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Gorica vs Novi Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 98-84
25-23 27-27 35-20 11-14
Position#5
Record14-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game81.2
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record11-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game76.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 26· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Novi Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
81-57
81
57
+24
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
102-79
102
79
+23
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A11/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
35-23
18-22
28-20
15-19
21-16
18-6
27-16
14-19
20-15
22-11
21-18
22-23
21-24
27-17
10-27
18-30
29-29
31-23
35-24
18-24
19-21
24-18
16-23
23-30
29-14
30-20
20-15
18-25
14-24
14-24
19-21
25-19
13-23
25-14
15-15
23-32
20-23
19-36
10-17
168.8Avg total
84.5Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.881.2163.9+1.656%
Season at home (12)87.178.2165.2+8.975%
Season away (13)78.883.9162.7-5.238%
Last 10 (10)84.584.3168.8+0.260%
Last 5 (5)78.887.6166.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.683.7156.3-11.120%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.278.6162.8+5.569%
vs Weaker (6)88.877.0165.8+11.867%
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novi ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
120-53
120
53
+67
H04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A07/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H14/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
103-89
103
89
+14
A21/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H07/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A14/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H21/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A28/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H01/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H12/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
37-4
27-15
34-20
18-14
4-19
11-5
18-18
12-18
11-21
24-18
10-17
26-28
25-21
24-24
28-16
19-17
13-21
27-18
19-17
17-13
19-25
22-16
23-23
19-13
20-20
22-20
24-29
16-26
18-22
18-29
18-15
23-17
16-25
13-26
20-17
14-33
18-15
18-19
16-24
155.5Avg total
78.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.876.5152.3-0.644%
Season at home (13)78.676.6155.2+2.046%
Season away (12)72.876.3149.2-3.542%
Last 10 (10)78.377.2155.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)74.885.4160.2-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.685.4155.0-15.820%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.372.8144.1-1.444%
vs Weaker (6)93.067.2160.2+25.883%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
GoricaNovi Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/04
Prva Liga
87.2Avg total
41.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.081.8+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.882.2+6.660%-
Last 30 away (15)39.142.381.4-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.687.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.087.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.541.279.7-2.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.940.181.0+0.838%-
vs Weaker (6)44.840.385.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novi ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
59-18
59
18
+41
H04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A07/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H14/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A21/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H07/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A28/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H12/04
Prva Liga
75.3Avg total
36.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)36.639.175.7-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.436.174.5+2.354%-
Last 30 away (12)34.842.377.1-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.675.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.877.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.243.077.2-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.638.171.7-4.633%-
vs Weaker (6)45.334.079.3+11.383%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.622.7
50.9%
53.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.9
33.5%
32.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.411.6
66.7%
71.6%11.6
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Novi Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Novi Zagreb: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.1%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.0
37.5%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.510.9
66.1%
71.6%10.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWLWLWLWWW
Novi Zagreb
LLLWWWWLLW
#5
League position
#11
-0.6
Net rating
+1.3
88.7
Offensive rating
91.6
89.3
Defensive rating
90.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.5%
3-point %
37.5%
63.3%
Assist %
63.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 91.6Defence89.3 · 90.4Shooting50.6% · 53.1%3-point %33.5% · 37.5%Ball care17.2% · 17.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Gorica   ■ Novi Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gorica wins
0
Novi Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Novi Zagreb v Gorica79-84
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26ASkrljevo72-108
01/04/26HMladost78-71
28/03/26AOmis65-94
21/03/26HJazine102-79
15/03/26AMarsonia77-86
07/03/26HDakovo113-106
21/02/26AKK Zagreb80-91
14/02/26HCrikvenica77-63
07/02/26AOsijek81-57
04/02/26HAmfora100-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HKastela66-91
01/04/26HSkrljevo72-85
28/03/26AMladost70-92
21/03/26HOmis85-82
14/03/26AJazine81-77
07/03/26HMarsonia78-73
21/02/26ADakovo103-89
14/02/26HKK Zagreb57-74
07/02/26ACrikvenica51-56
04/02/26HOsijek120-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game82.887.178.8
Allowed / game81.278.283.9
Point differential+1.6+8.9-5.2
Avg total163.9165.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Novi Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeLWWLL46%
AwayWLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%46%42%
Points / game75.878.672.8
Allowed / game76.576.676.3
Point differential-0.6+2.0-3.5
Avg total152.3155.2149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2623388%96.076.0+20.0
2 Kastela2520580%86.866.4+20.4
3 Mladost2518772%81.273.9+7.3
4 Omis2517868%84.176.3+7.8
5 Gorica25141156%82.881.2+1.6
6 Jazine26141254%85.880.8+5.0
7 KK Zagreb25131252%79.678.4+1.2
8 Crikvenica26131350%75.877.7-1.9
9 Dakovo25121348%86.084.1+1.8
10 Marsonia25111444%75.275.5-0.2
11 Novi Zagreb25111444%75.876.5-0.6
12 Sonik Puntamika2671927%75.381.3-6.0
13 Amfora2542116%71.588.3-16.8
14 Osijek250250%63.5103.7-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2527351198
Novi Zagreb2327201484
← all games of the day
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