Gorica will host KK Triglav Kranj on 7 November 2026 in the Liga Nova KBM, a matchup that the Pythia model projects to be high-scoring with a total of 157.2 points, driven by Triglav's 76.2 points per game compared to Gorica's 73.2. Gorica finish the season 3-3, allowing 73.8 points per game, while Triglav sit 1-4, conceding 78.6. Gorica's home form is 1-1, scoring 79.0 and allowing 72.5, and their last five games include a 75-71 win over Tajfun Sentjur, a 67-74 loss to Polzela and a 70-76 defeat by Sencur. Triglav's road record is 0-1, with a 69.0 points per game and 72.0 allowed, and their last five feature a 78-76 win over Sloboda Uzice, a 82-98 loss to Polzela and a 80-87 defeat by Sutjeska. The model favours Triglav with a 66% chance to win, Gorica 34%, and projects a 76-81 scoreline. The home line of -2.5 gives Gorica a 28% chance to cover, while the 149.5 total offers a 67% over probability, with a 5% chance of overtime. Triglav's recent 78-76 home victory over Sloboda Uzice suggests they will finish strong.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 73.2 | 73.8 | 147.0 | -0.7 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 79.0 | 72.5 | 151.5 | +6.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 70.2 | 74.5 | 144.8 | -4.2 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.2 | 80.0 | 155.2 | -4.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.0 | 71.4 | 147.4 | +4.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 70.2 | 82.0 | 152.2 | -11.8 | 17% |
| vs Similar (12) | 86.8 | 80.2 | 167.1 | +6.6 | 75% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 85.5 | 76.2 | 161.7 | +9.3 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 76.2 | 78.6 | 154.8 | -2.4 | 20% |
| Season at home (4) | 78.0 | 80.2 | 158.2 | -2.2 | 25% |
| Season away (1) | 69.0 | 72.0 | 141.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.9 | 79.8 | 155.7 | -3.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.2 | 79.0 | 157.2 | -0.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 77.9 | 84.9 | 162.8 | -7.0 | 25% |
| vs Similar (6) | 78.5 | 78.3 | 156.8 | +0.2 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 78.5 | 73.6 | 152.2 | +4.9 | 55% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.7 | 41.4 | 81.1 | -1.7 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 43.2 | 40.6 | 83.8 | +2.5 | 62% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 37.0 | 42.0 | 79.0 | -5.0 | 12% | 65% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.6 | 43.8 | 81.4 | -6.2 | 20% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.4 | 40.0 | 75.4 | -4.6 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 36.9 | 41.4 | 78.3 | -4.5 | 17% | 67% |
| vs Similar (12) | 41.9 | 41.3 | 83.2 | +0.6 | 42% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 40.7 | 41.5 | 82.2 | -0.8 | 50% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.3 | 41.9 | 81.2 | -2.6 | 37% | 73% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 40.4 | 41.3 | 81.7 | -0.9 | 47% | 76% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 37.9 | 42.7 | 80.6 | -4.8 | 23% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.3 | 45.4 | 83.7 | -7.1 | 20% | 100% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 45.0 | 86.8 | -3.2 | 40% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 37.9 | 45.7 | 83.6 | -7.8 | 17% | 75% |
| vs Similar (6) | 38.3 | 43.2 | 81.5 | -4.8 | 33% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 40.7 | 37.7 | 78.5 | +3.0 | 55% | 55% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK Triglav Kranj over 72 | 81.7% | 1.71 | 1.78 | 1.63 | - | - | - | +29.7pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 75.5 | 70.2% | 2.17 | 2.30 | 2.05 | - | - | - | +29.1pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 74 | 75.8% | 1.84 | 1.84 | - | - | - | - | +28.9pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 72.5 | 79.5% | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.77 | 1.64 | - | +28.2pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 73 | 78.9% | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.70 | - | - | - | +28.2pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 73.5 | 76.6% | 1.87 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.83 | 1.76 | +28.1pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 74.5 | 73.5% | 1.95 | 2.12 | 1.90 | 1.83 | - | - | +27.9pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 71.5 | 82.1% | 1.59 | 1.67 | 1.55 | 1.54 | - | - | +26.3pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 70.5 | 84.6% | 1.52 | 1.57 | 1.52 | 1.47 | - | - | +25.4pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 69.5 | 86.8% | 1.42 | 1.47 | 1.40 | 1.38 | - | - | +24.2pp | Won |
| Over 144 | 78.9% | 1.61 | 1.67 | 1.56 | - | - | - | +24.1pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 79.3% | 1.56 | 1.63 | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.47 | +23.3pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 68.5 | 88.8% | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.37 | 1.34 | - | - | +22.9pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +2 | 71.1% | 1.86 | 1.93 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.80 | +22.7pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj +2.5 | 72.1% | 1.82 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1.81 | +21.9pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj +3 | 74.1% | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.74 | - | +21.7pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 67.5 | 90.5% | 1.31 | 1.39 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | +21.3pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +4 | 77.0% | 1.64 | 1.65 | 1.64 | 1.62 | - | - | +20.8pp | Lost |
| Over 145 | 77.1% | 1.64 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.62 | 1.57 | - | +20.6pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 75.6% | 1.68 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 1.69 | 1.61 | +20.5pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +5 | 79.8% | 1.55 | 1.56 | 1.55 | 1.53 | - | - | +20.4pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj +3.5 | 74.8% | 1.68 | 1.71 | 1.70 | 1.68 | 1.68 | 1.63 | +20.4pp | Lost |
| Over 142.5 | 81.0% | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.49 | - | - | - | +20.0pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 77.5% | 1.61 | 1.67 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.59 | 1.54 | +19.9pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 85.6% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +19.9pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +4.5 | 77.7% | 1.58 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.58 | 1.53 | +19.8pp | Lost |
| Over 141.5 | 82.7% | 1.50 | 1.55 | 1.45 | - | - | - | +19.4pp | Won |
| Over 148 | 71.0% | 1.78 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.72 | - | +19.1pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +5.5 | 80.3% | 1.50 | 1.52 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.44 | - | +18.9pp | Lost |
| Over 147 | 73.1% | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 1.70 | +18.5pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +6.5 | 82.7% | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +18.5pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj +6 | 82.3% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +18.4pp | Lost |
| Over 147.5 | 71.6% | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.77 | +18.3pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +7.5 | 84.9% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.30 | - | - | +18.3pp | Lost |
