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Italy U18 vs Finland U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 61-56
16-15 11-12 21-13 13-16
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#15
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game72.7
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Quarter-finals
Other2016
Meetings · Italy U18 v Finland U18
20 Dec 2016
ITAL61
FINL56
25 Jul 2015
ITAL72
FINL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China U18
#10
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H26/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Greece U18
#4
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A27/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
USA U18
#6
W
82-57
82
57
+25
A28/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Egypt U18
#12
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H30/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A31/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#3
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
H01/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H02/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Sweden U18
#16
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H16/12
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A17/12
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A18/12
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
26-21
17-9
20-25
12-14
19-18
23-9
13-12
19-11
19-14
22-10
22-22
22-19
9-8
27-2
17-12
11-10
19-17
23-19
14-13
21-10
19-19
12-14
14-23
21-9
20-14
19-19
21-14
16-13
20-20
17-13
22-10
20-17
21-10
23-22
20-29
21-13
19-11
10-11
18-27
136.5Avg total
75.2Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.765.3141.0+10.3100%
Season at home (1)75.056.0131.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.261.3136.5+13.990%
Last 5 (5)76.665.8142.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)58.264.5122.8-6.225%
vs Similar (9)72.770.7143.3+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)75.664.2139.9+11.482%
This opponent (Finland U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Finland U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy U18
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A25/07
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#13
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#15
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#15
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#13
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#3
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A16/12
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#12
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H17/12
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H18/12
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
16-10
22-19
17-24
25-15
14-24
10-16
21-13
23-28
13-16
25-14
26-23
17-25
9-20
23-11
16-18
21-27
16-22
8-18
19-20
27-25
17-24
25-15
19-13
20-10
13-16
16-19
19-19
16-21
12-26
18-23
17-22
22-15
16-14
12-16
15-8
11-17
14-25
21-18
25-13
145.0Avg total
70.9Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.372.7139.0-6.333%
Season at home (2)68.063.0131.0+5.050%
Season away (1)63.092.0155.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)70.974.1145.0-3.250%
Last 5 (5)71.071.8142.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.975.2140.1-10.429%
vs Similar (7)71.764.7136.4+7.071%
vs Weaker (9)74.162.3136.4+11.878%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
Italy U18Finland U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China U18
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Greece U18
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
USA U18
#6
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A28/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Egypt U18
#12
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H30/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A31/03
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Serbia U18
#3
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H01/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
France U18
#5
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H02/04
Albert Schweitzer Tournament
Sweden U18
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H16/12
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A17/12
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#4
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A18/12
EuroBasket U18
65.6Avg total
36.9Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.632.668.2+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.933.968.8+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)36.431.067.4+5.464%-
Last 10 (10)36.928.765.6+8.290%-
Last 5 (5)39.627.266.8+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.232.561.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (9)35.733.168.8+2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.132.369.4+4.871%-
This opponent (Finland U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Finland U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy U18
#6
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/07
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#15
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#15
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#13
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A16/12
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#12
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/12
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H18/12
EuroBasket U18
73.4Avg total
33.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.737.371.0-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.537.170.7-3.640%-
Last 30 away (15)33.937.571.4-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.973.4-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.672.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.140.572.6-8.414%-
vs Similar (7)34.434.669.0-0.157%-
vs Weaker (9)35.834.470.2+1.356%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy U18 wins
0
Finland U18 wins
DateGameScore
25/07/15Italy U18 v Finland U1872-68
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16ASpain U1868-62
17/12/16ACroatia U1884-78
16/12/16HSweden U1875-56
02/04/16HFrance U1881-56
01/04/16HSerbia U1875-77 OT
31/03/16AFrance U1867-59
30/03/16HEgypt U1875-41
28/03/16AUSA U1882-57
27/03/16AGreece U1867-53
26/03/16HChina U1878-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16HGreece U1871-73
17/12/16HTurkey U1865-53
16/12/16AGermany U1863-92
02/08/15AMontenegro U1868-64
01/08/15AUkraine U1888-77
31/07/15ARussia U1864-87
29/07/15HCroatia U1865-74
28/07/15HUkraine U1887-81
27/07/15AMontenegro U1870-68
25/07/15AItaly U1868-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.775.076.0
Allowed / game65.356.070.0
Point differential+10.3+19.0+6.0
Avg total141.0131.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland U18
EuroBasket U18 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game66.368.063.0
Allowed / game72.763.092.0
Point differential-6.3+5.0-29.0
Avg total139.0131.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany U18440100%83.869.2+14.5
2 France U18330100%68.355.3+13.0
3 Italy U18330100%75.765.3+10.3
4 Lithuania U1843175%77.074.5+2.5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U1832167%82.382.0+0.3
6 Russia U1842250%70.056.8+13.2
7 Spain U1842250%67.064.0+3.0
8 Greece U1842250%75.276.8-1.5
9 Latvia U1842250%66.270.8-4.5
10 Croatia U1831233%72.778.3-5.7
11 Turkey U1831233%68.374.3-6.0
12 Finland U1831233%66.372.7-6.3
13 Serbia U1831233%59.767.0-7.3
14 Slovenia U1841325%61.275.0-13.8
15 Israel U183030%86.789.3-2.7
16 Sweden U184040%62.572.8-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U181611211361
Finland U181512131656
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