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USA U18 vs Italy U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 57-82
11-19 14-19 10-22 22-22
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game63.5
Meetings · USA U18 v Italy U18
28 Mar 2016
USA 57
ITAL82
24 Apr 2014
USA 84
ITAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USA U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USA U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chile U18
#14
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H19/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Ukraine U18
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A20/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#7
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H21/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Spain U18
#11
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A23/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Italy U18
#1
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H24/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#4
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A25/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Italy U18
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A26/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H26/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
China U18
#10
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
A27/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
25-23
19-15
20-21
26-20
29-13
21-16
14-26
18-14
32-25
16-17
17-19
21-12
11-25
20-12
17-15
25-18
21-17
16-26
22-15
15-20
21-21
16-11
22-16
26-22
15-13
20-26
12-25
16-17
21-24
18-16
23-23
24-22
14-26
22-18
23-17
158.2Avg total
82.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.584.5172.0+3.050%
Season at home (1)78.080.0158.0-2.00%
Season away (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (9)82.276.0158.2+6.278%
Last 5 (5)81.279.8161.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.076.7153.7+0.367%
vs Similar (2)80.577.5158.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (4)87.074.8161.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia U18
#9
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#15
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
China U18
#10
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H26/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Greece U18
#4
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A27/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-4
13-21
24-13
11-16
19-13
10-16
19-22
24-17
11-24
11-8
11-20
19-11
20-19
18-20
22-11
17-20
11-23
19-22
16-9
13-18
21-20
25-14
16-22
25-13
12-19
17-17
14-26
24-20
21-16
24-11
11-20
17-10
15-19
26-21
17-9
20-25
12-14
19-18
23-9
13-12
135.7Avg total
69.5Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.563.5136.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)67.053.0120.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.566.2135.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)74.467.0141.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.064.0127.0-1.040%
vs Similar (8)73.271.8145.0+1.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)76.466.6142.9+9.876%
This opponent (USA U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
USA U18Italy U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
USA U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chile U18
#14
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Ukraine U18
#9
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A20/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H21/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Spain U18
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Italy U18
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Italy U18
#1
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A26/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H26/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
China U18
#10
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
81.3Avg total
43.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)43.138.281.3+4.956%-
Last 30 at home (4)46.537.584.0+9.075%-
Last 30 away (5)40.438.879.2+1.640%-
Last 10 (9)43.138.281.3+4.956%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.079.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.037.078.0+4.067%-
vs Similar (2)43.540.083.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.282.8+6.250%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia U18
#9
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#15
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
China U18
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Greece U18
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
67.8Avg total
33.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.033.669.6+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.633.168.7+2.653%-
Last 30 away (13)36.534.370.8+2.246%-
Last 10 (10)33.933.967.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.872.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.032.663.6-1.640%-
vs Similar (8)35.134.269.4+0.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.933.671.5+4.459%-
This opponent (USA U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
USA U18 wins
1
Italy U18 wins
DateGameScore
26/04/14Italy U18 v USA U1886-73
24/04/14USA U18 v Italy U1884-76
USA U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/16AChina U1897-89 OT
26/03/16HFrance U1878-80
26/04/14AItaly U1873-86
25/04/14ASerbia U1874-68
24/04/14HItaly U1884-76
23/04/14ASpain U1869-64
21/04/14HFrance U1883-75
20/04/14AUkraine U1890-75
19/04/14HChile U1892-71
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/16AGreece U1867-53
26/03/16HChina U1878-74
02/08/15ACroatia U1873-57
01/08/15HRussia U1867-82
31/07/15HUkraine U1887-69
29/07/15HBosnia & Herzegovina U1859-72
28/07/15HLithuania U1877-70
27/07/15AGreece U1852-63
25/07/15HFinland U1872-68
24/07/15ARussia U1863-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USA U18
Albert Schweitzer Tournament 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game87.578.097.0
Allowed / game84.580.089.0
Point differential+3.0-2.0+8.0
Avg total172.0158.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%0%100%
Italy U18
Albert Schweitzer Tournament 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game72.578.067.0
Allowed / game63.574.053.0
Point differential+9.0+4.0+14.0
Avg total136.0152.0120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany U18220100%94.051.5+42.5
2 Serbia U18330100%84.359.0+25.3
3 France U18330100%74.763.0+11.7
4 Italy U18220100%72.563.5+9.0
5 USA U1821150%87.584.5+3.0
6 Turkey U1821150%64.566.5-2.0
7 Greece U1831233%72.064.3+7.7
8 Australia U1831233%69.767.0+2.7
9 China U1831233%82.382.7-0.3
10 Argentina U1831233%55.779.3-23.7
11 Egypt U183030%61.088.0-27.0
12 Japan U183030%55.386.7-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
USA U181114102257
Italy U181919222282
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