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Rogaska vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-80
21-25 21-6 11-20 14-29
Position#6
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Gorica 🏆
Slovenia
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game77.5
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 3· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
80avg 74
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 74
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
84avg 74
A06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
106-73
106
73
+33
105avg 74
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
97avg 74
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
70avg 74
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
97-79
97
79
+18
100avg 74
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 74
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 74
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
49-87
49
87
-38
32avg 74
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
21-21
15-16
23-22
19-26
18-18
18-13
32-25
15-28
20-21
23-24
26-11
17-24
31-17
27-17
31-15
24-20
20-21
22-22
16-19
12-15
19-29
21-27
23-21
27-19
21-26
27-20
22-14
24-15
23-29
12-14
17-22
20-27
29-26
24-21
2-18
13-25
4-23
19-22
13-17
170.0Avg total
83.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.089.5151.5-27.50%
Season at home (1)75.092.0167.0-17.00%
Season away (1)49.087.0136.0-38.00%
Last 10 (10)83.886.2170.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)74.486.0160.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.487.5160.9-14.113%
vs Similar (7)86.187.7173.9-1.643%
vs Weaker (8)92.279.6171.9+12.675%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
106avg 76
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 76
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
102-79
102
79
+23
103avg 76
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
65-94
65
94
-29
44avg 76
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
70avg 76
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
56avg 76
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
98-84
98
84
+14
103avg 76
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
59-86
59
86
-27
42avg 76
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
84avg 76
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A10/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
29-29
31-23
35-24
18-24
19-21
24-18
16-23
23-30
29-14
30-20
20-15
18-25
14-24
14-24
19-21
25-19
13-23
25-14
15-15
23-32
20-23
19-36
10-17
25-23
27-27
35-20
11-14
16-19
18-23
17-27
8-17
19-18
22-20
24-15
23-16
14-21
16-25
22-20
22-18
169.3Avg total
82.6Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.577.5151.0-4.050%
Season at home (1)88.069.0157.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)59.086.0145.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)82.686.7169.3-4.150%
Last 5 (5)78.286.2164.4-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.683.4154.0-12.820%
vs Similar (14)85.379.1164.4+6.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)90.777.8168.5+12.867%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
RogaskaGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
85.6Avg total
40.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.445.483.8-7.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.644.185.7-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)35.246.781.9-11.513%-
Last 10 (10)40.145.585.6-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.446.885.2-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.347.081.3-12.77%-
vs Similar (7)39.643.783.3-4.143%-
vs Weaker (8)45.043.888.8+1.262%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A10/10
Prva Liga
87.6Avg total
40.6Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.282.3-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.839.584.3+5.469%-
Last 30 away (17)38.342.580.8-4.224%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.087.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.286.2-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.941.979.8-4.020%-
vs Similar (14)41.241.382.5-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.339.786.0+6.783%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.6
51.5%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.4
33.6%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.117.9
66.1%
70.0%17.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.4
50.5%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.1
35.0%
30.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
70.0%12.3
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
LLLWLWWLWL
Gorica
LWLWLWLWLW
#6
League position
#5
-1.7
Net rating
-5.4
92.0
Offensive rating
89.1
93.7
Defensive rating
94.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.6%
3-point %
35.0%
70.7%
Assist %
63.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 89.1Defence93.7 · 94.5Shooting51.1% · 51.2%3-point %33.6% · 35.0%Ball care16.5% · 18.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Rogaska   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rogaska wins
0
Gorica wins
No previous meetings.
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26APolzela49-87
26/09/26HSencur75-92
04/05/26AZlatorog Lasko76-80
30/04/26HHelios Domzale97-79
21/04/26AKK Krka Novo mesto75-92
18/04/26HKK Triglav Kranj96-94 OT
13/04/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek106-73
06/04/26APolzela94-99 OT
28/03/26ATajfun Sentjur87-82
16/03/26HPerspektiva Ilirija83-84
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ASonik Puntamika74-84
03/10/26HHelios Domzale88-69
23/09/26APerspektiva Ilirija59-86
18/04/26HNovi Zagreb98-84
11/04/26ASkrljevo72-108
01/04/26HMladost78-71
28/03/26AOmis65-94
21/03/26HJazine102-79
15/03/26AMarsonia77-86
07/03/26HDakovo113-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.075.049.0
Allowed / game89.592.087.0
Point differential-27.5-17.0-38.0
Avg total151.5167.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.588.059.0
Allowed / game77.569.086.0
Point differential-4.0+19.0-27.0
Avg total151.0157.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sencur330100%95.776.7+19.0
2 KK Krka Novo mesto330100%82.366.0+16.3
3 Polzela32167%80.768.0+12.7
4 Perspektiva Ilirija32167%85.773.7+12.0
5 Gorica21150%73.577.5-4.0
6 Zlatorog Lasko21150%66.573.0-6.5
7 KK Triglav Kranj31233%75.773.7+2.0
8 Helios Domzale3030%62.780.3-17.7
9 Rogaska2020%62.089.5-27.5
10 Tajfun Sentjur2020%64.593.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska2121111467
Gorica256202980
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