28/03/16AUSA U1882-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany U18
EuroBasket U18 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game79.477.382.5
Allowed / game69.268.770.0
Point differential+10.2+8.7+12.5
Avg total148.6146.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game72.069.376.0
Allowed / game66.864.770.0
Point differential+5.2+4.7+6.0
Avg total138.8134.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France U18550100%72.459.8+12.6
2 Germany U1854180%79.469.2+10.2
3 Italy U1854180%72.066.8+5.2
4 Lithuania U1854180%75.472.0+3.4
5 Spain U1864267%69.262.7+6.5
6 Latvia U1864267%74.373.5+0.8
7 Serbia U1853260%64.264.4-0.2
8 Greece U1853260%74.275.0-0.8
9 Russia U1863350%69.560.7+8.8
10 Bosnia & Herzegovina U1863350%78.078.3-0.3
11 Croatia U1862433%75.080.0-5.0
12 Turkey U1862433%66.272.7-6.5
13 Slovenia U1862433%64.072.2-8.2
14 Israel U1861517%82.881.7+1.2
15 Finland U1861517%65.776.0-10.3
16 Sweden U186060%66.378.7-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany U181217112868
Italy U181422191974
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