PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Germany W vs Belgium W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 83-69
25-11 21-14 14-17 23-27
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game74.0
Germany W 🏆
vs
Belgium W
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Meetings · Germany W v Belgium W
29 Jul 2024
GERM83
BELG69
09 Feb 2023
GERM44
BELG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#21
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
42-67
42
67
-25
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
85-41
85
41
+44
96avg 60
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
53-70
53
70
-17
39avg 60
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
73-66
73
66
+7
74avg 60
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
52-85
52
85
-33
38avg 60
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 60
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
14-19
18-6
15-17
21-19
23-17
17-12
18-21
7-20
9-13
13-20
13-14
18-15
11-18
13-16
21-14
15-25
19-22
9-15
19-16
19-9
22-10
21-8
23-14
8-21
19-15
12-12
14-22
19-12
17-9
17-25
20-20
10-24
14-30
21-21
7-10
19-14
20-21
18-18
16-18
132.9Avg total
65.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.074.0140.0-8.067%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)62.578.0140.5-15.550%
Last 10 (10)65.267.7132.9-2.560%
Last 5 (5)67.266.6133.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)55.471.8127.2-16.420%
vs Similar (5)71.667.2138.8+4.4100%
vs Weaker (9)83.257.8141.0+25.478%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#12
W
84-41
84
41
+43
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
W
93-53
93
53
+40
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 88
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
136-28
136
28
+108
145avg 88
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 88
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
97-66
97
66
+31
97avg 88
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 88
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
19-15
25-7
20-8
26-22
17-17
11-15
18-10
28-8
21-23
22-14
22-8
18-8
26-22
10-16
13-17
13-17
12-15
18-16
21-10
14-18
10-18
20-13
18-18
25-6
38-4
39-6
34-12
19-15
24-19
23-23
13-24
23-15
19-18
31-11
24-22
22-11
18-18
23-13
15-19
141.4Avg total
83.2Scored
58.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.769.3154.0+15.367%
Season at home (2)87.563.5151.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)79.081.0160.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)83.258.2141.4+25.080%
Last 5 (5)90.460.6151.0+29.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.782.2150.8-13.50%
vs Similar (1)66.043.0109.0+23.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.058.4145.4+28.687%
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +8.8+8.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +5.0+5.0
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +8.8+8.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +5.0+5.0
Germany WBelgium W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#21
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
67.1Avg total
31.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.834.267.0-1.538%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.033.466.4-0.431%-
Last 30 away (11)32.535.267.6-2.745%-
Last 10 (10)31.935.267.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.066.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)25.236.061.2-10.810%-
vs Similar (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker (9)39.733.172.8+6.656%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#12
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A16/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H22/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
63-10
63
10
+53
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
71.2Avg total
41.2Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.232.073.2+9.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.531.574.0+11.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.932.572.5+7.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.230.071.2+11.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.428.470.8+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.040.875.8-5.817%-
vs Similar (1)41.027.068.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.929.972.8+13.074%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.014.8
40.0%
45.1%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.2
28.7%
30.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws25.417.8
70.1%
74.5%17.8
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.8 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.028.4
63.1%
45.1%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
30.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws10.06.8
68.0%
74.5%6.8
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 29 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany W
WLWLWLWLWW
Belgium W
WWLWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#7
+0.3
Net rating
+38.7
86.4
Offensive rating
115.4
86.2
Defensive rating
76.7
41.1%
Effective FG%
56.8%
39.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.6%
24.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.14
28.7%
3-point %
31.2%
73.3%
Assist %
78.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 115.4Defence86.2 · 76.7Shooting41.1% · 56.8%3-point %28.7% · 31.2%Ball care24.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds33.0% · 34.2%Free throws0.43 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Germany W   ■ Belgium W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany W wins
2
Belgium W wins
DateGameScore
09/02/23Germany W v Belgium W44-69
14/11/21Belgium W v Germany W84-55
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ABrazil W73-71
10/02/24AAustralia W52-85
08/02/24HSerbia W73-66
12/11/23HItaly W53-70
09/11/23ACzech Republic W85-41
25/06/23HSerbia W62-78
24/06/23HCzech Republic W71-69 OT
22/06/23ASpain W42-67
20/06/23HSlovakia W79-69
18/06/23HGreat Britain W62-61
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HNigeria W78-61
09/02/24HSenegal W97-66
08/02/24AUSA W79-81
12/11/23AAzerbaijan W136-28
08/11/23HPoland W62-67
25/06/23ASpain W64-58
24/06/23HFrance W67-63
22/06/23HSerbia W93-53
18/06/23HItaly W72-64
16/06/23ACzech Republic W84-41

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game66.073.062.5
Allowed / game74.066.078.0
Point differential-8.0+7.0-15.5
Avg total140.0139.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belgium W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.787.579.0
Allowed / game69.363.581.0
Point differential+15.3+24.0-2.0
Avg total154.0151.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W330100%88.043.0+45.0
2 USA W330100%94.054.7+39.3
3 Australia W43175%70.563.8+6.8
4 Spain W43175%74.575.5-1.0
5 Belgium W32167%84.769.3+15.3
6 Canada W64267%72.060.2+11.8
7 Japan W32167%82.379.3+3.0
8 Germany W32167%66.074.0-8.0
9 China W42250%84.572.0+12.5
10 Serbia W42250%67.267.0+0.2
11 Nigeria W42250%63.576.2-12.8
12 Puerto Rico W73443%63.775.9-12.1
13 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
14 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany W2521142383
Belgium W1114172769
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.