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Germany vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 82-69
19-14 17-9 18-26 28-20
Position#17
Record7-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game83.1
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record8-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeEuroBasketEuroBasket - 3rd place
Other2022
Meetings · Germany v Poland
30 Nov 2026
GERM v POLA
upcoming
18 Sep 2022
GERM82
POLA69
03 Jul 2022
GERM93
POLA83
19 Aug 2017
GERM75
POLA80
21 Aug 2016
GERM80
POLA61
22 Aug 2015
GERM82
POLA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
W
67-50
67
50
+17
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H28/08
World Cup
France
#7
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
A01/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
92-82
92
82
+10
no box
H03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
W
109-107 OT
109
107
+2
no box
A04/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
106-71
106
71
+35
no box
A07/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
H10/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
W
107-96
107
96
+11
no box
H13/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
H16/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
21-20
8-13
13-8
17-20
16-11
28-15
29-25
17-13
21-18
19-12
19-20
18-20
24-27
28-11
22-24
19-19
27-22
20-24
23-24
14-21
22-23
19-17
25-27
22-19
32-20
27-19
25-13
19-10
29-14
19-26
18-29
31-27
26-34
26-10
24-25
24-27
27-19
20-19
20-31
170.6Avg total
90.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.183.1169.2+3.150%
Season at home (8)86.684.1170.8+2.550%
Season away (6)85.581.7167.2+3.850%
Last 10 (10)90.380.3170.6+10.080%
Last 5 (5)93.886.0179.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.086.3161.3-11.317%
vs Similar (8)86.084.0170.0+2.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.774.5158.2+9.281%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Croatia
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
66avg 78
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
91-55
91
55
+36
90avg 78
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
59-89
59
89
-30
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
54-95
54
95
-41
no box
H16/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
16-10
16-28
22-23
25-8
11-17
29-10
26-20
29-18
17-28
23-17
30-21
16-26
14-18
14-20
15-25
23-16
16-17
29-23
17-20
19-20
12-20
17-15
27-14
14-28
19-24
17-20
19-24
24-21
18-24
27-22
25-19
29-26
29-13
6-24
26-24
9-15
9-19
18-30
18-31
159.4Avg total
78.5Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.681.1160.7-1.457%
Season at home (6)80.883.3164.2-2.550%
Season away (8)78.879.4158.1-0.662%
Last 10 (10)78.580.9159.4-2.460%
Last 5 (5)76.486.6163.0-10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.084.9160.9-8.929%
vs Similar (9)82.675.7158.2+6.967%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.0143.8+5.875%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
GermanyPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A25/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H28/08
World Cup
France
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H06/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H10/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H13/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/09
EuroBasket
84.4Avg total
45.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.080.2+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.483.2+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)39.537.476.9+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.139.384.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)49.242.892.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.241.581.7-1.350%-
vs Similar (8)42.143.585.6-1.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.235.877.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#7
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H16/09
EuroBasket
74.3Avg total
36.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.577.1-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.838.275.0-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.240.678.9-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.974.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.078.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.241.078.2-3.829%-
vs Similar (9)38.636.475.0+2.156%-
vs Weaker (4)37.040.077.0-3.025%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.0
48.7%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
-11.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Germany wins
1
Poland wins
DateGameScore
03/07/22Germany v Poland93-83
28/11/21Poland v Germany69-72
19/08/17Germany v Poland75-80
21/08/16Germany v Poland80-61
22/08/15Germany v Poland82-69
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/09/22HSpain91-96
13/09/22HGreece107-96
10/09/22HMontenegro85-79
07/09/22AHungary106-71
06/09/22HSlovenia80-88
04/09/22ALithuania109-107 OT
03/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina92-82
01/09/22AFrance76-63
28/08/22HSlovenia90-71
25/08/22ASweden67-50
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/09/22HFrance54-95
14/09/22ASlovenia90-87
11/09/22AUkraine94-86
08/09/22ASerbia69-96
06/09/22ANetherlands75-69
05/09/22HIsrael85-76
03/09/22AFinland59-89
02/09/22HCzech Republic99-84
28/08/22AAustria91-55
25/08/22HCroatia69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.186.685.5
Allowed / game83.184.181.7
Point differential+3.1+2.5+3.8
Avg total169.2170.8167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Poland
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%50%62%
Points / game79.680.878.8
Allowed / game81.183.379.4
Point differential-1.4-2.5-0.6
Avg total160.7164.2158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain1411379%87.977.9+9.9
2 Greece1310377%85.080.5+4.5
3 Serbia129375%88.976.0+12.9
4 France1410471%80.174.9+5.2
5 Slovenia139469%85.379.1+6.2
6 Belgium1611569%79.472.7+6.7
7 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
8 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
9 Bosnia & Herzegovina117464%79.174.6+4.5
10 Israel117464%80.178.0+2.1
11 Italy138562%84.579.2+5.3
12 Croatia127558%78.273.5+4.7
13 Ukraine127558%79.775.3+4.3
14 Great Britain1911858%75.775.7-0.1
15 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
16 Poland148657%79.681.1-1.4
17 Finland137654%81.881.0+0.8
18 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
19 Germany147750%86.183.1+3.1
20 Lithuania126650%85.582.5+3.0
21 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
22 Turkey126650%78.477.7+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Montenegro126650%74.976.5-1.6
25 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
26 Georgia115645%80.885.6-4.8
27 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
28 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
29 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
30 Hungary114736%74.584.0-9.5
31 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
32 Czech Republic124833%82.188.2-6.1
33 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
34 Estonia113827%75.280.6-5.5
35 Netherlands113827%69.476.3-6.9
36 Bulgaria113827%77.688.1-10.5
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany1917182882
Poland149262069
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