Gorica vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Dec 2020

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 98-75

26-20 24-21 22-10 26-24

Position#4

Record8-3

FormLWWLL

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game73.7

Gorica 🏆

Alkar

Position#10

Record4-8

FormLWWLL

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game89.8

Premijer ligaRound 6

Other2020-21

Meetings · Gorica v Alkar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alkar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siroki Brijeg

0-20

-20

A11/11

ABA League 2

Borac Banja Luka

0-20

-20

H13/11

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

#14

0-20

-20

A16/11

ABA League 2

Sloboda

0-20

-20

H18/11

ABA League 2

Osijek

106-86

106

+20

A19/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

78-84

-6

A22/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

113-67

113

+46

H24/11

Premijer liga

Zabok

90-68

+22

H11/12

Premijer liga

Split

80-90

-10

H15/12

Croatian Cup

Zadar

55-74

-19

A18/12

Premijer liga

–

28-25

31-22

21-18

26-21

12-14

27-29

24-20

15-21

21-18

33-16

23-12

36-21

16-18

29-15

18-15

27-20

16-23

28-24

18-20

18-23

17-14

8-25

16-17

14-18

107.1Avg total

52.2Scored

54.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	85.6	73.7	159.4	+11.9	73%
Season at home (5)	93.0	70.2	163.2	+22.8	100%
Season away (6)	79.5	76.7	156.2	+2.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	52.2	54.9	107.1	-2.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	76.6	159.8	+6.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	61.9	73.1	135.0	-11.2	33%
vs Similar (5)	32.0	44.0	76.0	-12.0	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	93.1	76.5	169.7	+16.6	80%

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zadar

63-91

-28

A06/10

Premijer liga

Cibona

66-99

-33

H14/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

112-102 OT

112

102

+10

H24/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

86-99

-13

H31/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

74-95

-21

A09/11

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

85-94

-9

H14/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

88-75

+13

A21/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

98-83

+15

A13/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

62-96

-34

A14/12

Croatian Cup

Zabok

82-83

-1

A19/12

Premijer liga

19-19

11-18

19-33

14-21

13-24

15-27

16-30

22-18

24-28

22-27

22-18

21-16

21-32

26-27

19-21

20-19

22-26

16-32

18-18

18-19

16-32

23-17

21-28

25-17

20-22

22-14

21-22

25-17

26-12

22-20

28-25

22-26

17-21

19-28

18-23

8-24

21-18

21-21

22-23

18-21

173.3Avg total

81.6Scored

91.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	82.7	89.8	172.5	-7.2	33%
Season at home (6)	86.0	94.5	180.5	-8.5	33%
Season away (6)	79.3	85.2	164.5	-5.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	91.7	173.3	-10.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	86.2	169.2	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	74.9	92.4	167.3	-17.5	13%
vs Similar (10)	85.0	86.1	171.1	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker (4)	85.2	78.8	164.0	+6.5	75%

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GoricaAlkar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	19.9	41.7	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (6)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.4	33.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	22.5	40.8	-4.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.3	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	23.3	44.4	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.4	43.3	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.3	22.3	40.6	-4.1	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	22.8	20.8	43.5	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	20.7	44.6	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (6)	26.0	21.8	47.8	+4.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	21.8	46.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.1	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	25.2	20.0	45.2	+5.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	21.6	39.6	-3.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	23.1	42.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.2	22.7	40.9	-4.5	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	16.2	38.0	+5.5	75%	-

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

59-47

+12

A19/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

39-43

-4

A22/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

54-34

+20

H24/11

Premijer liga

Zabok

45-33

+12

H11/12

Premijer liga

Split

44-47

-3

H15/12

Croatian Cup

Zadar

25-39

-14

A18/12

Premijer liga

84.8Avg total

44.3Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	42.9	40.8	83.7	+2.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.7	40.6	86.4	+5.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.7	41.0	80.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (6)	44.3	40.5	84.8	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	39.2	80.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.5	43.9	80.4	-7.4	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.5	39.5	81.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	46.5	38.9	85.4	+7.5	73%	-

