Gorica vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2014

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 87-67

25-20 24-18 20-11 18-18

Position#11

Record1-1

FormWWLLW

Points / game69.5

Allowed / game77.5

Gorica 🏆

Alkar

Position#12

Record3-0

FormWLWWW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game61.7

Premijer ligaRound 4

Other2014-15

Meetings · Gorica v Alkar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alkar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

LTH Castings

62-64

-2

A28/03

Liga Nova KBM

Misel

#10

77-70

H01/04

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

60-67

-7

A04/04

Liga Nova KBM

Zagorje

85-92

-7

A11/04

Liga Nova KBM

LTH Castings

77-76

H14/04

Liga Nova KBM

Misel

#10

76-59

+17

A16/04

Liga Nova KBM

Slavonski Brod

#14

76-75

H17/05

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

58-75

-17

A20/05

Premijer liga

Kvarner

67-84

-17

H11/10

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

72-71

A18/10

Premijer liga

–

11-21

23-21

22-19

20-14

18-13

9-21

13-15

18-26

12-25

21-17

23-21

11-21

20-16

20-18

21-20

11-17

144.3Avg total

71.0Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	69.5	77.5	147.0	-8.0	50%
Season at home (1)	67.0	84.0	151.0	-17.0	0%
Season away (1)	72.0	71.0	143.0	+1.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	71.0	73.3	144.3	-2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	72.8	142.6	-3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	67.6	83.6	151.1	-16.0	11%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	73.2	75.5	148.7	-2.4	45%
vs Weaker (1)	72.0	71.0	143.0	+1.0	100%

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

61-78

-17

H02/05

Premijer liga

Zadar

61-81

-20

H04/05

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#10

72-81

-9

A07/05

Premijer liga

Zagreb

90-77

+13

H10/05

Premijer liga

Cedevita

63-106

106

-43

A13/05

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

89-87 OT

H17/05

Premijer liga

Kvarner

61-73

-12

A21/05

Premijer liga

Split

72-62

+10

H04/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

81-64

+17

A11/10

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

69-59

+10

H18/10

Premijer liga

24-29

19-23

6-16

12-10

18-22

12-20

16-21

15-18

21-26

22-25

18-13

11-17

18-18

32-24

18-23

22-12

15-28

11-26

19-27

18-25

19-20

23-14

18-19

10-17

17-21

15-16

19-19

13-10

18-16

24-15

17-21

18-17

23-14

17-14

23-19

18-13

20-21

16-13

15-12

148.7Avg total

71.9Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	74.0	61.7	135.7	+12.3	100%
Season at home (2)	70.5	60.5	131.0	+10.0	100%
Season away (1)	81.0	64.0	145.0	+17.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	76.8	148.7	-4.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	69.0	143.4	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	70.3	80.2	150.5	-9.9	30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	75.8	74.4	150.2	+1.3	56%
vs Weaker (4)	89.8	71.2	161.0	+18.5	100%

This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GoricaAlkar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	11.5	23.0	34.5	-11.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	19.0	14.5	33.5	+4.5	100%	-
Last 10 (4)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (4)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.5	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	13.7	19.7	33.3	-6.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.9	36.9	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.5	37.6	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.5	37.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	16.4	31.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	16.3	19.9	36.2	-3.6	12%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	18.2	40.8	+4.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	18.2	19.2	37.5	-1.0	75%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	14.5	19.5	34.0	-5.0	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	18.2	19.2	37.5	-1.0	75%	-
Last 5 (4)	18.2	19.2	37.5	-1.0	75%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.7	19.7	37.3	-2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.0	39.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.5	41.7	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.5	37.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.8	15.5	40.2	+9.2	100%	-

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Slavonski Brod

#14

34-42

-8

H17/05

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

27-34

-7

A20/05

Premijer liga

Kvarner

33-42

-9

H11/10

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

40-34

A18/10

Premijer liga

71.5Avg total

33.5Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	33.5	38.0	71.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	33.5	42.0	75.5	-8.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	33.5	34.0	67.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	33.5	38.0	71.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	33.5	38.0	71.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	31.3	39.3	70.7	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	40.0	34.0	74.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

