PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Slovenia vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-90
26-29 13-29 24-6 24-26
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Poland 🏆
Position#18
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuroBasketEuroBasket - Quarter-finals
Other2022
Meetings · Slovenia v Poland
28 Aug 2025
SLOV95
POLA105
14 Sep 2022
SLOV87
POLA90
01 Jul 2021
SLOV112
POLA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovenia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
Croatia
#66
W
97-69
97
69
+28
no box
H30/06
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
104-83
104
83
+21
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#20
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
H01/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
103-88
103
88
+15
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H04/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
A07/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
no box
H10/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-8
21-27
22-16
21-18
22-17
19-24
29-20
14-20
27-23
29-15
21-25
27-20
20-17
11-16
15-28
25-29
27-27
24-21
18-19
23-18
29-16
25-17
34-27
15-28
32-26
20-23
21-23
20-25
21-14
23-22
17-19
27-25
20-19
24-21
20-24
24-18
24-19
20-22
19-19
25-12
173.5Avg total
90.8Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.278.2163.3+7.075%
Season at home (6)87.779.5167.2+8.283%
Season away (6)82.776.8159.5+5.867%
Last 10 (10)90.882.7173.5+8.180%
Last 5 (5)92.083.8175.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.090.0161.0-19.00%
vs Similar (12)85.383.8169.1+1.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)96.378.4174.7+17.988%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
H30/06
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
66avg 78
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
91-55
91
55
+36
90avg 78
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
59-89
59
89
-30
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
24-24
15-19
21-23
19-19
17-21
20-17
27-36
15-11
16-10
16-28
22-23
25-8
11-17
29-10
26-20
29-18
17-28
23-17
30-21
16-26
14-18
14-20
15-25
23-16
16-17
29-23
17-20
19-20
12-20
17-15
27-14
14-28
19-24
17-20
19-24
24-21
18-24
27-22
25-19
161.9Avg total
81.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.979.4160.3+1.558%
Season at home (5)86.281.0167.2+5.260%
Season away (7)77.178.3155.4-1.157%
Last 10 (10)81.480.5161.9+0.960%
Last 5 (5)76.483.2159.6-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.783.6160.2-6.931%
vs Similar (10)82.375.0157.3+7.370%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.0143.8+5.875%
This opponent (Slovenia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
SloveniaPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#66
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H30/06
World Cup
Sweden
#33
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A03/07
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A28/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H01/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A03/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H04/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A06/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A07/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/09
EuroBasket
86.5Avg total
47.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.938.884.7+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.741.288.9+6.580%-
Last 30 away (15)44.136.380.5+7.867%-
Last 10 (10)47.139.486.5+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.887.4+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.033.064.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (12)41.840.782.5+1.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)49.737.887.5+11.988%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/06
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/09
EuroBasket
74.8Avg total
36.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.477.2-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.638.477.0+0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)37.140.477.4-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.274.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.877.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.241.278.4-4.031%-
vs Similar (10)39.136.475.5+2.760%-
vs Weaker (4)37.040.077.0-3.025%-
This opponent (Slovenia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.0
48.7%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
-11.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Slovenia wins
0
Poland wins
DateGameScore
01/07/21Slovenia v Poland112-77
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/09/22HBelgium88-72
07/09/22AFrance88-82
06/09/22AGermany88-80
04/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina93-97
03/09/22AHungary103-88
01/09/22HLithuania92-85
28/08/22AGermany71-90
25/08/22HEstonia104-83
03/07/22ASweden84-81
30/06/22HCroatia97-69
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/09/22AUkraine94-86
08/09/22ASerbia69-96
06/09/22ANetherlands75-69
05/09/22HIsrael85-76
03/09/22AFinland59-89
02/09/22HCzech Republic99-84
28/08/22AAustria91-55
25/08/22HCroatia69-72
03/07/22AGermany83-93
30/06/22HIsrael90-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Slovenia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game85.287.782.7
Allowed / game78.279.576.8
Point differential+7.0+8.2+5.8
Avg total163.3167.2159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%60%57%
Points / game80.986.277.1
Allowed / game79.481.078.3
Point differential+1.5+5.2-1.1
Avg total160.3167.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain1310377%87.276.9+10.3
2 Greece1310377%85.080.5+4.5
3 Serbia129375%88.976.0+12.9
4 Slovenia129375%85.278.2+7.0
5 France139469%78.976.5+2.5
6 Belgium1611569%79.472.7+6.7
7 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
8 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
9 Bosnia & Herzegovina117464%79.174.6+4.5
10 Israel117464%80.178.0+2.1
11 Italy138562%84.579.2+5.3
12 Croatia127558%78.273.5+4.7
13 Ukraine127558%79.775.3+4.3
14 Poland127558%80.979.4+1.5
15 Great Britain1911858%75.775.7-0.1
16 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
17 Germany137654%85.882.1+3.7
18 Finland137654%81.881.0+0.8
19 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
20 Lithuania126650%85.582.5+3.0
21 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
22 Turkey126650%78.477.7+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Montenegro126650%74.976.5-1.6
25 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
26 Georgia115645%80.885.6-4.8
27 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
28 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
29 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
30 Hungary114736%74.584.0-9.5
31 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
32 Czech Republic124833%82.188.2-6.1
33 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
34 Estonia113827%75.280.6-5.5
35 Netherlands113827%69.476.3-6.9
36 Bulgaria113827%77.688.1-10.5
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Slovenia2613242487
Poland292962690
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.