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zadar

30-37

-7

A06/10

Premijer liga

Cibona

28-51

-23

H14/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

46-55

-9

H24/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

47-59

-12

H31/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

38-58

-20

A09/11

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

39-49

-10

H14/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

42-36

A21/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

48-32

+16

A13/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

36-49

-13

A14/12

Croatian Cup

Zabok

42-39

A19/12

Premijer liga

86.1Avg total

39.6Scored

46.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	43.5	83.1	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	45.4	87.9	-3.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	41.9	78.9	-4.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	46.5	86.1	-6.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.0	82.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.5	45.0	81.5	-8.5	13%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.9	43.7	86.6	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.5	36.2	79.8	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	17.6	39.9	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	58%	-
Last 10 (6)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.1	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	15.5	38.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.1	18.0	41.1	+5.1	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	21.4	40.6	-2.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	23.9	43.6	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	24.1	44.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.2	46.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.1	23.8	42.9	-4.7	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	24.5	45.2	-3.8	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+0.9	42%	-
Last 10 (6)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.9	17.5	33.4	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.0	25.0	41.0	-9.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.5	19.6	43.1	+3.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	23.1	41.5	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.4	23.6	43.0	-4.2	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	41.5	37.5	79.0	+4.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	37.3	80.2	+5.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.8	37.8	77.5	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (6)	42.7	37.7	80.3	+5.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	37.4	79.2	+4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.1	35.9	69.0	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.5	40.5	79.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	46.7	37.6	84.3	+9.1	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	44.6	83.6	-5.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	41.9	81.8	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	47.1	85.1	-9.0	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	43.9	83.6	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	45.2	86.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.5	47.4	85.9	-8.9	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.8	41.1	80.9	-1.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.8	42.5	84.2	-0.8	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gorica wins

Alkar wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/19	Alkar v Gorica	77-84
05/10/19	Gorica v Alkar	91-74
30/03/19	Gorica v Alkar	104-79
24/11/18	Alkar v Gorica	85-64
25/02/17	Gorica v Alkar	94-67
05/11/16	Alkar v Gorica	95-78
19/03/16	Alkar v Gorica	64-67
05/12/15	Gorica v Alkar	95-74
24/01/15	Alkar v Gorica	81-79
26/10/14	Gorica v Alkar	87-67

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/20	A	Zadar	55-74
15/12/20	H	Split	80-90
11/12/20	H	Zabok	90-68
24/11/20	H	Hermes	113-67
22/11/20	A	Dubrava	78-84
19/11/20	A	Osijek	106-86
18/11/20	H	Sloboda	0-20
16/11/20	A	Helios Domzale	0-20
13/11/20	H	Borac Banja Luka	0-20
11/11/20	A	Siroki Brijeg	0-20

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/12/20	A	Zabok	82-83
14/12/20	A	Cibona	62-96
13/12/20	A	Dubrava	98-83
21/11/20	A	Hermes	88-75
14/11/20	H	Sonik Puntamika	85-94
09/11/20	A	Skrljevo	74-95
31/10/20	H	Osijek	86-99
24/10/20	H	GKK Sibenka	112-102 OT
14/10/20	H	Cibona	66-99
06/10/20	A	Zadar	63-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	73%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	73%	100%	50%
Points / game	85.6	93.0	79.5
Allowed / game	73.7	70.2	76.7
Point differential	+11.9	+22.8	+2.8
Avg total	159.4	163.2	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	60%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Alkar

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	33%
Home	LLWLL	33%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	82.7	86.0	79.3
Allowed / game	89.8	94.5	85.2
Point differential	-7.2	-8.5	-5.8
Avg total	172.5	180.5	164.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	17%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zadar	13	11	2	85%	82.7	65.8	+16.8
2	Cibona	12	9	3	75%	89.1	72.0	+17.1
3	Gorica	11	8	3	73%	85.6	73.7	+11.9
4	Sonik Puntamika	13	9	4	69%	84.3	82.7	+1.6
5	Split	12	8	4	67%	84.9	80.4	+4.5
6	Skrljevo	13	6	7	46%	78.8	82.9	-4.1
7	GKK Sibenka	11	5	6	45%	84.8	88.4	-3.5
8	Osijek	12	5	7	42%	83.2	88.7	-5.4
9	Zabok	15	6	9	40%	76.0	81.3	-5.3
10	Alkar	12	4	8	33%	82.7	89.8	-7.2
11	Dubrava	12	3	9	25%	83.8	87.8	-4.0
12	Hermes	14	1	13	7%	75.9	94.4	-18.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gorica	26	24	22	26	98
Alkar	20	21	10	24	75

← all games of the day

Gorica vs Alkar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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