43-52

-9

H02/05

Premijer liga

Zadar

30-42

-12

H04/05

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#10

43-51

-8

A07/05

Premijer liga

Zagreb

50-42

H10/05

Premijer liga

Cedevita

26-54

-28

A13/05

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

37-45

-8

H17/05

Premijer liga

Kvarner

27-38

-11

A21/05

Premijer liga

Split

31-26

H04/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

41-31

+10

A11/10

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

38-34

H18/10

Premijer liga

78.1Avg total

36.6Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.7	76.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	38.4	78.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	39.1	74.7	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	41.5	78.1	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	34.8	69.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.4	41.4	76.8	-6.0	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.1	38.3	75.4	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.2	33.8	81.0	+13.5	100%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	75%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	17.0	17.5	34.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	75%	-
Last 5 (4)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	75%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.3	18.3	37.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.7	36.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	14.4	33.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	15.5	17.5	33.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (2)	14.5	21.5	36.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 10 (4)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	16.3	20.3	36.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	11.0	17.0	28.0	-6.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.3	37.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.2	34.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	18.2	37.4	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	16.8	39.0	+5.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	34.8	38.2	73.0	-3.5	25%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	38.0	37.5	75.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (2)	31.5	39.0	70.5	-7.5	0%	-
Last 10 (4)	34.8	38.2	73.0	-3.5	25%	-
Last 5 (4)	34.8	38.2	73.0	-3.5	25%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	35.7	38.7	74.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	37.0	69.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	36.9	74.4	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	35.7	74.0	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	38.1	74.9	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	34.4	68.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	32.4	69.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.9	38.8	73.7	-3.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.9	35.6	73.5	+2.4	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gorica wins

Alkar wins

No previous meetings.

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/14	A	Slavonski Brod	72-71
11/10/14	H	Kvarner	67-84
20/05/14	A	Slavonski Brod	58-75
17/05/14	H	Slavonski Brod	76-75
16/04/09	A	Misel	76-59
14/04/09	H	LTH Castings	77-76
11/04/09	A	Zagorje	85-92
04/04/09	A	Tajfun Sentjur	60-67
01/04/09	H	Misel	77-70
28/03/09	A	LTH Castings	62-64

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/14	H	Jolly Sibenik	69-59
11/10/14	A	Osijek	81-64
04/10/14	H	Split	72-62
21/05/14	A	Kvarner	61-73
17/05/14	H	Jolly Sibenik	89-87 OT
13/05/14	A	Cedevita	63-106
10/05/14	H	Zagreb	90-77
07/05/14	A	GKK Sibenik	72-81
04/05/14	H	Zadar	61-81
02/05/14	H	Cibona	61-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Points / game	69.5	67.0	72.0
Allowed / game	77.5	84.0	71.0
Point differential	-8.0	-17.0	+1.0
Avg total	147.0	151.0	143.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Alkar

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	74.0	70.5	81.0
Allowed / game	61.7	60.5	64.0
Point differential	+12.3	+10.0	+17.0
Avg total	135.7	131.0	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kvarner	3	3	0	100%	86.3	73.7	+12.7
2	Alkar	3	3	0	100%	74.0	61.7	+12.3
3	Kastela	3	2	1	67%	104.3	97.3	+7.0
4	Zagreb	4	2	2	50%	84.0	76.8	+7.2
5	GKK Sibenik	4	2	2	50%	78.8	77.8	+1.0
6	Split	4	2	2	50%	72.0	74.0	-2.0
7	Gorica	2	1	1	50%	69.5	77.5	-8.0
8	Zabok	3	1	2	33%	80.3	90.0	-9.7
9	Slavonski Brod	4	1	3	25%	73.8	76.0	-2.2
10	Jolly Sibenik	4	1	3	25%	69.2	76.5	-7.2
11	Osijek	4	1	3	25%	66.0	75.5	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gorica	25	24	20	18	87
Alkar	20	18	11	18	67

← all games of the day

Gorica vs Alkar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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