| Over 146 | 75.1% | 1.71 | 1.84 | 1.79 | 1.64 | 1.64 | 1.62 | +18.2pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 66.5 | 92.0% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +18.0pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 73.7% | 1.71 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.78 | 1.68 | 1.67 | +17.8pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +8.5 | 86.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +17.4pp | Lost |
| Over 138.5 | 87.0% | 1.32 | 1.38 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +16.9pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +9.5 | 88.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +16.3pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 64.5 | 94.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +15.7pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 84.2% | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +15.1pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 65.5 | 93.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +12.5 | 92.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 62.5 | 96.4% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj over 63.5 | 95.5% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +17.5 | 96.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Lost |
| Over 133.5 | 92.4% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Over 135.5 | 90.5% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj +22.5 | 98.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Over 128.5 | 95.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Over 130.5 | 94.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Gorica over 68.5 | 77.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Gorica over 69.5 | 74.1% | 1.32 | 1.39 | 1.29 | 1.28 | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Gorica over 70.5 | 70.9% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.34 | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Gorica over 66.5 | 82.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Gorica under 95.5 | 96.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 94.5 | 95.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 93.5 | 94.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 95.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | - |
| Gorica under 91.5 | 92.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 92.5 | 93.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 87.5 | 85.9% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 85.5 | 81.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 89.5 | 89.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Lost |
| Gorica over 67.5 | 80.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Gorica under 90.5 | 91.2% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Lost |
| Gorica +22.5 | 93.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Gorica under 83.5 | 75.9% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 88.5 | 87.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 86.5 | 83.7% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 84.5 | 78.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Lost |
| Gorica under 82.5 | 72.9% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Lost |
| Gorica +17.5 | 86.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -2.1pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 86.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -3.7pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj under 91.5 | 85.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -5.3pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 83.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -6.3pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj under 90.5 | 82.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -7.7pp | Won |
| Under 170.5 | 79.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -7.9pp | Lost |
| Gorica +12.5 | 75.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -8.1pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj under 89.5 | 80.1% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -8.9pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 75.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -11.4pp | Lost |
| KK Triglav Kranj under 88.5 | 77.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -11.4pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj under 87.5 | 74.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -12.4pp | Won |
| KK Triglav Kranj under 86.5 | 70.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -15.7pp | Won |
| Over 142 | 82.4% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 143 | 80.7% | 1.51 | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.1 | 19.0 | 53.4% | 38.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.2 | 8.4 | 30.3% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.6 | 11.8 | 70.0% | 11.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 20.8 | 53.4% | 41.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.6 | 7.2 | 30.3% | 21.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 12.3 | 70.0% | 12.3 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Tajfun Sentjur | 75-71 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Polzela | 67-74 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Sencur | 70-76 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Rogaska | 80-67 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Helios Domzale | 88-69 |
| 23/09/26 | A | Perspektiva Ilirija | 59-86 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Novi Zagreb | 98-84 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Skrljevo | 72-108 |
| 01/04/26 | H | Mladost | 78-71 |
| 28/03/26 | A | Omis | 65-94 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | Sloboda Uzice | 78-76 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Polzela | 82-98 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Sutjeska | 80-87 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Rogaska | 72-74 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Helios Domzale | 79-60 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Perspektiva Ilirija | 79-89 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Zlatorog Lasko | 69-72 |
| 13/05/26 | A | Perspektiva Ilirija | 65-72 |
| 11/05/26 | H | Perspektiva Ilirija | 70-86 |
| 08/05/26 | A | Perspektiva Ilirija | 85-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLW | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LWLW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 73.2 | 79.0 | 70.2 |
| Allowed / game | 73.8 | 72.5 | 74.5 |
| Point differential | -0.7 | +6.5 | -4.2 |
| Avg total | 147.0 | 151.5 | 144.8 |
| Over 149.75 | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 20% |
| Home | LWLL | 25% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| Points / game | 76.2 | 78.0 | 69.0 |
| Allowed / game | 78.6 | 80.2 | 72.0 |
| Point differential | -2.4 | -2.2 | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 154.8 | 158.2 | 141.0 |
| Over 149.75 | 40% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 89.6 | 69.3 | +20.3 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 88.2 | 79.6 | +8.6 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 81.9 | 71.7 | +10.1 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.4 | 73.3 | +9.1 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 73.2 | 73.8 | -0.7 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 70.5 | 75.7 | -5.2 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 67.6 | 79.1 | -11.6 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 76.2 | 78.6 | -2.4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 67.0 | 81.2 | -14.2 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 67.0 | 84.8 | -17.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 21 | 22 | 29 | 102 | |
| 24 | 23 | 20 | 13 | 80 |
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