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Germany W vs Serbia W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 73-66
19-12 17-9 17-25 20-20
Position#5
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#9
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Arena Guilherme Paraense
Women2024
Meetings · Germany W v Serbia W
08 Feb 2024
GERM73
SERB66
25 Jun 2023
GERM62
SERB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#25
W
92-61
92
61
+31
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
no box
H15/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
66-62
66
62
+4
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
42-67
42
67
-25
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
85-41
85
41
+44
96avg 68
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
53-70
53
70
-17
39avg 68
H12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
14-22
24-12
24-12
16-11
7-16
15-16
12-15
14-17
18-13
10-15
24-17
15-19
14-19
18-6
15-17
21-19
23-17
17-12
18-21
7-20
9-13
13-20
13-14
18-15
11-18
13-16
21-14
15-25
19-22
9-15
19-16
19-9
22-10
21-8
23-14
8-21
19-15
12-12
14-22
129.8Avg total
66.2Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.263.6129.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)62.665.0127.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)55.870.3126.1-14.622%
vs Similar ◀ (3)70.766.3137.0+4.3100%
vs Weaker (9)83.257.8141.0+25.478%
This opponent (Serbia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Serbia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bulgaria W
#37
W
102-76
102
76
+26
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
no box
A15/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
90-52
90
52
+38
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
66-60
66
60
+6
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
53-93
53
93
-40
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
63-58
63
58
+5
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
78-62
78
62
+16
no box
A25/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#24
W
82-40
82
40
+42
83avg 93
H09/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
103-60
103
60
+43
102avg 93
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
22-17
30-24
28-13
21-22
16-11
21-19
13-11
30-12
17-19
18-4
25-17
23-23
21-16
11-27
20-15
13-10
16-18
16-14
21-18
8-28
23-21
14-22
8-22
19-16
19-15
15-12
10-15
25-15
22-19
15-9
16-19
26-8
23-10
17-8
16-14
30-12
21-16
28-18
24-14
142.8Avg total
78.3Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.364.5142.8+13.880%
Last 5 (5)75.862.6138.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.976.7142.6-10.836%
vs Similar ◀ (4)68.865.2134.0+3.575%
vs Weaker (15)79.561.1140.6+18.5100%
This opponent (Germany W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
Germany WSerbia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#25
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A12/02
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H15/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A16/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H12/11
European Championship Women
65.5Avg total
31.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)32.733.966.6-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.834.467.2-1.725%-
Last 30 away (9)32.733.165.8-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)31.933.665.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)29.433.663.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)25.334.059.3-8.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.035.769.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker (9)39.733.172.8+6.656%-
This opponent (Serbia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Serbia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria W
#37
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A12/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A15/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H20/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H24/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A25/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#24
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H09/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A12/11
European Championship Women
74.7Avg total
41.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.033.972.9+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.831.572.3+9.379%-
Last 30 away (16)37.436.073.4+1.469%-
Last 10 (10)41.733.074.7+8.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.075.2+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.939.373.2-5.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.532.870.2+4.8100%-
vs Weaker (15)43.130.373.3+12.893%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.0
47.1%
45.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.5
27.7%
30.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
74.5%16.5
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia W: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀72%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.0 pts a game · 72% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.033.0
60.0%
45.1%66.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.5
27.5%
30.1%16.5
🏀 Free throws13.09.0
69.2%
74.5%9.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany W
LWLWLWWWLW
Serbia W
WWWWLWLWWW
#5
League position
#9
+18.3
Net rating
+54.2
92.1
Offensive rating
116.7
73.8
Defensive rating
62.5
44.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
34.8%
Opp. effective FG%
38.3%
24.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
40.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.17
27.7%
3-point %
27.5%
68.9%
Assist %
67.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 116.7Defence73.8 · 62.5Shooting44.8% · 55.0%3-point %27.7% · 27.5%Ball care24.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.1% · 40.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Germany W   ■ Serbia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany W wins
1
Serbia W wins
DateGameScore
25/06/23Germany W v Serbia W62-78
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HItaly W53-70
09/11/23ACzech Republic W85-41
25/06/23HSerbia W62-78
24/06/23HCzech Republic W71-69 OT
22/06/23ASpain W42-67
20/06/23HSlovakia W79-69
18/06/23HGreat Britain W62-61
16/06/23ASlovenia W66-62
15/06/23HFrance W50-58
12/02/23ABosnia & Herzegovina W92-61
Serbia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ANorth Macedonia W103-60
09/11/23HUkraine W82-40
25/06/23AGermany W78-62
24/06/23HMontenegro W63-58
22/06/23ABelgium W53-93
20/06/23HGreat Britain W66-60
18/06/23AHungary W75-81
16/06/23HSlovakia W90-52
15/06/23ATurkey W71-63
12/02/23ABulgaria W102-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Serbia W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W110100%88.040.0+48.0
2 China W110100%94.047.0+47.0
3 Canada W440100%73.853.8+20.0
4 Japan W110100%86.075.0+11.0
5 Nigeria W110100%72.065.0+7.0
6 USA W110100%81.079.0+2.0
7 Puerto Rico W42250%63.275.2-12.0
8 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
9 Belgium W1010%79.081.0-2.0
10 Senegal W1010%65.072.0-7.0
11 Spain W1010%75.086.0-11.0
12 Hungary W1010%55.067.0-12.0
13 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
14 New Zealand W1010%47.094.0-47.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany W1917172073
Serbia W129252066
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