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Giessen vs Paderborn Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 85-76
Projected total 161.4
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.8
Vs
79%
21%
■ GIE 79%■ PAD 21%
Pythia win probability
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.9
GermanyPro ARound 11· Sporthalle Giessen-Ost
Other2026-27
Meetings · Giessen v Paderborn
21 Nov 2026
GIE v PAD
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
GIE92
PAD59
03 Mar 2024
GIE92
PAD70
17 Dec 2022
GIE99
PAD102
21 Mar 2015
GIE78
PAD65
01 Mar 2014
GIE90
PAD87
07 Nov 2009
GIE71
PAD65
22 Nov 2008
GIE79
PAD68
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Giessen host Paderborn in the Pro A. Pythia makes Giessen the favourite at 79% and projects 85-76, about 161 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Giessen are 5-4 this season (80.2 scored, 75.8 allowed a game), form LWWLW; Paderborn are 4-5 this season (82.1 scored, 80.9 allowed a game), form LWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Giessen win
78.9%fair 1.27
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paderborn win
21.1%fair 4.74
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GiessenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H29/05
Pro A
Artland
#14
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H25/09
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A02/10
Pro A
Bochum
#16
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H04/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A09/10
Pro A
Koln
#8
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H17/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#11
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A26/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H31/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A07/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#13
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H13/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
19-15
13-21
33-20
26-22
23-21
18-15
24-29
13-19
23-17
11-17
14-20
15-23
25-21
32-8
22-26
19-16
23-23
16-26
18-18
19-12
25-19
14-21
18-26
21-17
26-23
24-14
12-14
32-25
17-19
23-19
21-19
11-21
17-18
23-19
14-18
21-15
20-19
25-7
17-16
157.8Avg total
80.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.275.8156.0+4.456%
Season at home (5)87.476.4163.8+11.080%
Season away (4)71.275.0146.2-3.825%
Last 10 (10)80.777.1157.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)80.072.2152.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.181.5164.6+1.638%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.282.4164.6-0.250%
vs Weaker (12)86.874.7161.5+12.275%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A02/05
Pro A
Bochum
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H26/09
Pro A
Koln
#8
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H02/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A04/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H10/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#2
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A17/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#15
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H24/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A31/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
H08/11
Pro A
Artland
#14
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A13/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
24-10
12-25
23-24
15-19
15-16
20-21
27-25
29-16
15-21
24-13
22-23
25-27
17-19
26-21
13-17
23-15
20-23
25-29
18-21
26-27
19-25
18-22
19-26
23-20
22-21
16-25
22-5
17-15
15-13
15-9
11-28
18-27
20-29
28-16
18-12
15-12
14-20
24-22
29-14
163.0Avg total
81.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.180.9163.0+1.244%
Season at home (5)87.282.2169.4+5.060%
Season away (4)75.879.2155.0-3.525%
Last 10 (10)81.381.7163.0-0.440%
Last 5 (5)81.080.4161.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.089.2170.2-8.227%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.783.5165.3-1.855%
vs Weaker (4)87.580.8168.2+6.875%
This opponent (Giessen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
54.0%
Under 159.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
41.8%
Under 164.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
30.6%
Under 169.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Giessen total 79.5
Over 79.5
71.7%
Under 79.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giessen total 83.5
Over 83.5
56.9%
Under 83.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giessen total 87.5
Over 87.5
41.1%
Under 87.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paderborn total 77
Over 77
45.8%
Under 77
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paderborn total 81
Over 81
30.7%
Under 81
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paderborn total 85
Over 85
18.6%
Under 85
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Giessen -3
GIE -3
72.4%
PAD +3
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
GIE
No market prices yet.
PAD
No market prices yet.
Spread Giessen 0
GIE 0
78.9%
PAD 0
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
GIE
No market prices yet.
PAD
No market prices yet.
Spread Giessen +3
GIE +3
85.0%
PAD -3
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
GIE
No market prices yet.
PAD
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
GiessenPaderborn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GiessenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H29/05
Pro A
Artland
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H25/09
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
Pro A
Bochum
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H04/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/10
Pro A
Koln
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H17/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A26/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H31/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A07/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H13/11
Pro A
81.3Avg total
41.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.182.5+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.240.485.6+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)39.239.778.9-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.881.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.679.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.139.981.0+1.262%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.544.387.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker (12)42.436.779.1+5.875%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A02/05
Pro A
Bochum
#16
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/09
Pro A
Koln
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H02/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A04/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#2
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A17/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H24/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#1
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A31/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H08/11
Pro A
Artland
#14
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A13/11
Pro A
79.2Avg total
38.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.282.2-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.244.184.2-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)39.940.179.9-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.579.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.879.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.142.282.3-2.147%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.342.282.5-1.945%-
vs Weaker (4)39.242.281.5-3.050%-
This opponent (Giessen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Giessentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Giessen: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.9
47.7%
-35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.0
33.5%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.7
72.1%
-13.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paderborntheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Giessen wins
2
Paderborn wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26Giessen v Paderborn92-59
11/10/25Paderborn v Giessen100-93
03/03/24Giessen v Paderborn92-70
04/11/23Paderborn v Giessen78-88
01/04/23Paderborn v Giessen81-85
17/12/22Giessen v Paderborn99-102
21/03/15Giessen v Paderborn78-65
29/11/14Paderborn v Giessen57-74
01/03/14Giessen v Paderborn90-87 OT
01/12/13Paderborn v Giessen83-88 OT
Giessenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HNurnberger83-57
07/11/26AHeidelberg65-76
31/10/26HTubingen93-82
26/10/26AKoblenz83-68
17/10/26HKoln76-78
09/10/26ACrailsheim Merlins76-83
04/10/26HBochum94-78
02/10/26AWolmirstedt61-73
25/09/26HArtland91-87
29/05/26HKirchheim85-89
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AArtland82-68
08/11/26HBayreuth100-98 OT
31/10/26ACrailsheim Merlins58-65
24/10/26HOrangeAcademy83-71
17/10/26AKirchheim82-100
10/10/26HKoblenz86-88
04/10/26ABremerhaven81-84
02/10/26HKoln90-73
26/09/26HBochum77-81
02/05/26APS Karlsruhe74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Giessen
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game80.287.471.2
Allowed / game75.876.475.0
Point differential+4.4+11.0-3.8
Avg total156.0163.8146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paderborn
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game82.187.275.8
Allowed / game80.982.279.2
Point differential+1.2+5.0-3.5
Avg total163.0169.4155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crailsheim Merlins98189%82.468.1+14.3
2 Kirchheim98189%91.977.7+14.2
3 Wolmirstedt98189%78.771.4+7.2
4 Heidelberg97278%82.271.3+10.9
5 Giessen95456%80.275.8+4.4
6 Tubingen95456%81.080.0+1.0
7 Bremerhaven95456%80.783.3-2.7
8 Koln105550%82.990.0-7.1
9 Gottingen94544%83.680.7+2.9
10 Paderborn94544%82.180.9+1.2
11 Koblenz94544%83.885.9-2.1
12 PS Karlsruhe94544%78.384.1-5.8
13 Nurnberger104640%76.482.6-6.2
14 Artland93633%83.984.7-0.8
15 OrangeAcademy93633%80.986.0-5.1
16 Bochum92722%79.785.8-6.1
17 ETB Miners92722%83.793.1-9.4
18 Bayreuth91811%87.797.1-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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